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Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Category Archive: States
Alaska Senate: Democrats Reach Into The Red
March 26, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Ohio Senate: Can Husted Hold On?
March 26, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
When Do “Whale” Donors Keep Campaigns Afloat?
March 26, 2026
by
Bradley Wascher
Report Shorts (March 26, 2026)
March 26, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Illinois Primary Results: Democrats Nominate Likely New Members
March 18, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Overview (March 12, 2026): Alabama – Iowa
March 12, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York
March 12, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Overview (March 12, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin
March 12, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate Report Shorts (March 12, 2026)
March 12, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Oklahoma Senate: Mullin Appointment Could Create Ripple Effect
March 5, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Montana Senate: Daines’ Drop Inserts Uncertainty
March 5, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Texas, North Carolina Kick off 2026 Primaries
March 4, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
First-Time Candidates Enter the Ring in Key House Race
February 19, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Texas: Republicans, Democrats Face Critical Early Primaries
February 19, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)
February 19, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House: Money Isn’t Enough to Save Incumbents in Wave Elections
February 11, 2026
by
Nathan Gonzales
Georgia Senate: Republicans Try to Take Back Ground
February 5, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Georgia Senate: Republicans Try to Take Back Ground
February 5, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Pennsylvania 8: Paiging the Incumbent
February 5, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Pennsylvania 8: Paiging the Incumbent
February 5, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (Feb. 5, 2026)
February 5, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Podcast Episode 64: ICE Shootings + Minnesota Politics w/ Ryan Faircloth of Star Tribune
February 1, 2026
by
Nathan Gonzales
2026 Senate Overview
January 22, 2026
by
Nathan Gonzales
&
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 Senate Overview
January 22, 2026
by
Nathan Gonzales
2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 22, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming
January 22, 2026
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (January 22, 2026)
January 22, 2026
by
Nathan Gonzales
Alaska Senate: Peltola Puts Seat on Battleground
January 12, 2026
by
Nathan Gonzales
Georgia 14 Special: Greene New Deal
January 8, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Wyoming Senate: Cowboy State Roundup
January 8, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (Jan. 8, 2026)
January 8, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Governor Report Shorts (Jan. 8, 2026)
January 8, 2026
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Wyoming Senate: Lummis Not Seeking Re-election
December 19, 2025
by
Nathan Gonzales
North Carolina Senate: Tar Heel Target
December 18, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
New Jersey 11 Special: A Morris & Essex Mess
December 18, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (Dec. 18, 2025)
December 18, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Alabama – Iowa
December 5, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York
December 5, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin
December 5, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Attorney Married to Ex-NFL Star Explores Run For Congress
December 4, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
It’s Beginning to Look a Lot Like … a Traditional Midterm Election
December 4, 2025
by
Nathan Gonzales
Maryland 6: Trone Polls Primary Matchup Against Incumbent McClain Delaney?
November 24, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Nebraska 2: High Stakes in Omaha
November 20, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Federal Court Strikes Down New Texas Map
November 20, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Tennessee 7: Democrats in the Green?
November 20, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)
November 20, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Could Democrats Break the Texas Gerrymander?
November 12, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
A Detailed Analysis of Utah’s New Congressional Map
November 11, 2025
by
Nathaniel Rakich
Washington 3: Same Place, Different Face
November 6, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (Nov. 6, 2025)
November 6, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Maine 2: Open Seat Shifts Toward Republicans
November 5, 2025
by
Nathan Gonzales
12 Initial Takeaways from Tuesday’s Elections
November 5, 2025
by
Nathan Gonzales
New Jersey and Virginia: Key Counties to Watch
November 4, 2025
by
Bradley Wascher
Is Graham Platner Solving the Wrong Problem for Maine Democrats?
November 3, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
A Detailed Analysis of Ohio’s New Congressional Map
October 31, 2025
by
Nathaniel Rakich
A Detailed Analysis of North Carolina’s New Congressional Map
October 24, 2025
by
Nathaniel Rakich
2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): Alabama – Kansas
October 23, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico
October 23, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming
October 23, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (Oct. 23, 2025)
October 23, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
New Hampshire Senate: Sununu Bid Boosts Republican Chances
October 22, 2025
by
Nathan Gonzales
Maine 2: Turning LePage on Golden?
October 9, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Arizona 6: Send the Marine
October 9, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (Oct. 9, 2025)
October 9, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Arizona 1: Open Seat Shifts to Toss-up
October 2, 2025
by
Nathan Gonzales
Tennessee 7 Special: Upset in the Making?
