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Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Category Archive: States
Wave or No Wave, House Landscape Favors Republicans
August 15, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Races Shift to Higher Gear
August 15, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Gubernatorial Report Shorts (August 15, 2014)
August 15, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Walsh Drops Out, Montana Senate Moves to Republican Favored
August 7, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
President George W. Obama Meets the Midterms
August 7, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 Gubernatorial Overview (August 1, 2014) Alabama – Illinois
August 1, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014 Gubernatorial Overview (August 1, 2014) Iowa – New Mexico
August 1, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014 Gubernatorial Overview (August 1, 2014) New York – Wyoming
August 1, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
So You Want to Be a Political Handicapper? 2014 Edition
July 30, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Chuck Schumer’s Dream: A Democratic Nightmare
July 29, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Montana Senate Moves to Lean Republican
July 24, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Montana Senate: A Real Race or Simply Manufactured Buzz?
July 24, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
‘Simple’ Doesn’t Equal ‘Easy’ in N.H. Senate Race
July 23, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
GOP Can’t Catch a Break in Congressional Baseball Recruitment
July 22, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
‘Would You Rather?’ House Race Edition
July 21, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014 House Overview (July 18, 2014) Alabama – Indiana
July 18, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 House Overview (July 18, 2014) Iowa – Oklahoma
July 18, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 House Overview (July 18, 2014) Oregon – Wyoming
July 18, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Imperfect People Get Elected to the Senate
July 16, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Fight for the Senate Still Very Much Up in the Air
July 15, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Minnesota Senate: Still Very Unlikely, But Not Impossible
July 14, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
New Jersey 3: So Close, Yet So Far Away
July 8, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Arizona 7: The Name Game
July 8, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
House Report Shorts (July 8, 2014)
July 8, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Gubernatorial Report Shorts (July 8, 2014)
July 8, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Report Shorts (July 8, 2014)
July 8, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
How Parties Communicate Without Coordinating
July 7, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate GOP Bets on Jeff Larson to Help Ride to Majority in 2014
July 3, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Long Shots Find Success Down the Ballot
June 27, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Minnesota 8: Rumble on the Range
June 20, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Virginia 10: The Party That Cried Wolf
June 20, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (June 20, 2014) SC Senate, Maine 2, Mississippi Senate, Virginia 7
June 20, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Mark Pryor: Still This Cycle’s Most Vulnerable Senator
June 17, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Michelle Obama for Senate in 2016: Is It Even a Rumor?
June 16, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
How and Why are Two Separate Questions in Cantor Loss
June 11, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014 Senate Overview (June 6, 2014) Alabama – Kansas
June 6, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 Senate Overview (June 6, 2014) Kentucky – New Mexico
June 6, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 Senate Overview (June 6, 2014) North Carolina – Wyoming
June 6, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Do We Suddenly Care About Races for Lt. Governor?
June 6, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
California 25: Another District Falls Off the List of Competitive Races
June 4, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Thad Cochran’s Mississippi
June 3, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Oregon Senate: National Republicans Get Their Nominee for Potential Race
May 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
West Virginia 2: Don’t Count Out the Republican From Maryland
May 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
South Carolina Senate: Lindsey Graham is Not Safe, Yet
May 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Report Shorts (May 28, 2014) Arkansas, Georgia, Kansas, Kentucky, Mississippi, Nebraska
May 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
House Report Shorts (May 28, 2014) Georgia, Idaho, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Texas
May 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Gubernatorial Report Shorts (May 28, 2014) Georgia, Nebraska, Oregon, Pennsylvania
May 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Can an Endorsement Hurt the Endorsed Candidate?
May 23, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Long Lost Tale of Phil Maloof
May 22, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ben Sasse, Mystery Man
May 19, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Wield Abortion Rights as Campaign Weapon in Primaries, Too
May 16, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Most Influential Losing Congressional Candidate in the Country
May 14, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats Won’t Have a Candidate in Competitive Florida District, Race moves to Safe
May 13, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Michigan: Midwest Melee
May 9, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Maine 2: Out in the Open
May 9, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (May 9, 2014) Georgia Governor, Hawaii Governor, North Carolina Senate, and more
May 9, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Now that GOP Primary is Over, North Carolina Senate Moves to Pure Toss-Up
May 7, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
And the Winner of the GOP’s Civil War Primary Is …
May 7, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Beware of the Surprise House Primary Losers
May 6, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats Pin Hopes on New Candidate, Unconventional Process in Florida’s 13th District
May 2, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Warning: Senate Races Aren’t as Close as They Appear
April 30, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
When Birth Certificates and Senate Races Clash
April 29, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Rating New York’s 11th District and One of My Worst Mistakes as a Political Handicapper
April 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
North Carolina: Primary Purpose
April 25, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Wisconsin 6: Open Seat B’gosh
April 25, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Arkansas Senate: Shooting Down Strawmen
April 25, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Charleston Gazette Endorsements Need a Little Perspective
April 25, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Colorado Senate: Mark Udall Still Favored
April 22, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Sebelius to the Senate? Maybe in the Land of Oz, But Not in Kansas
April 18, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democratic Senate Prospects and the New Black Voter
April 14, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014 House Overview (April 11, 2014) Alabama – Indiana
April 11, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 House Overview (April 11, 2014) Iowa – Oklahoma
April 11, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 House Overview (April 11, 2014) Oregon – Wyoming
April 11, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Meet 3 Divergent House Candidates Worth Watching
April 10, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
GOP Congressman Skips Incumbent Label on California Ballot
April 9, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Mississippi Senator Thad Cochran, Underdog?
