Category Archive: States

As Portland (Maine) Goes, So Goes … the Nation?

Want to Run for Congress? Prepare to Ask People for Money 8 Hours a Day

Colorado 6: But How Will It Play in Aurora?

Kentucky Senate: Process of Elimination

Maine 2: Michaud’s Exit Creates Potential GOP Opportunity

Montana Senate: Democrats Start From Scratch

Illinois 17: Schilling’s Entry Improves GOP Chances

Texas Governor: Perry Retiring, Abbott is Likely Successor

Montana Senate Rating: Move or Reaffirm?

Despite Primary, Rounds Remains Favorite in South Dakota

Gay Couples Could Face Different Campaign Money Rules Across States

Rating Alison Lundergan Grimes’ Chances in Kentucky

Texas Governor: Rick Perry Out, but …

Massachusetts Senate Moves to Safe After Markey Win

Ohio 14: Running Again for the First Time

2013-14 Gubernatorial Overview (June 28, 2013) Alabama – Illinois

2013-14 Gubernatorial Overview (June 28, 2013) Iowa – New Mexico

2013-14 Gubernatorial Overview (June 28, 2013) New York – Wyoming

Massachusetts’ Unspecial Senate Election

Gomez-Sanford Comparison on Obamacare Fails the Smell Test

I Would Fly 5,000 Miles Just to Help You Get Elected

It’s Never Too Early to Fight About Polling Methodology

Why We Never Moved the Massachusetts Senate Race to Toss-Up

Search for Competitive House Open Seats Comes Up Empty

Latino candidates line up for next year’s Congressional races in Florida

2014 House Overview (June 14, 2013) Alabama – Indiana

2014 House Overview (June 14, 2013) Iowa – Oklahoma

2014 House Overview (June 14, 2013) Oregon – Wyoming

The Barn Jacket as a Secret Campaign Weapon

Search for Anti-Mike Rounds Continues in South Dakota

Brad Pitt and Minnesota’s 8th District

Where Will the Millionaire Cattle Rancher Run in Nebraska?

What is a Pollster’s Obligation to a Campaign?

Should Republicans Recruit a Candidate Against Their Own Incumbent?

Two Democratic House Challengers Worth Watching

New Jersey Senate Remains Safe for Democrats in Long Term

Ratings Change: Rhode Island Governor

The Bachmann District: When a Retirement Changes Everything

New York 19: New Friend Request

West Virginia 2: Old Habits Die Hard

West Virginia 3: Cole + Coal = Victory?

Report Shorts (May 31, 2013)

Are Republicans Completely on Board With Gabriel Gomez?

Latino Democrats Battle Each Other in Heated California Congressional Race

Nebraska Senate: Osborn Likely to Announce Candidacy Soon

Todd Akin, Virginia Style?

Anchorage Mayor Not Running in Alaska Senate Race

In Massachusetts Senate PPP Poll, Read the Numbers — Not the Memo

Alaska Senate: Bridge to Victory

Illinois 13: The Voters of Madison County

Sea Change Ahead?

Report Shorts (May 21, 2013)

A GOP Senate Switch in South Dakota Looks More Likely

Why can’t Latinos get elected to the US Senate?

Alaska Senate Poll: Far, Far Less Than Meets the Eye

Ratings Change: South Dakota Senate Moves to Toss-Up/Tilt Republican

Massachusetts Senate Special Election Race Still Looks Tight

Ranking Potential Flips for 2014 House Rematches

Georgia 12: Barrow Declines Senate Run, But House Democrats Rejoice

South Carolina 1: Sanford Wins, Seat Returns to Safe GOP for 2014

South Carolina 1 Special a Photo Finish?

2014 Senate Overview (May 3, 2013) Alabama – Kansas

2014 Senate Overview (May 3, 2013) Kentucky – New Mexico

2014 Senate Overview (May 3, 2013) North Carolina – Wyoming

Report Shorts (May 3, 2013)

South Carolina 1: Parties Prepare to Spin Colbert Busch Win

Don’t Write Off Massachusetts Senate Race Just Yet

Pennsylvania 13: Daylin Leach- Liberal but Not Angry

South Carolina 1: GOP Throwing Another Race Away, Mark Sanford Style

First Problem for Democratic House Recruits to Solve? Residency

Montana Senate: Baucus Retirement Improves GOP Opportunity

Landrieu’s Gun Vote: A Possible Political Explanation

Pennsylvania 8: Suburban Showdown?

