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Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Category Archive: States
2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) Kentucky – New Mexico
November 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) New York – Wyoming
November 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Cory Gardner for Veep? Don’t Laugh
November 6, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What Does Bevin’s Victory in Kentucky Mean for Vitter’s Chances?
November 5, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Fiorina Has No Clear Lane to GOP Nomination
November 4, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Don’t Blame Gerrymandering for GOP Civil War
October 30, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Cruz and Jindal Wait Impatiently for Their Chances
October 29, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why the Next Month Is Critical for Bush
October 28, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Vitter’s Primary Performance Prompts Rating Change in Louisiana
October 27, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Pelosi Sees a Wave; Strategists Say it’s Just a Ripple Now
October 26, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
What the Heck Happened to Rand Paul?
October 21, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
John Boehner Shouldn’t Pack His Bags Just Yet
October 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ryan Is Damned if He Does, and Damned if He Doesn’t
October 18, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Divided in Fight for Maryland Senate Seat
October 16, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats Battle for Open House Seats in Maryland
October 16, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Colorado
October 16, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (October 16, 2015)
October 16, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Republicans Need to Nominate Ted Cruz
October 15, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why I Keep Forgetting About John Kasich
October 9, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Early Iowa Presidential Polls a Better Predictor Than National Ones
October 8, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Draft Biden Organizer Dismissed Over Past Legal Problems
October 7, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
State Senator Prepares GOP Primary Challenge to Shimkus
October 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Hassan’s Decision Changes Outlook in Two New Hampshire Races
October 5, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Boehner’s Exit Leaves House Republicans With Challenging Next Chapter
October 1, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Ohio
October 1, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
House Democrats Desperate to Make up Ground in New York
October 1, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (October 1, 2015)
October 1, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Young, Ambitious and Wealthy Isn’t Enough in Arkansas
September 24, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Indiana Reps Still Wrestling With Residency
September 21, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Florida Senate: Too Big to Fail
September 18, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Florida
September 18, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (September 18, 2015)
September 18, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
No Rating Change After Benishek’s Retirement in Michigan
September 16, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
A Significant Reassessment of the GOP Race
September 10, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Wisconsin Senate: Badger State Battle, Part 2
September 4, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Colorado 6: Can Carroll Cause Coffman to Stumble?
September 4, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (Minnesota 2, North Dakota Governor Senate, Washington 8 Governor
September 4, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Reichert Seriously Considering Washington Governor’s Race
September 3, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Louisiana Governor: Does David Vitter Have Something to Worry About?
September 2, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Campaign Committees Open Holes While Filling Others
August 27, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Crist, Culver Contemplate Humbling Transition to the House
August 25, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Indiana 3: Home is Where the Heart Is
August 21, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2015-16 Gubernatorial Overview: Parties Brace for Bigger Battles Ahead
August 21, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (August 21, 2015) Florida 5, Illinois 15, Texas 16, Iowa 1 & 4
August 21, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Group Suggests ‘Schock Waves’ in Illinois Special Election
August 19, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
A Modest Proposal: Timeshare Congressional Districts
August 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Stop the Presses: O’Malley Nabs Swalwell Endorsement
August 14, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2016 House Overview (August 11, 2015) Alabama – Illinois
August 11, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview (August 11, 2015) Indiana – New Jersey
August 11, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview (August 11, 2015) New Mexico – Wyoming
August 11, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats, Party Switchers and the Ghost of Ed Jany
August 7, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
A Brief Electoral History of Recently Indicted Congressmen
July 31, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
More Democratic Losses Could Be on the Horizon
July 30, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Chris Christie’s Conundrum
July 29, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2016 Senate Overview (July 24, 2015) Alabama – Kansas
July 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (July 24, 2015) Kentucky – New Mexico
July 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (July 24, 2015) New York – Wyoming
July 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Less Hair Could Mean More Votes in Minnesota
July 23, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Bernie Sanders: The Latest Version of Howard Dean
July 10, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Heck’s Decision Prompts Rating Change in Two Nevada Races
July 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
North Carolina Senate: Life After Hagan
July 2, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Pennsylvania 6: Suburban Districts Elude Democrats
July 2, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
When the Second Time Isn’t the Charm
July 2, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Does Scott Walker Have What It Takes to Win in 2016?
