Category Archive: States

Rating Change: Florida Senate Shifts to Toss-up

Nathan’s (Mostly) Political One-Liners: Fraudulent Signatures, Roseanne, and Kindness

2018 Gubernatorial Overview (April 6, 2018) Alabama – Illinois

2018 Gubernatorial Overview (April 6, 2018) Iowa – New Mexico

2018 Gubernatorial Overview (April 6, 2018) New York – Wyoming

Candidate Conversation – Cort VanOstran (D)

Candidate Conversation – Russ Fagg (R)

Candidate Conversation – Ammar Campa-Najjar (D)

Nathan’s (Mostly) Political One-Liners: Barn Jackets, HGTV and Pop Punk Music

Ratings Update: Connecticut 5 Remains Solid Democratic for Now

Pennsylvania 6 Rating Change: Costello Decision Shifts Seat to Likely Democratic

Montana Senate: GOP Hopes to Strike Gold In The Treasure State

Top of the Ticket Woes Could Lead to Downballot Debacle

Illinois Primaries: Opportunities in the Land of Lincoln

New York 25: Special Election Possible After Slaughter’s Death

Candidate Conversation – Tim Kane (R)

Candidate Conversation – Diane Harkey (R)

Candidate Conversation – Russ Fulcher (R)

Candidate Conversation – Zach Scott (D)

Candidate Conversation –  Young Kim (R)

Illinois Primaries: Ratings Changes in Two Races

Pennsylvania 18: A Red Flag for the GOP

12 Thoughts Without Even Knowing Who Won in Pennsylvania

Indiana Senate: Donnelly Against the Crowd

Texas Primaries: Democratic Fields Come Into Focus

Arizona 8 Special: Don’t Be Surprised

Mississippi Senate Special: Majority Could Hang in the Balance Into December

Candidate Conversation – Stelian Onufrei (R)

Candidate Conversation – Jane Raybould (D)

Candidate Conversation – Pete Stauber (R)

Candidate Conversation – Kelli Ward (R)

Ratings Update: Texas Primaries Narrow Democratic Fields

Will the Suburbs Flip the House? Watch These Seats

Rating Change: Pennsylvania 18 Special Moves to Toss-Up

Rating Change: Arizona 8 Special Gets More Vulnerable

New Pennsylvania Map, New Pennsylvania House Ratings

2018 House Overview (Feb. 16, 2018) Alabama – Iowa

2018 House Overview (Feb. 16, 2018) Kansas – New York

2018 House Overview (Feb. 16, 2018) North Carolina – Wyoming

Ratings Change: Nolan Announcement Shifts Minnesota Open Seat to Toss-Up

West Virginia Senate: Last Democrat Standing

Pennsylvania 18 Special: Race Starts to Heat Up

New Jersey 11: Open Seat Shifts to Toss-up

Candidate Conversation – H.P. Parvizian (D)

Candidate Conversation – Dino Rossi (R)

Candidate Conversation – Owen Hill (R)

Candidate Conversation – Matt Heinz (D)

Candidate Conversation – Ann Kirkpatrick (D)

Candidate Conversation – Lea Marquez Peterson (R)

Ratings Change: New Jersey Open Seat Shifts to Toss-up

Pennsylvania 7: How Do You Rate a Race for a Seat that Doesn’t Exist?

It’s a Blue House Wave, but Not Yet a Senate One

9 Things to Know about Pennsylvania’s 7th District Race

Arizona 8 Special: Franks’ Resignation Opens Up Republican Seat

Ohio 12 Special: Democrats and Republicans Seek Tiberi’s Seat

For Republicans, McSally Senate Run is Blessing, Curse

Candidate Conversation – Brendan Kelly (D)

Candidate Conversation – Stacey Evans (D)

Candidate Conversation – Van Taylor (R)

Candidate Conversation – Steve Lonegan (R)

Candidate Conversation – Angie Craig (DFL)

California 49 Ratings Update: Issa’s Open Seat Remains a Toss-up for Now

Ratings Change: Open Seat Shifts California’s 39th District Race to Toss-Up

2018 Senate Overview: Alabama Puts Democrats Closer to Majority

2018 Senate Overview (Jan. 5, 2018): Alabama – Maine

2018 Senate Overview (Jan. 5, 2018): Maryland – Ohio

2018 Senate Overview (Jan. 5, 2018): Pennsylvania – Wyoming

Candidate Conversation – David Richardson (D)

11 Things To Know About Pennsylvania’s 9th District

9 Things to Know about Nevada’s 4th District Race

Pennsylvania 18 Special: Democrats’ Next Alabama?