North Carolina 7: Tighter Than A Tick

Oregon 5: The Toss-Up District Without a Competitive Race

South Carolina 1: Sanford Downgraded

Steve King’s Cash Raises Eyebrows, Doubts About Senate Bid

South Carolina 1: Special Situation Requires Two Ratings

The Most Vulnerable House Incumbent(s) of 2014

Scott Brown’s Potentially Silly Adventure

Pennsylvania Governor: Can Allyson Schwartz Make It to Harrisburg?

Most Vulnerable Senator of ‘14? Pryor by a Hair

Why Isn’t Maine’s Susan Collins Vulnerable?

Why Scott Brown Running in N.H. Is a Really, Really Bad Idea

Utah 4: Matheson v. Love, Round Two

Arizona 2: The One That Keeps Getting Away

South Carolina 1 Special: The Punchline’s Over

Report Shorts (April 5, 2013)

South Carolina 1st District Poll: It’s All About Context

South Carolina 1 Special: Referendum on Sanford or Colbert Busch?

Not All State Offices Are Political Launching Pads

In Kentucky, All Eyes on Grimes to Face McConnell

South Dakota Senate Seat Remains a Pure Toss-Up…For Now

Senate: Mixing Apples and Oranges in West Virginia

Minnesota House: Competitive Drought No More?

California 31: Takeover, Take 2

Report Shorts (March 22, 2013)

Arizona: Carmona Declines to Run, Keeps Future Options Open

South Carolina 1: Can Sanford Survive Round Two?

After 2012 Disappointment, Aguilar Readies Re-Run

Why I Rate Michigan’s Senate Seat As ‘Safe’ for Democrats

Looking to 2016: Is It Still Either Bush or Rubio?

Can House Democrats Improve on ’12 Recruiting Flops?

2014 House Overview (March 8, 2013) Alabama – Indiana

2014 House Overview (March 8, 2013) Iowa – Oklahoma

2014 House Overview (March 8, 2013) Oregon – Wyoming

Governorships a Big Opportunity for Democrats in 2014

Michigan Senate: Levin to Retire, But Open Seat Remains Safe for Now

South Carolina 1: Colbert’s Sister an Underdog, but Worth Watching

California 21: Rubio (D) not running

Some Hispanic Congressional Members Breaking Partisan Mold

Bloomberg’s Much Ado About Nothing Much

Illinois 2 Special: The Real Range of Gun Control

2013-14 Gubernatorial Overview (Alabama – Illinois)

2013-14 Gubernatorial Overview (Iowa – New Mexico)

2013-14 Gubernatorial Overview (New York – Wyoming)

Report Shorts (February 22, 2013)

Markey: From 22 Percent to Anointed Senator

Johanns Retirement Sets up Another Open Senate Seat in Nebraska

Hispanics fail to win Hispanic Congressional districts

Rubio and Jindal Are Allies Now, Adversaries Maybe Later

Barr Prepping For Georgia House Bid

New Jersey Senate: Lautenberg Out, Still Safe D For Now

Can Democrats Save Rockefeller’s Seat?

Iowa Senate: Candidates of the Corn

Georgia Senate: Devil Goes Down To Details

West Virginia Senate: Open Question

Illinois 2 Special: The Jackson 3?

RPR Report Shorts (February 8, 2013)

Republicans Risk Not Fielding Any Candidate in Massachusetts

Latham Renaming Committee Ahead of Potential Senate Run

Massachusetts Senate: Brown Drops Along With GOP Chances

Is New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie Overhyped?