April 4, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Nebraska Senate: Peak Timing
March 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
West Virginia 3: The Ties That Bind
March 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ohio 6: There Goes the Neighborhood
March 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Rogers’ Retirement Makes Michigan 8 More Competitive
March 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Memo to Democrats: Running Toward Barack Obama Might Work
March 21, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Colorado Senate Race Firmly on Senate Battlefield
March 20, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Another Cycle, Another Poll Memo About Florida’s 2nd District
March 19, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 Senate Overview (March 14, 2014) Alabama – Kansas
March 14, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 Senate Overview (March 14, 2014) Kentucky – New Mexico
March 14, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 Senate Overview (March 14, 2014) North Carolina – Wyoming
March 14, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Jolly Wins Special, Florida’s 13th Starts as Lean Republican for Midterm
March 12, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Florida’s 13th District Special Election Is Still a Tossup
March 11, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Bill Clinton’s Real Impact on the Kentucky Senate Race
March 10, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Have Primaries, Too
March 6, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Ken Buck Has the Inside Track in Colorado’s 4th District
March 4, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Oregon Senate: Testing the Democratic Firewall
February 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Michigan Senate: Evolving GOP Opportunity
February 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Illinois Primaries: GOP Races Set Stage for November
February 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (February 28, 2014) Colorado Senate, Michigan 12, Texas 33
February 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Gardner Decision Shakes Up Colorado Senate Race
February 26, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Obamacare Can Be Complicated for Republicans Beyond the Beltway
February 25, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Please Don’t Call It an Exodus From Congress
February 21, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
New York 21: Have We Seen This Movie Before?
February 14, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Texas Primaries: House, Not the Senate, is the Place to Watch
February 14, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Poll Analysis is More than the “Leading” Candidate
February 14, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (February 14, 2013) California 31, New Jersey 1, Washington 4
February 14, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
How Candidates Share Without Coordinating With Outside Groups
February 11, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
North Carolina 2: Clay Aiken In, Seat Still Safe GOP for Now
February 6, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
California House Districts: Still Adjusting to New Landscape
January 31, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Kansas Senate: The Electorate That Cried Wolf
January 31, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Kansas Governor: What’s the Matter with Brownback?
January 31, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Kansas 2 & 4: Primary Motivation
January 31, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (January 31, 2014) – Florida 13, Idaho 1, Montana At-Large, Oklahoma Senate
January 31, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
2 Seats, 1 State, Zero Opportunities
January 30, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Real Reasons Recruits Don’t Run
January 23, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Garcia is GOP Rising Star, But is She Going Too High Too Soon?
January 21, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014 House Overview (January 17, 2014) Alabama – Indiana
January 17, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 House Overview (January 17, 2014) Iowa – Oklahoma
January 17, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 House Overview (January 17, 2014) Oregon – Wyoming
January 17, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Virginia Senate: Gillespie’s Entry Gives Republicans a Chance
January 17, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
California 25: Open Seat Gets More Competitive
January 16, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
New York 21: Owens Retirement Moves Seat to Toss-Up
January 14, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Race Democrats Can’t Afford to Lose
January 13, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Pay No Attention to That Title of Speaker in Front of My Name
January 11, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
New York 4: Remains Safe for Democrats for Now
January 8, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
North Carolina 7: Democratic Seat Moves from Toss-Up to Safe Republican
January 8, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Gerlach to Retire, Pennsylvania’s 6th Moves from Safe to Lean Republican
January 6, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
What the Latest Iowa Poll Reveals About 2016 (Hint: Not Much)
December 23, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Democratic Escape Plan: How to Hold a Vulnerable Senate Seat
December 19, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014 Senate Overview (December 18, 2013) Alabama – Kansas
December 19, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 Senate Overview (December 18, 2013) Kentucky – New Mexico
December 19, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 Senate Overview (December 18, 2013) North Carolina – Wyoming
December 19, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Is Arkansas Really the Land of Opportunity for Democrats?
December 18, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Open 3rd District Gives Democrats Opportunity in Iowa
December 18, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Matheson’s Retirement Moves Utah’s 4th District to Safe for Republicans
December 17, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Wolf’s Retirement Moves Virginia’s 10th District from Safe to Lean Republican
December 17, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Louisiana Ad Could Preview 2014 Democratic Playbook
December 16, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
The $4 Billion Campaign Against John Cornyn
December 6, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
If Linda Lingle Could, Why Can’t Wendy Davis?
