Category Archive: States

What Makes a Race Competitive?

Louisiana 2 Special: Brawl on the Blue Bayou

How Biden Rebuilt the Blue Wall

Georgia Senate Runoffs: Double Overtime

Trump’s Surprising Gains with Minority Voters

At Long Last, Senate Results

Georgia Runoff History: Why the Past May Not Be Prologue

The Fight for the Senate Continues into 2022

How Blue is North Carolina? District Baseline Analysis

Presidential Snapshot in Time (October 30, 2020)

2020 Election Preview: Bracing for History

Senate Report Shorts (October 28, 2020)

House Report Shorts (October 28, 2020): Alaska – New Mexico

House Report Shorts (October 28, 2020): New York – Wisconsin

All Eyes on the Hawkeye State: Iowa Baseline by District

Senate Report Shorts (October 16, 2020)

House Report Shorts (October 16, 2020)

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (October 16, 2020): Missouri Governor

Breaking Down Texas Districts With Baseline Metric

Presidential Snapshot in Time (October 2, 2020)

Senate Report Shorts (October 1, 2020)

House Report Shorts (October 1, 2020)

Candidate Conversation: Hillary Scholten (D)

Candidate Conversation: Christina Hagan (R)

Candidate Conversation: Rich McCormick (R)

Senate Report Shorts (September 18, 2020)

House Report Shorts (September 18, 2020)

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (September 18, 2020)

Presidential Battlegrounds: Texas

Candidate Conversation: Cameron Webb (D)

Misleading Senate Ad Uses Out-of-Context Quotes to Attack Opponent

Senate Report Shorts (September 4, 2020)

House Report Shorts (September 4, 2020)

Presidential Battlegrounds: Georgia

Mississippi Senate: Espy’s 1988 convention speech offers clues to 2020 optimism

Senate Report Shorts (August 21, 2020)

House Report Shorts (August 21, 2020)

Candidate Conversation: Ashley Hinson (R)

Candidate Conversation: Victoria Spartz (R)

Candidate Conversation: Julie Oliver (D)

House Report Shorts (August 7, 2020): Alaska – Iowa

House Report Shorts (August 7, 2020): Kansas – New York

House Report Shorts (August 7, 2020): North Carolina – Virginia

Parties Choose Nominees in Lower-Tier Senate Races

Candidate Conversation: Pat Timmons-Goodson (D)

Candidate Conversation: Joyce Elliott (D)

Candidate Conversation: Al Gross (I)

Candidate Conversation: Josh Hicks (D)

Candidate Conversation: Tyler Kistner (R)

Presidential Snapshot in Time (August 7, 2020)

Young GOP Veteran Faces Tough Road in the Suburbs

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (July 27, 2020)

New Jersey 2: The Van Drew Two-Step

Massachusetts Senate: Bay State Brawl

Candidate Conversation: Sri Preston Kulkarni (D)

Candidate Conversation: Brynne Kennedy (D)

Presidential Snapshot in Time (July 24, 2020)

TV Ads Shape Presidential Battleground

Electoral College Outlook: Biden Has the Edge

2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): Democrats Poised to Control the Senate

2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): Alabama – Kansas

2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): Kentucky – New Mexico

2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming

Presidential Snapshot in Time: July 10, 2020

Presidential Snapshot in Time (June 26, 2020)

How One Senate Class Shows a National Realignment

Georgia Senate: The Road to Redemption

Report Shorts (June 19, 2020)

Presidential Snapshot in Time (June 12, 2020)

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (June 8, 2020)

Florida 26: Can Local Politics Trump Partisanship?

Presidential Battlegrounds: North Carolina

Report Shorts (June 5, 2020)

Candidate Conversation: Charles Booker (D)

Candidate Conversation: Mike Broihier (D)

Candidate Conversation: Brigid Callahan Harrison (D)

Rating Change: Iowa’s 4th Moves to Solid Republican

Presidential Snapshot in Time (May 29, 2020)

2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): Alabama – Iowa

2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): Kansas – New York

2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming

Candidate Conversation: Adair Boroughs (D)

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (May 20, 2020)

California 25: Can Garcia Win the Battle and the War?

Maine 2: Good as Golden

Candidate Conversation: Jim Marchant (R)

Presidential Snapshot in Time (May 1, 2020)

Michigan 3: Amash Exit Makes Seat Less Vulnerable

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (April 29, 2020)

2020 Gubernatorial Overview (April 23, 2020): Finally in the Spotlight

Illinois 14: The Underwood Overview

Five Key Takeaways from the Wisconsin Supreme Court Election

The Battle for the House, As Told Through Super PAC Ad Reservations

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (April 10, 2020)

Will There be More Republican Women in the House Next Year?

Coronavirus and Campaign Ads: How the Pandemic Is Playing on TV

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Senate is (Still) In Play

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Alabama – Kansas

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Kentucky – New Mexico

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming

Candidate Conversation – Jason Atkinson (R)

Montana Senate: Brawl in Big Sky Country

California House Races Shift to General Election

Candidate Conversation – Lisa Song Sutton (R)

Candidate Conversation – Sarah Riggs Amico (D)

Rating Change: Montana Senate Shifts Toward Democrats

Georgia Senate: How to Blow a Lead

Key Senate Races Start to Take Shape

Presidential Battlegrounds: Arizona

House Primary Results: Alabama, North Carolina, Texas

Super Tuesday Senate Primary Update (March 3, 2020)

2020 House Overview (February 21, 2020): Alabama – Iowa

2020 House Overview (February 21, 2020): Kansas – New York

2020 House Overview (February 21, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming

Maine Senate: Is Susan Collins Already Behind?

