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Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Category Archive: States
What Makes a Race Competitive?
December 16, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Louisiana 2 Special: Brawl on the Blue Bayou
December 3, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
How Biden Rebuilt the Blue Wall
December 3, 2020
by
Ryan Matsumoto
Georgia Senate Runoffs: Double Overtime
November 19, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Trump’s Surprising Gains with Minority Voters
November 19, 2020
by
Ryan Matsumoto
At Long Last, Senate Results
November 19, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Georgia Runoff History: Why the Past May Not Be Prologue
November 19, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
The Fight for the Senate Continues into 2022
November 19, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
How Blue is North Carolina? District Baseline Analysis
November 2, 2020
by
Bradley Wascher
Presidential Snapshot in Time (October 30, 2020)
October 30, 2020
by
Bradley Wascher
2020 Election Preview: Bracing for History
October 28, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate Report Shorts (October 28, 2020)
October 28, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Report Shorts (October 28, 2020): Alaska – New Mexico
October 28, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Report Shorts (October 28, 2020): New York – Wisconsin
October 28, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
All Eyes on the Hawkeye State: Iowa Baseline by District
October 23, 2020
by
Bradley Wascher
Senate Report Shorts (October 16, 2020)
October 16, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Report Shorts (October 16, 2020)
October 16, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Gubernatorial Report Shorts (October 16, 2020): Missouri Governor
October 16, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Breaking Down Texas Districts With Baseline Metric
October 12, 2020
by
Ryan Matsumoto
Presidential Snapshot in Time (October 2, 2020)
October 2, 2020
by
Bradley Wascher
Senate Report Shorts (October 1, 2020)
October 1, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Report Shorts (October 1, 2020)
October 1, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Hillary Scholten (D)
October 1, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Christina Hagan (R)
October 1, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Rich McCormick (R)
October 1, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate Report Shorts (September 18, 2020)
September 18, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Report Shorts (September 18, 2020)
September 18, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Gubernatorial Report Shorts (September 18, 2020)
September 18, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Presidential Battlegrounds: Texas
September 18, 2020
by
Ryan Matsumoto
Candidate Conversation: Cameron Webb (D)
September 18, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Misleading Senate Ad Uses Out-of-Context Quotes to Attack Opponent
September 10, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate Report Shorts (September 4, 2020)
September 4, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Report Shorts (September 4, 2020)
September 4, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Presidential Battlegrounds: Georgia
September 4, 2020
by
Ryan Matsumoto
Mississippi Senate: Espy’s 1988 convention speech offers clues to 2020 optimism
August 26, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Report Shorts (August 21, 2020)
August 21, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Report Shorts (August 21, 2020)
August 21, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Ashley Hinson (R)
August 21, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Victoria Spartz (R)
August 21, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Julie Oliver (D)
August 21, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Report Shorts (August 7, 2020): Alaska – Iowa
August 7, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Report Shorts (August 7, 2020): Kansas – New York
August 7, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
House Report Shorts (August 7, 2020): North Carolina – Virginia
August 7, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Parties Choose Nominees in Lower-Tier Senate Races
August 7, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Pat Timmons-Goodson (D)
August 7, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Joyce Elliott (D)
August 7, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Al Gross (I)
August 7, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Josh Hicks (D)
August 7, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Tyler Kistner (R)
August 7, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Presidential Snapshot in Time (August 7, 2020)
August 7, 2020
by
Bradley Wascher
Young GOP Veteran Faces Tough Road in the Suburbs
August 5, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (July 27, 2020)
July 27, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
New Jersey 2: The Van Drew Two-Step
July 24, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Massachusetts Senate: Bay State Brawl
July 24, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Sri Preston Kulkarni (D)
July 24, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Brynne Kennedy (D)
July 24, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Presidential Snapshot in Time (July 24, 2020)
July 24, 2020
by
Bradley Wascher
TV Ads Shape Presidential Battleground
July 20, 2020
by
Steve Passwaiter
Electoral College Outlook: Biden Has the Edge
July 17, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): Democrats Poised to Control the Senate
July 10, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): Alabama – Kansas
July 10, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): Kentucky – New Mexico
July 10, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming
July 10, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Presidential Snapshot in Time: July 10, 2020
July 10, 2020
by
Bradley Wascher
Presidential Snapshot in Time (June 26, 2020)
June 26, 2020
by
Bradley Wascher
How One Senate Class Shows a National Realignment
June 25, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Georgia Senate: The Road to Redemption
June 19, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (June 19, 2020)
June 19, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Presidential Snapshot in Time (June 12, 2020)
June 12, 2020
by
Bradley Wascher
Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (June 8, 2020)
June 8, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Florida 26: Can Local Politics Trump Partisanship?