The Fight for the Senate in the Wake of Alabama

Texas House Overview: A New Class of Fresh Faces

Candidate Conversation – Leslie Cockburn (D)

Candidate Conversation – Ben McAdams (D)

Candidate Conversation – Max Rose (D)

10 Thoughts After the Alabama Senate Election

Ratings Update: Tennessee Senate Remains Solid R for Now

Ratings Change: Franken’s Minnesota Seat Starts as Likely for Democrats

Missouri Senate: Claire’s Courtship of Trump Voters

Alabama Senate Special: Moore or Less a Toss-Up

Nebraska 2: Organizing for Omaha

Candidate Conversation – Dan McCready (D)

Candidate Conversation – Gina Ortiz Jones (D)

Candidate Conversation – Josh Butner (D)

Candidate Conversation – Mike Braun (R)

The Battle for Orange County in the Fight for the House

Can Democrats “Minnick” John Katko and Erik Paulsen?

Members Face Tough Odds in Races for Governor

2018 House Overview (Nov. 10, 2017) Alabama – Iowa

2018 House Overview (Nov. 10, 2017) Kansas – New York

2018 House Overview (Nov. 10, 2017) North Carolina – Wyoming

Candidate Conversation – Lauren Baer (D)

Candidate Conversation – Paul Davis (D)

Candidate Conversation – Roger Dean Huffstetler (D)

Ten Thoughts after Democrats’ Big Wins in Virginia

Please Don’t Call It a Push Poll: Transgender Edition

Rating Change: LoBiondo Retirement Makes GOP Seat More Vulnerable

2017-18 Gubernatorial Overview (Oct. 27, 2017) Alabama – Illinois

2017-18 Gubernatorial Overview (Oct. 27, 2017) Iowa – New Mexico

2017-18 Gubernatorial Overview (Oct. 27, 2017) New York – Wyoming

Arizona Senate: Flake Retires But Race Still a Toss-Up

Candidate Conversation – Jason Crow (D)

Candidate Conversation – Abigail Spanberger (D)

Candidate Conversation – Anthony Brindisi (D)

Candidate Conversation – Christina Hartman (D)

Candidate Conversation – Jay Hulings (D)

Rating Change: Democratic Challenger Puts Utah Seat Into Play

Virginia Governor: The Democrats’ Must-Win Race

Iowa House: Democrats Take Another Swing at 1st and 3rd Districts

Candidate Conversation – Hans Keirstead (D)

Candidate Conversation – Mikie Sherrill (D)

Candidate Conversation – Austin Petersen (R)

Candidate Conversation – Chrissy Houlahan (D)

New Hampshire 1: Open Seat Moves to Toss-Up

What Happened to Mountain Republicans in the South?

2018 Senate Overview (Sept. 9, 2017): Alabama – Maine

2018 Senate Overview (Sept. 9, 2017): Maryland – Ohio

2018 Senate Overview (Sept. 9, 2017): Pennsylvania – Wyoming

Candidate Conversation – Paul Perry (D)

Nine Thoughts After the Alabama Senate Runoff

LGBTQ Women Balance Opportunity, Possible Extinction in Congress

Alabama Senate Special: What’s Moore Strange Than a Democratic Opportunity in the South?

House Retirement Update: Republicans Head for the Exits

Kansas 2nd and 3rd:  A Sliver of Blue in Trump Country?