September 30, 2025
by
Nathaniel Rakich
A Detailed Analysis of Missouri’s New Congressional Map
September 29, 2025
by
Nathaniel Rakich
Iowa Senate: Democrats Reach for Open Seat
September 25, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Michigan 7: Longing for Lansing
September 25, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (Sept. 25, 2025)
September 25, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): Alabama – Iowa
September 11, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): Kentucky – New York
September 11, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): North Carolina – Wisconsin
September 11, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate & Governor Report Shorts (Sept. 11, 2025)
September 11, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Iowa Senate: Ernst Out, Republicans Still Favored
August 29, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): Alabama – Illinois
August 28, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): Iowa – New Mexico
August 28, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): New York – Wyoming
August 28, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House & Senate Report Shorts (Aug. 28, 2025)
August 28, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
A Detailed Analysis of Texas’ New Congressional Map
August 27, 2025
by
Nathaniel Rakich
A Detailed Analysis of California’s (Maybe) New Congressional Map
August 21, 2025
by
Nathaniel Rakich
Parties Engage in Redistricting Arms Race
August 14, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (August 14, 2025)
August 14, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Ohio Senate: Brown Decision Shifts Race Out of Solid
August 12, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2025): Alabama – Kansas
July 24, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico
July 24, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming
July 24, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Arizona 7 Special: All in the Family
July 17, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Pennsylvania 10: Familiar Faces
July 10, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
California 13: Republican Reclamation?
July 10, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (July 10, 2025)
July 10, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Nebraska 2: Without Bacon, Are Republicans Cooked?
June 30, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
North Carolina Senate: Tillis Decision Creates Open Seat
June 29, 2025
by
Nathan Gonzales
Illinois Senate: Race of Three, Who Will It Be?
June 20, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Alabama Senate: Put Me in Coach
June 20, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (June 20, 2025)
June 20, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
New Jersey Governor: Sherrill and Ciattarelli Were Born to Run
June 12, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Missouri 2: Cardinal Pitcher Adam Wainwright Recruited to Challenge Ann Wagner
June 9, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): Alaska – Iowa
June 5, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York
June 5, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): North Carolina – Wisconsin
June 5, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate & Governor Report Shorts (June 5, 2025)
June 5, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Pennsylvania 7: Long Road Ahead in the Lehigh Valley
May 15, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Arizona 7 Special: The Tussle in Tucson
May 15, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (May 15, 2025)
May 15, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
New Hampshire Senate: Same Races, Familiar Faces
May 1, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Wisconsin 3: Drifting Red or Drifting Blue?
May 1, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (May 1, 2025)
May 1, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Illinois Senate: Durbin’s Retirement Sets Up Crowded Democratic Primary
April 23, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): Alabama – Kansas
April 17, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico
April 17, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming
April 17, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (April 17, 2025)
April 17, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Special Elections Confirm Changed Political Environment
April 3, 2025
by
Nathan Gonzales
House Redistricting Status Update
April 3, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Four Districts that Could Feature Sleeper House Races
April 3, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
New Jersey Governor: Garden State Gaggle
April 3, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Florida Special Elections Come Into Focus
March 28, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Colorado 8: Centennial State Showdown
March 20, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Iowa 1: Third Time’s a Charm?