December 3, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Florida 13 Special: Democrats Throw Sink at Young’s Open Seat
November 26, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Arizona 1: Kirkpatrick Shoots for Re-elect, Not Repeat
November 26, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
RPR Report Shorts (Florida 19, Louisiana 5, New York 24, West Virginia 2)
November 26, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Republicans at Risk of Losing West Virginia’s 2nd District
November 22, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Most Divided House District in New York
November 20, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
23 of 25 Vulnerable Democrats Vote in Favor of Upton Bill
November 19, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Most Postmortems of Virginia’s Gubernatorial Race Are Wrong
November 14, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
For Some Candidates, Home Is Where the Opportunity Is
November 12, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Michigan Senate: Open Season
November 8, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Nebraska 2: Mr. Terry’s Wild Ride
November 8, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
RPR Report Shorts (New Jersey 3, Alabama 1, North Carolina 6)
November 8, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Victory Is in the Eye of the Beholder in New Jersey, Virginia and Alabama
November 8, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
New Jersey’s 3rd District Now Open, Now a Tossup
November 7, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Two House Candidates Who Stumbled Over Simple Questions
November 6, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
In Louisiana, Democrats Doth Protest Too Much
November 1, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
6 Democratic House Candidates With Plenty of Potential
October 30, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2014 Gubernatorial Overview (October 25, 2013) Alabama – Illinois
October 25, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014 Gubernatorial Overview (October 25, 2013) Iowa – New Mexico
October 25, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014 Gubernatorial Overview (October 25, 2013) New York – Wyoming
October 25, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
New Jersey Governor: Christie Completes Next Chapter in Longer Book
October 25, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Virginia Governor: McAuliffe Set to Win Race to the Bottom
October 25, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Most Important Election of 2014
October 24, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Look for Mini-Wave in Arkansas in 2014
October 23, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
From Family Tragedy to Congress Is a Difficult Trail
October 22, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
New Hampshire 1 & 2: Congressional Carousel
October 16, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Massachusetts 5: Clark Wins Critical Democratic Primary
October 16, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Florida 13: Democrats Finally Get an Opportunity
October 16, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Is Ted Cruz Causing a Democratic Wave?
October 16, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Florida 13: Young’s Retirement Creates More Competitive Contest
October 10, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Marriage Equality and New York’s 19th District
October 3, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Republican Senate Hopefuls Vary in Quality, Approach
October 2, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Tennant Not a Game Changer Yet for West Virginia Democrats
September 30, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014 House Overview (September 27, 2013) Alabama – Indiana
September 27, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014 House Overview (September 27, 2013) Iowa – Oklahoma
September 27, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014 House Overview (September 27, 2013) Oregon – Wyoming
September 27, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Republicans Win Belated Legal Battles, but Elections Can’t Be Undone
September 26, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Family Politics: When Water Is Thicker Than Blood
September 25, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
House Strategists Continue Search for 2014 Candidates
September 24, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats Ready to Land Recruit in Elusive California District
September 20, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Is South Carolina’s Nikki Haley in Trouble?
September 18, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
In TX, Latinos pass on opportunity to win congressional seat
September 17, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Is Dan Benishek Waffling on Term Limits?
September 16, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
And for John Kasich’s Next Act in Politics …
September 13, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Michigan 1: Benishek, Done That
September 11, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Idaho 2: Primary Problems
September 11, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Virginia Governor: Moves from Toss-Up to Lean Democrat
September 11, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Florida’s 2nd District: When You Don’t Need to Poll
September 11, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
3 Local Races That Could Affect the Fight for the House
September 6, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
North Carolina Senate: Blue Like Hagan
August 23, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Alabama 1 Special: Republican Tide Rolls On
August 23, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Louisiana 5 Special: Republican Dynasty
August 23, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Illinois Governor: Madigan’s Decision Decreases Democratic Chances
August 23, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014 Senate Overview (August 9, 2013) Alabama – Kansas
August 9, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014 Senate Overview (August 9, 2013) Kentucky – New Mexico
August 9, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014 Senate Overview (August 9, 2013) North Carolina – Wyoming
August 9, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Challenger Takes Issue With Congressman’s ‘Brown People’ Comment
August 8, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ohio’s 6th District Moves from Safe to GOP Favored
August 7, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Incumbent Primary Challengers: Some Promising, Others Premature
August 7, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
When 94 Percent Isn’t Pure Enough for Conservative Republicans
August 6, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Georgia Senate: Maybe, Potentially, Possibly … but Not Yet
August 1, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Former GOP House Candidate Marries Gay Partner
July 31, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Massachusetts 5: Republicans Need Not Apply
July 30, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
California 45: The Battle for Orange County
July 30, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
New Jersey Senate: Over Before It Began?
July 30, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Maine Senate: Collins Moves to Safe
July 30, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
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