June 26, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Yarmuth Retirement Rumor Offers Window Into Future
June 25, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Iowa Straw Poll: Put a Stake Through Its Heart
June 22, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Michigan 7: Democrats Target Walberg (Again)
June 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (June 17, 2015) Colorado Senate, Georgia Senate, Indiana Senate, Nevada Senate
June 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Race Plays Out on Congressional Baseball Game Field
June 12, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Illinois Senate: The Most Vulnerable Senator in the Country
May 29, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Arizona Landscape Shifts in Two Races
May 29, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (May 29, 2015) Indiana Governor, Indiana Senate, Kentucky Governor, Nevada Senate
May 29, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Kirkpatrick’s Decision Prompts Ratings Changes in Two Arizona Races
May 26, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
500 Attack Emails Couldn’t Take Down Thom Tillis
May 26, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Can Republicans Repeat an Upset in Colorado?
May 21, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Nevada Senate: Republicans Hope for Heck of a Race
May 15, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Nevada House: Republicans on the Defensive
May 15, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Path to GOP Nomination Starts by Dealing with Loss in Iowa
May 15, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (May 15, 2015) California Senate, California 25, Indiana Senate, Indiana 3
May 15, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why It’s a Mistake to Dismiss Bobby Jindal
May 15, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Caveat Emptor, in Political Giving Too
May 13, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Senate Races, Pro Salaries and Perspective on Spending
May 7, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
How Much Trouble Is Richard Burr in?
May 6, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Is John Kasich in the Top Tier in 2016?
May 4, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Texas 23: Hurd(ing) Voters
May 1, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Maine 2: Bruce Almighty?
May 1, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (May 1, 2015) Indiana Governor, Oregon Governor, West Virginia Governor
May 1, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Cruz’s Struggle: This Man Loves to Argue
April 22, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2016 Senate Overview (April 17, 2015) Alabama – Kansas
April 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (April 17, 2015) Kentucky – New Mexico
April 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (April 17, 2015) New York – Wyoming
April 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Wyden Looks Safe, but Democratic Rift Is Real
April 13, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Adding Context to GOP Gains at State Level
April 10, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2016 House Overview (April 3, 2015) Alabama – Illinois
April 3, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview (April 3, 2015) Indiana – New Jersey
April 3, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview (April 3, 2015) New Mexico – Wyoming
April 3, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (April 3, 2015) Florida Senate, Indiana Senate, Illinois Senate, Nevada Senate
April 3, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
How Reid Reacted When a Republican Senator Was Indicted
April 3, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Jeb Bush Can’t Be Nominated. Or Can He?
April 2, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Start With Narrow Advantage in Nevada Open Seat
March 27, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Lopach Leads March Toward Democratic Senate Majority
March 25, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Schilling Considering Special Election for Schock Seat
March 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Indiana Senate Race Moves Out of Safe
March 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Illinois 18: Who Will Replace Aaron Schock?
March 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Iowa 1: Freshman in the City
March 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (March 20, 2015) Florida Senate, Maryland Senate, Michigan’s 11th, New Jersey Senate
March 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Mark Kirk Starts 2016 as an Underdog
March 12, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What the ‘Big Ten’ Tells Republicans They Need in 2016
March 11, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Young Republican Explores Primary vs. Scott DesJarlais
March 10, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Familiar Faces in Presidential Battleground States
March 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Mississippi 1 Special: Republicans Avoid ‘08 Redo
March 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Maryland Senate: Democrats Jockey for Mikulski’s Seat
March 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (March 6, 2015) CA Senate, FL Senate, MO Governor, NC Senate
March 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Pat Toomey Is a Strong Candidate. Will That Be Enough in 2016?
March 5, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Feingold, Sestak Face History, Former Foes in Senate Rematches
March 4, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Rand Paul, Hillary Clinton Face Foreign Policy Challenges in 2016
March 2, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Senate Challenger Battles Secretary of State Curse
February 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
New York 19: Top-Tier Holding Pattern
February 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
California Senate: Boxer’s Retirement Complicates Contenders’ Plans to Move Up the Ladder
February 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Oregon: Brown Takes the Helm as Kitzhaber Resigns
February 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (February 20, 2015) California 44, Mississippi 1, Missouri Senate
February 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Past and Precedent: What Makes This Mississippi Special Election Interesting
February 19, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Early Senate Polling Is Usually Useless
February 13, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Special Elections Really Matter
February 12, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ohio Senate: Portman Shifts from Offense to Defense
February 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats Gamble With New York Special Election
February 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
When Activists Run for Office
February 5, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Even Democrats Love Talking About Joni Ernst
February 2, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats Looking Beyond New York 11 Special Election
January 28, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2015-16 Gubernatorial Overview (January 23, 2015) Delaware – West Virginia
January 23, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Pennsylvania 8: Democrats Looking Forward to Open Seat
January 23, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (January 23, 2015) California Senate, Iowa Senate, Pennsylvania Senate
January 23, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Hillary Clinton Should Fear Elizabeth Warren
January 22, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
When a House Member Should Retire
January 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (January 9, 2015) Alabama – Kansas
January 9, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (January 9, 2015) Kentucky – New Mexico
January 9, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (January 9, 2015) New York – Wyoming
January 9, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Can Jeb Bush Win the GOP Nomination?
