While Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death will go down as yet another historic event in 2020, it’s unlikely to change the fundamental trajectory of the elections. In the middle of huge breaking news stories, it can be hard to remember that the country is incredibly polarized and the race between President Donald Trump […]
In the recent documentary film Boys State, a thousand high schoolers from across Texas gather in Austin for a whirlwind week of mock elections for various state offices including governor. Although the political parties and platforms are fictional, the participants campaigning for office often take conservative stances on real-life issues like gun rights and abortion […]
The race for the Oval Office remains steady — although a case could be made that there’s been slight tightening in favor of the president. In an average of 24 polls conducted over the past two weeks, Joe Biden led Donald Trump by 6.9 points (49.1 percent to 42.2 percent). To be sure, this is […]
The biggest political realignment in the 2016 presidential election was a shift based on education. President Donald Trump made major gains for a Republican among non-college educated voters, while Hillary Clinton made major gains for a Democrat among college-educated voters. This trend manifested in traditionally Republican Georgia, where Clinton made major gains with college-educated voters […]
The conventions are over and the polls are trickling in: as of right now, there doesn’t appear to be much of a bounce for either now-official nominee. In an average of 34 polls released over the past two weeks, Joe Biden led Donald Trump by 8.1 points (49.8 percent to 41.8 percent). Compared to the […]
Whether you believe in convention bounces or not, President Donald Trump and the Republicans need one to salvage the elections this fall. On the current trajectory, former Vice President Joe Biden is likely to win the White House and Democrats are more likely than not to take control of the Senate. And even though the […]
With a slew of potentially poll-moving campaign events on the horizon, now is a great time to freeze-frame and look at the state of the presidential race. Here’s what that Snapshot tells us: across a collection of 24 national polls released over the past two weeks, Joe Biden led Donald Trump by an average of […]