Indiana 5: Ready to Run

Presidential Battlegrounds: Pennsylvania

Candidate Conversation – Chris Bubser (D)

Fate of ‘National Security Democrats’ Provides Key to House Majority

Virginia 7: No Such Thing as an Easy Race for Republicans

Presidential Battlegrounds: Michigan

Candidate Conversation – Cynthia Lummis (R)

Candidate Conversation – Robert Emmons Jr. (D)

Candidate Conversation – Jason Church (R)

Candidate Conversation – Cal Cunningham (D)

Candidate Conversation – Bob Elliott (R)

Candidate Conversation – Kendall Qualls (R)

California 50: GOP Benefits from Hunter’s Absence

2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): Alabama – Kansas

2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): Kentucky-New Mexico

2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming

Kansas Senate: Pompeo Decision Makes Seat More Vulnerable

2020 Senate and House Outlook Looks a Lot Like It Did at the Start of 2019

South Carolina 1: Top Race in the Lowcountry

Presidential Battlegrounds: Wisconsin

Candidate Conversation – Theresa Greenfield (D)

New Jersey 2: Van Drew Decision Changes GOP Prospects

North Carolina: New Congressional Map Boosts Democrats’ Chances

Kansas Senate: Rock Chalk Train Wreck?

Don’t Forget Arizona and Minnesota in Presidential Contest

Candidate Conversation – Betsy Dirksen Londrigan (D)

Candidate Conversation – Eric Early (R)

Candidate Conversation – Dan Feehan (D)

Candidate Conversation – Eugene DePasquale (D)

Sharing The Ticket: How Much Room Is There For Women Running Mates?

2020 House Overview (Nov. 26, 2019): Alabama – Iowa

2020 House Overview (Nov. 26, 2019): Kansas – New York

2020 House Overview (Nov. 26, 2019): North Carolina – Wyoming

Candidate Conversation – Sam Peters (R)

New York 2: Open Seat Shifts to More Vulnerable Category

Iowa Senate: The Importance of Being Ernst

Virginia 2: Shifting Sands in Virginia Beach

Candidate Conversation – Alyse Galvin (D)

Democratic Win in Kentucky Proves Candidates Still Matter

7 Things I Think I Think After the 2019 Elections

California 25: Legitimate Opportunity or Mirage?

Colorado Senate: Rocky Terrain for Republicans

New York 11: The Big Apple’s Purple Island

Candidate Conversation – Jeremy Staat (R)

Louisiana Governor: Key Takeaways from the Primary Election

2020 Senate Overview (Oct. 11, 2019): Alabama – Kansas

2020 Senate Overview (Oct. 11, 2019): Kentucky – New Mexico

2020 Senate Overview (Oct. 11, 2019): North Carolina – Wyoming

Mostly Smoke, and Little Fire, From Republicans to Democrats on Impeachment

New York 27: Less Vulnerable With Collins Departure

North Carolina Senate: Something Red, Something Blue

Louisiana Governor: Republicans Pushing for Overtime

Minnesota 7: Republicans Gopher It Again

Candidate Conversation – Carl DeMaio (R)

Candidate Conversation – Don Sedgwick (R)

Nebraska’s 2nd District: High Stakes in Omaha

Key Senate Races Continue to Take Shape

Oklahoma’s 5th District: Sooners Aren’t Sleeping

9 Things I Think I Think After the North Carolina Redo Election

North Carolina 9: Parties and Candidates Spending Big in Redo Election

North Carolina 9: McCready Has Narrow Lead in New Bipartisan Poll

2020 House Overview (Aug. 30, 2019): Alabama – Iowa

2020 House Overview (Aug. 30, 2019): Kansas – New York

2020 House Overview (Aug. 30 2019): North Carolina – Wyoming

Isakson’s Decision Adds Competitive Seat to 2020 Senate Battleground

Wisconsin 7: Duffy’s Seat Remains Solid Republican for Now

Maine Senate: Democrats Try to Crack Collins’ Code

North Carolina 9: Back to the Future

House Open Seat Overview

Rating Update: Marchant Seat Already Considered Competitive

Rating Change: Hurd Retirement Moves Texas District to Democratic Category

How Much Do Recent Retirements Change House Battleground?

Trump Admits He was a Liability in 2018

Michigan Senate: Renovating The Blue Wall

2019 Gubernatorial Overview: Democrats Remain Competitive in Three Red States

Candidate Conversation – Ritchie Torres (D)

Kentucky Senate: Seriously, Are We Doing This Again?

What We Can Learn from the 2004 Presidential Race

Fallout from Amash’s Decision in Michigan and Beyond

How Many Ways is Michigan in Play in 2020?

If at First You Don’t Succeed, Try, Try and Run Somewhere Else

2020 Senate Overview (June 28, 2019): Alabama – Kansas

2020 Senate (June 28, 2019): Kentucky – New Mexico

2020 Senate Overview (June 28, 2019): North Carolina – Wyoming

Candidate Conversation – Peggy Huang (R)