June 5, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Presidential Battlegrounds: North Carolina
June 5, 2020
by
Ryan Matsumoto
Report Shorts (June 5, 2020)
June 5, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Charles Booker (D)
June 5, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Mike Broihier (D)
June 5, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Brigid Callahan Harrison (D)
June 5, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Rating Change: Iowa’s 4th Moves to Solid Republican
June 3, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Presidential Snapshot in Time (May 29, 2020)
May 29, 2020
by
Bradley Wascher
2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): Alabama – Iowa
May 22, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): Kansas – New York
May 22, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming
May 22, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Adair Boroughs (D)
May 22, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (May 20, 2020)
May 20, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
California 25: Can Garcia Win the Battle and the War?
May 8, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Maine 2: Good as Golden
May 8, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Jim Marchant (R)
May 8, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Presidential Snapshot in Time (May 1, 2020)
May 1, 2020
by
Bradley Wascher
Michigan 3: Amash Exit Makes Seat Less Vulnerable
April 29, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (April 29, 2020)
April 29, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 Gubernatorial Overview (April 23, 2020): Finally in the Spotlight
April 23, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Illinois 14: The Underwood Overview
April 23, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Five Key Takeaways from the Wisconsin Supreme Court Election
April 22, 2020
by
Ryan Matsumoto
The Battle for the House, As Told Through Super PAC Ad Reservations
April 17, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (April 10, 2020)
April 10, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Will There be More Republican Women in the House Next Year?
April 9, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Coronavirus and Campaign Ads: How the Pandemic Is Playing on TV
April 8, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Senate is (Still) In Play
April 3, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Alabama – Kansas
April 3, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Kentucky – New Mexico
April 3, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming
April 3, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation – Jason Atkinson (R)
April 3, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Montana Senate: Brawl in Big Sky Country
March 20, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
California House Races Shift to General Election
March 20, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation – Lisa Song Sutton (R)
March 20, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation – Sarah Riggs Amico (D)
March 20, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Rating Change: Montana Senate Shifts Toward Democrats
March 9, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Georgia Senate: How to Blow a Lead
March 6, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Key Senate Races Start to Take Shape
March 6, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Presidential Battlegrounds: Arizona
March 6, 2020
by
Ryan Matsumoto
House Primary Results: Alabama, North Carolina, Texas
March 6, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Super Tuesday Senate Primary Update (March 3, 2020)
March 4, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 House Overview (February 21, 2020): Alabama – Iowa
February 21, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 House Overview (February 21, 2020): Kansas – New York
February 21, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 House Overview (February 21, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming
February 21, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Maine Senate: Is Susan Collins Already Behind?
February 21, 2020
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Indiana 5: Ready to Run
February 7, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Presidential Battlegrounds: Pennsylvania
February 7, 2020
by
Ryan Matsumoto
Candidate Conversation – Chris Bubser (D)
February 7, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Fate of ‘National Security Democrats’ Provides Key to House Majority
February 5, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Virginia 7: No Such Thing as an Easy Race for Republicans
January 24, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Presidential Battlegrounds: Michigan
January 24, 2020
by
Ryan Matsumoto
Candidate Conversation – Cynthia Lummis (R)
January 24, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation – Robert Emmons Jr. (D)
January 24, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation – Jason Church (R)
January 24, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation – Cal Cunningham (D)
January 24, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation – Bob Elliott (R)
January 24, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation – Kendall Qualls (R)
January 24, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
California 50: GOP Benefits from Hunter’s Absence
January 16, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): Alabama – Kansas
January 10, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): Kentucky-New Mexico
January 10, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming
January 10, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Kansas Senate: Pompeo Decision Makes Seat More Vulnerable
January 8, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate and House Outlook Looks a Lot Like It Did at the Start of 2019
January 7, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
South Carolina 1: Top Race in the Lowcountry
December 19, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Presidential Battlegrounds: Wisconsin
December 19, 2019
by
Ryan Matsumoto
Candidate Conversation – Theresa Greenfield (D)
December 19, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
New Jersey 2: Van Drew Decision Changes GOP Prospects
December 16, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
North Carolina: New Congressional Map Boosts Democrats’ Chances
December 6, 2019
by
Ryan Matsumoto
Kansas Senate: Rock Chalk Train Wreck?