Democrats Look to Ward to Energize 2014 Takeover From Helm of DCCC

Harkin’s Retirement Puts Seat In Play for GOP

Chambliss’ Exit Shakes Up Georgia Senate Race

2014 Senate Overview (January 25, 2013) Alabama – Kansas

2014 Senate Overview (January 25, 2013) Kentucky – New Mexico

2014 Senate Overview (January 25, 2013) North Carolina – Wyoming

Senate Majority Leader’s Biography Badly Needs a Rewrite

Who Is Least Likely to Lose the Virginia Gubernatorial Race?

West Virginia Senate: Democrats Look for Winner

Massachusetts Senate: Clear Eyes, Full Hearts, Won’t Lose

South Carolina 1:Taking the Appalachian Trail to Congress

Are Democratic Insiders Missing the Boat in Massachusetts as Special Election Draws Closer?

Virginia Governor: Warts and All

New Jersey Governor: The Rising

South Carolina Senate: DeMint’s Surprise

Illinois 2: Deep Dish of Dramatic Democrats

Missouri 8: Emerson’s Exit Creates Somewhat-Open Opportunity

A Strange Election, With a Few Surprises

DeMint Surprise Exit Sets Up S.C. Scramble

Missouri 8: Who Will Replace Emerson?

Louisiana 3: Last Incumbent Standing

Dissecting the North Dakota Senate Race

Georgia 12: Barrow Lives to Fight Another Day

Hollywood Cachet Doesn’t Always Cash In

Drawing the Wrong Meaning About a House Race

Democrats Likely to Hold Senate, Republican Gains in Doubt (Senate Overview, November 2, 2012)

Republicans Set to Take Ground in Gubernatorial Races (Gubernatorial Overview, November 2, 2012)

The Economy Is Crumbling So Let’s Talk Abortion and Rape

In California, Democrats tout one Hispanic candidate and ignore another

The Fight for the Senate: Uphill for the GOP (Senate Overview, October 26, 2012)

The Fight for the House Looks Over

Indiana Senate Moves to Pure Toss-Up

House Ratings Changes: Mixed Optimism for Both Parties

Pennsylvania Sen. Casey (D) Moved from Safe to Favored

Looking for House Upsets? Take a Look at These

List of House Goners Not What We Expected

Massachusetts Democrat John Tierney Moved to Lean Republican

Senate Strategists Look for Presidential Effect (Senate Overview, October 12, 2012)

House Democrats Need a Game-Changer (House Overview, October 12, 2012)

Can a Race Be Tight and Yet Not Competitive?

Parties Locked in Fight for the Senate (Senate Overview, October 5, 2012)

House Majority Remains Out of Democrats’ Grasp (House Overview, October 5, 2012)

Republican Path to Senate Majority Narrows (Senate Overview, September 28, 2012)

House Majority Remains Out of Reach for Democrats (House Overview, September 28, 2012)

Gubernatorial Races Take Back Seat to Federal Contests (Gubernatorial Overview, September 28, 2012)

Eight House Incumbents to Watch for Clues

‘State Waves’ and the Fight for the Senate

Senate Majority Still Hangs in the Balance

Death of the Presidential Race Has Been Exaggerated

Nearly 99% of House Incumbents Won Their Primaries

Convention: The Iowa Straw Poll and the National Political Conventions

Convention: North Carolina Democrats Deal with Republican-Dealt Hand in the House

Convention: One Candidate’s Path is Another Candidate’s Hurdle for Democrats in Senate

Senate Ratings Changes: Races Shift as Playing Field Takes Shape

Convention: Blue State Sen. Brown (R) Doesn’t Shy Away from Ruby Red Event

After Arizona Primaries, 9th District Rating Change

Connecticut Senate: Move to Lean Democrat

Convention: Lone Star Lamentations

Virginia 2: Roads to Power

Ohio 14: Competitive Later, Rather Than Sooner

Massachusetts 6: Family Feud

Michigan 11: Christmas Miracle?

Georgia Runoffs Paint Incomplete Picture

Missouri Senate: Move to Pure Toss-up

First NRCC IE Ads Show Surprising Diversity

Fun for Everyone in Florida, Connecticut, Minnesota, Wisconsin House Primaries

Stage Officially Set for Competitive Senate Contests in Wisconsin, Florida, Connecticut