January 7, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Republican to Retire from Competitive House Seat in New York
January 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Very Early Handicapping on Special Election in New York’s 11th District
January 2, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Beltway View Clashes with District Dynamic in Illinois’ 12th
December 19, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Loss Puts Terry in Exclusive Club
December 19, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
What Kind of Race Would Russ Feingold Run in 2016?
December 19, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats Abandoned Mary Landrieu in the Runoff. Does it Matter?
December 11, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Mary Landrieu’s Loss and the End of Ticket Splitting
December 10, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Draft Ben Carson Group Complicates Potential Presidential Campaign
December 5, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
How to Handle a Broken Campaign Promise
December 2, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Freshman Class Filled With Losers
November 25, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
The 2014 Elections: How’d We Do?
November 21, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Louisiana Races Go Into Overtime
November 21, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Unsuccessful House Candidate Already ‘In’ for 2016
November 17, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Mary Landrieu’s Tall Task in the Louisiana Runoff
November 13, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Review: 6 Races Both Parties Viewed Completely Differently
November 11, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ratings Change: Louisiana Senate Moves from Tilt Republican To Lean Republican
November 6, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
GOP Candidates More Popular Than Democrats in Top Senate Races
November 4, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Jesse Ferguson Lives to Fight Another Day
November 4, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Election Eve Update: Gubernatorial Race Ratings Changes
November 3, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Election Eve Update: House Republicans on Edge of Good, Great Election Night
November 3, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Election Eve Update: GOP Prospects Continue to Improve in the Senate
November 3, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ratings Change in Kentucky Senate
November 1, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Senate Outlook: Advantage to Republicans
October 29, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
House Outlook: Measuring the GOP Wave
October 29, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Governors on the Defensive as Close Races Go Down to the Wire
October 29, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ratings Change: New Hampshire Senate
October 24, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ratings Change: Massachusetts Governor
October 24, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Seven More House Races Creep Toward Republicans
October 24, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
A Good Year May Not Save These Three Vulnerable House Republicans Either
October 23, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Weak GOP Candidates May Need More Than a Good Year
October 23, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
South Dakota Senate Race Returning to Form
October 22, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Not His Father’s Arkansas
October 20, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Senate Outlook: Lots of Moving Pieces But Fundamentally Unchanged
October 17, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Wither the National House Vote?
October 17, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Gubernatorial Report Shorts (October 17, 2014)
October 17, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ratings Change: Arkansas Senate from Toss-up/Tilt Republican to Lean Republican
October 13, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ratings Change: Alaska Senate from Pure Toss-up to Toss-up/Tilt Republican
October 13, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ratings Change: South Dakota Senate from Republican Favored to Lean Republican
October 13, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Decidedly on Defense in the House
October 10, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
6 Races Both Parties View Completely Differently
October 10, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Michigan Senate Seat Moves Away from Republicans
October 9, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Three Election Trends That Could End in 2014
October 7, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Could a Four-Second Mistake Cost a Candidate Thousands of Dollars?
October 6, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Fight for the Senate: Trajectory Unchanged
October 3, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Focus on Open Seats, Weak Incumbents for House Bright Spots
October 3, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Volatility Reigns in Gubernatorial Contests
October 3, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Family Ties May Not Be Enough to Save Vulnerable Senators
October 2, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Chairmen Try to Avoid Historic Home-State Losses
September 29, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Fight for Senate Control Down to Five States
September 25, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
A Bible, a Keg Stand, and a Snowmobile: The Keys to Holding a Democratic Majority in the Senate
September 24, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Republicans Ready to Add to House Majority
September 24, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Amazingly Static House Playing Field
September 19, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
A National Election or a Localized One?
September 12, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Putting House Expectations Into Context
September 12, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democratic Hopes Shine Brighter in Gubernatorial Races
September 12, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Republicans Use Birth Control as Campaign Wedge
September 9, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
House Candidate May Have Faulty Disclaimer in Campaign Ad
September 5, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Pat Roberts is the Most Vulnerable Republican Senator in the Country
September 4, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014 Senate Overview (August 29, 2014) Alabama – Kansas
August 29, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 Senate Overview (August 29, 2014) Kentucky – New Mexico
August 29, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 Senate Overview (August 29, 2014) North Carolina – Wyoming
August 29, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Not Your Typical Southern Democrat in South Carolina
August 20, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
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