December 6, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Don’t Forget Arizona and Minnesota in Presidential Contest
December 6, 2019
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Candidate Conversation – Betsy Dirksen Londrigan (D)
December 6, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation – Eric Early (R)
December 6, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation – Dan Feehan (D)
December 6, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation – Eugene DePasquale (D)
December 6, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Sharing The Ticket: How Much Room Is There For Women Running Mates?
December 2, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 House Overview (Nov. 26, 2019): Alabama – Iowa
November 26, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 House Overview (Nov. 26, 2019): Kansas – New York
November 26, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 House Overview (Nov. 26, 2019): North Carolina – Wyoming
November 26, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation – Sam Peters (R)
November 26, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
New York 2: Open Seat Shifts to More Vulnerable Category
November 11, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Iowa Senate: The Importance of Being Ernst
November 8, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Virginia 2: Shifting Sands in Virginia Beach
November 8, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Candidate Conversation – Alyse Galvin (D)
November 8, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Democratic Win in Kentucky Proves Candidates Still Matter
November 6, 2019
by
Ryan Matsumoto
7 Things I Think I Think After the 2019 Elections
November 6, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
California 25: Legitimate Opportunity or Mirage?
October 28, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Colorado Senate: Rocky Terrain for Republicans
October 25, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
New York 11: The Big Apple’s Purple Island
October 25, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Candidate Conversation – Jeremy Staat (R)
October 25, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Louisiana Governor: Key Takeaways from the Primary Election
October 14, 2019
by
Ryan Matsumoto
2020 Senate Overview (Oct. 11, 2019): Alabama – Kansas
October 11, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 Senate Overview (Oct. 11, 2019): Kentucky – New Mexico
October 11, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 Senate Overview (Oct. 11, 2019): North Carolina – Wyoming
October 11, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Mostly Smoke, and Little Fire, From Republicans to Democrats on Impeachment
October 11, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
New York 27: Less Vulnerable With Collins Departure
September 30, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
North Carolina Senate: Something Red, Something Blue
September 27, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Louisiana Governor: Republicans Pushing for Overtime
September 27, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Minnesota 7: Republicans Gopher It Again
September 27, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Candidate Conversation – Carl DeMaio (R)
September 27, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Candidate Conversation – Don Sedgwick (R)
September 27, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Nebraska’s 2nd District: High Stakes in Omaha
September 13, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Key Senate Races Continue to Take Shape
September 13, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Oklahoma’s 5th District: Sooners Aren’t Sleeping
September 13, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
9 Things I Think I Think After the North Carolina Redo Election
September 11, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
North Carolina 9: Parties and Candidates Spending Big in Redo Election
September 3, 2019
by
Steve Passwaiter
North Carolina 9: McCready Has Narrow Lead in New Bipartisan Poll
August 30, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 House Overview (Aug. 30, 2019): Alabama – Iowa
August 30, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 House Overview (Aug. 30, 2019): Kansas – New York
August 30, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 House Overview (Aug. 30 2019): North Carolina – Wyoming
August 30, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Isakson’s Decision Adds Competitive Seat to 2020 Senate Battleground
August 28, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Wisconsin 7: Duffy’s Seat Remains Solid Republican for Now
August 26, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Maine Senate: Democrats Try to Crack Collins’ Code
August 16, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
North Carolina 9: Back to the Future
August 16, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
House Open Seat Overview
August 16, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Rating Update: Marchant Seat Already Considered Competitive
August 5, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Rating Change: Hurd Retirement Moves Texas District to Democratic Category
August 2, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
How Much Do Recent Retirements Change House Battleground?
July 26, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Trump Admits He was a Liability in 2018
July 24, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Michigan Senate: Renovating The Blue Wall
July 19, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2019 Gubernatorial Overview: Democrats Remain Competitive in Three Red States
July 19, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Candidate Conversation – Ritchie Torres (D)
July 19, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Kentucky Senate: Seriously, Are We Doing This Again?
July 18, 2019
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What We Can Learn from the 2004 Presidential Race
July 12, 2019
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Fallout from Amash’s Decision in Michigan and Beyond
July 10, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
How Many Ways is Michigan in Play in 2020?
July 3, 2019
by
Stuart Rothenberg
If at First You Don’t Succeed, Try, Try and Run Somewhere Else
July 2, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview (June 28, 2019): Alabama – Kansas
June 28, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 Senate (June 28, 2019): Kentucky – New Mexico
June 28, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 Senate Overview (June 28, 2019): North Carolina – Wyoming
June 28, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Candidate Conversation – Peggy Huang (R)
June 28, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
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