Candidate Conversation – Mike Levin (D)

Candidate Consversation – Tod Curtis (D)

Candidate Conversation – Liz Watson (D)

Report Shorts – Arizona Senate, New Jersey Senate

‘Scam PACs’ Strike Again in Utah, Wisconsin

PA-15 Rating Change: Dent Retirement Puts Seat in Play

The House Retirement Tide Is Coming

WA-08 Rating Change: Reichert Retirement Shifts Seat Away from Republicans

2018 House Overview (Sept. 1, 2017) Alabama – Iowa

2018 House Overview (Sept. 1, 2017) Kansas – New York

2018 House Overview (Sept. 1, 2017) North Carolina – Wyoming

Arizona Senate: Flake Re-Election Race Heats Up

Colorado 2: Democrats Search for Oxygen in Open Seat

Report Shorts: Colorado, Kansas, Maryland, Texas, Tennessee

Merkley’s Mild Town Hall in a Red County

Alabama Senate: Potential for Moore Makes Seat Less Safe

Pennsylvania 6: The Bellwether of the 2018 Ball?

Kid Rock for Senate and the Myth of Donald Trump’s Success

South Dakota At-Large: Republicans Wrestle for Third Senate Seat

Candidate Conversation – Elissa Slotkin (D)

Candidate Conversation – Sam Jammal (D)

When Congressional Spouses (Allegedly) Misbehave

Utah 3 Special: A Change from Chaffetz

Why ‘Single-Payer’ May Not Be Republicans’ Saving Grace in 2018

Colorado 7: The No-Longer-Perlmutter District

New York 22: Taking on Tenney

Candidate Conversation – Clayton Hinchman (R)

Open Seat Gives Democrats a Takeover Opportunity in New Mexico

One Reason Why Republicans Don’t Have More Women in the Senate

2018 Senate Overview (July 7, 2017) Alabama – Maine

2018 Senate Overview (July 7, 2017) Maryland – Ohio

2018 Senate Overview (July 7, 2017) Oklahoma – Wyoming

Ratings Change: Illinois 12

GOP Campaign Tracker Violates Bipartisan Truce (Again)

Virginia 10: Democrats Not Giving Up on the Suburbs

Democrats Look for First Signature Victory

Candidate Conversation – Kia Hamadanchy (D)

Candidate Conversation – Ken Harbaugh (D)

Candidate Conversation – Andy Kerr (D)

Eleven Things I Think I Think After the Georgia and South Carolina Special Elections

Almost a Must-Win for Democrats in Georgia 6

Four (Almost) Famous Congressional Candidates

A Harbaugh Elected in Ohio? You’ll Know It’s a Wave

Georgia 6 Special: Down to the Wire

Montana At-Large: Dems Eye 2018 in Wake of Gianforte Victory

Minnesota House Races: Majority at Stake

Candidate Conversation – Jim Hagedorn (R)

Key Counties to Watch in Montana’s Special Congressional Election

2018 House Overview (May 19, 2017) Alabama – Iowa

2018 House Overview (May 19, 2017) Kansas – New York

2018 House Overview (May 19, 2017) North Carolina – Wyoming

Alabama Senate Special: What a Short Strange Trip It’s Been

Florida 27: Taking Her Talents to Retirement

Candidate Conversation – Harley Rouda (D)

Don’t Trust Politicians Who Say They Aren’t Running for President

Florida 27: Ros-Lehtinen Retirement Creates Vulnerable GOP Open Seat

Are Wisconsin and Pennsylvania Changing Color?

2017-18 Gubernatorial Overview (April 21, 2017) Alabama – Illinois

2017-18 Gubernatorial Overview (April 21, 2017) Iowa – New Mexico

2017-18 Gubernatorial Overview (April 21, 2017) New York – Wyoming

Parties Continue Special Election Slog

Georgia 6: Runoff a Challenge for Both Parties

8 Things I Think I Think After the Georgia 6 Special Primary

11 Things I Think I Think After the Kansas 4 Special Election

2018 Senate Overview (April 7, 2017) Alabama – Maine

2018 Senate Overview (April 7, 2017) Maryland – Ohio

2018 Senate Overview (April 7, 2017) Oklahama – Wyoming

Georgia 6 Special: Red Alert In Suburban District

Texas 16: Yes, A Safe Democratic Seat in Texas

Kansas 4 Special: Not So Solid for Republicans

Candidate Conversation – Brad Little (R)

Georgia 6 Special: Club for Growth to Air TV Ad Against Handel

Minnesota 1: Walz’s Gov Run Creates Vulnerable Open Seat

What I Learned About Polling From a Georgia House Survey

Georgia 6 Special:Looking for a Fight