March 20, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (March 20, 2025)
March 20, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
New Hampshire Senate: Shaheen Retirement Creates Open Seat
March 13, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 House Overview (March 7, 2025): Alabama – Iowa
March 7, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 House Overview (March 7, 2025): Kansas – New York
March 7, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 House Overview (March 7, 2025): North Carolina – Wisconsin
March 7, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (March 7, 2025)
March 7, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Kentucky Senate: Life After McConnell
February 20, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Michigan Senate: Open for Candidates
February 20, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
New York 21 Special: Delayed Opportunity
February 20, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (Feb. 20, 2025)
February 20, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Minnesota Senate: Smith Decision Creates Open Seat
February 13, 2025
by
Nathan Gonzales
2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Feb. 6, 2025): Alabama – Illinois
February 6, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Feb. 6, 2025): New York – Wyoming
February 6, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (Feb. 6, 2025)
February 6, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Virginia Governor: Historic No Matter What
January 24, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
The Primary is the Ballgame in Two Florida House Specials
January 24, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (Jan. 24, 2025)
January 24, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Florida and Ohio Appointments Fill Out Senate Battlefield
January 17, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 9, 2025): Alabama – Kansas
January 9, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 9, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico
January 9, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 9, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming
January 9, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Florida 20: House Ethics Committee Releases Initial Cherfilus-McCormick Report
January 7, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
California 45: Tran Melts Steel’s Advantage
December 19, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Nebraska 2: Bacon Cooks Democrats Again
December 5, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Report Shorts (December 5, 2024)
December 5, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2024 Senate Results Recap
November 15, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Outlier or Early Warning? Late Iowa Poll Confounds
November 3, 2024
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Report Shorts (October 31, 2024)
October 31, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Pennsylvania 8 Poll: Carry On, Cartwright
October 29, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate Report Shorts (October 18, 2024)
October 18, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Report Shorts (October 18, 2024)
October 18, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Wisconsin
October 18, 2024
by
Bradley Wascher
Arizona 2 Poll: Sleeper Race Awakens
October 17, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate Report Shorts (October 10, 2024)
October 10, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Report Shorts (October 10, 2024)
October 10, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Gubernatorial Report Shorts (October 10, 2024)
October 10, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
North Carolina 1 Poll: Down Ballot Democrats Ahead
October 3, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate Report Shorts (September 26, 2024)
September 26, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Report Shorts (September 26, 2024)
September 26, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Gubernatorial Report Shorts (September 26, 2024)
September 26, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
North Carolina Governor Slips From Republicans
September 20, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Montana 1 Poll: Tranel and Tester on the Edge
September 19, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate Report Shorts (Sept. 12, 2024)
September 12, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Report Shorts (Sept. 12, 2024)
September 12, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Gubernatorial Report Shorts (Sept. 12, 2024)
September 12, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Trump, Harris Face Off in Philadelphia with the White House on the Line
September 11, 2024
by
Nathan Gonzales
Oregon 5 Poll: Chavez-DeRemer in the Hot Seat
September 4, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate Report Shorts (August 29, 2024)
August 29, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Arizona
August 29, 2024
by
Bradley Wascher
Gubernatorial Report Shorts (August 29, 2024)
August 29, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Key Primary Results in Arizona, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Washington, and Wisconsin
August 16, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate Report Shorts (August 16, 2024)
August 16, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: North Carolina
August 16, 2024
by
Bradley Wascher
Presidential: Walz Joins Harris on Democratic Ticket
August 7, 2024
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Political Calculations and Consequences of Harris’s Vice Presidential Considerations
July 24, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Michigan 7 Poll Underscores Challenges for Democrats
July 17, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Nebraska 2: Omaha Tiebreaker
July 11, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Key Primary Results in Colorado, New York, South Carolina and Utah
June 26, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2024 House Overview (June 20, 2024): Alaska – Iowa
June 20, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2024 House Overview (June 20, 2024): Kansas – New York
June 20, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2024 House Overview (June 20, 2024): North Carolina – Wisconsin
June 20, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Virginia, Oklahoma, Georgia Runoff Primary Results
June 19, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Primary Results in Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, and South Carolina, and Ohio 6 Special
June 12, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
New Mexico Senate: Domenici Digs Deep
June 7, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
New York 19: Riley vs. Molinaro Rematch
June 7, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House: Key Primary Results from Iowa, Montana, New Jersey and New Mexico
June 5, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
North Carolina 1: Tar Heel Target
May 23, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Pennsylvania
May 23, 2024
by
Bradley Wascher
House: Key Primary Results from Georgia, Oregon, Idaho, and Kentucky
May 22, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Maryland, Nebraska, West Virginia Unveil Key Primary Results
May 15, 2024
by
Nathan Gonzales
2024 Senate Overview: Republicans Poised to Make Gains
May 9, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2024 Senate Overview (May 9, 2024): Arizona – Maine
May 9, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2024 Senate Overview (May 9, 2024): Maryland – Ohio
May 9, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2024 Senate Overview (May 9, 2024): Pennsylvania – Wyoming
May 9, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Nevada
May 9, 2024
by
Bradley Wascher
Report Shorts (May 9, 2024)
May 9, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Presidential Rating Change: Nevada Shifts to Toss-up
May 8, 2024
by
Nathan Gonzales
2024 Gubernatorial Overview: Small Cycle, Big Turnover
April 26, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Arizona 6: Twice the Charm in Tucson?
April 26, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Georgia
April 26, 2024
by
Bradley Wascher
Report Shorts (April 26, 2024)
April 26, 2024
by
Jacob Rubashkin
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