Category Archive: States

Alabama Senate: Republicans Aim To Avoid Moore Headaches

Iowa’s 1st District: The Party Doesn’t Stop When The Caucuses End

New Mexico Senate: Republicans Search For An Opening

Candidate Conversation – Kai Kahele (D)

Indiana 5: Brooks Retirement Creates Democratic Opportunity

8 Races That Will Likely Determine Control of the Senate

Montana At-Large: Does Open Seat Help or Hurt Democrats’ Pickup Opportunity?

Why a GOP Super PAC is Bothering to Attack Steve Bullock’s Bid for President

Texas Senate: Do Democrats Have A Lone, Star Candidate?

Anatomy of an Ad: Greg Murphy (North Carolina’s 3rd)

California 48: A Rouda Awakening

Candidate Conversation – John Walsh (D)

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Pennsylvania Special, Kentucky Governor, and the Trail Blazers

What Can We Learn From the North Carolina Redo Election?

2020 House Overview (May 17, 2019): Alabama – Iowa

2020 House Overview (May 17, 2019): Kansas – New York

2020 House Overview (May 17, 2019): North Carolina – Wyoming

Stop Grading 2020 Candidate Recruitment, Particularly This Far From Election Day

Wyoming: One Open Seat or Two?

New Jersey 7: Once Lost or Gone Forever?

Key Senate Races Take Shape

2019 Gubernatorial Update: Primary Questions

North Carolina 3 Special: GOP Runoff Set for Jones Replacement

Arizona Senate: Flight Path to Victory

New York 1: Democrats Long for a Pick-Up

Candidate Conversation – Wesley Hunt (R)

New York 15: Republicans Need Not Apply

How to Survive and Thrive in Iowa — Words of Wisdom from Former Staffers

How Gephardt’s 2004 Iowa Team Boosted the Democratic Party

Iowa 2: Loebsack’s Retirement Expands House Playing Field

2020 Senate Overview (April 5, 2019): Alabama – Kansas

2020 Senate Overview (April 5, 2019): Kentucky – New Mexico

2020 Senate Overview (April 5, 2019): North Carolina – Wyoming

Candidate Conversation – Tracy Mitrano (D)

The Case for Primaries: Arizona Edition

Nancy Pelosi: The Democratic Party’s Undisputed Leader

New Mexico: Ben Ray Lujan Set to Announce Senate Candidacy on Monday

New Mexico Senate Remains Solid Democratic For Now

Georgia 6: Still On Our Mind

Arizona 1: Republicans Hope The Third Time Is A Charm

Pennsylvania 12 Special: Not-So Special?

New Mexico 2: Republicans Reminisce of 2010 Comeback

North Carolina 3rd & 9th: A Special Mess

Fewer Members Taking the Leap to Governor

2020 House Overview (Feb. 15, 2019): Alabama – Iowa

2020 House Overview (Feb. 15, 2019): Kansas – New York

2020 House Overview (Feb. 15, 2019): North Carolina – Wisconsin

A Few Thoughts on the State of the Union Address

2019-20 Gubernatorial Overview (Feb. 1, 2019): Lean Opportunities

2019-20 Gubernatorial Overview (Feb. 1, 2019)

Too Early for Senate Ratings?

Report Shorts (Feb. 1, 2019)

Maine Senate: How Vulnerable is Susan Collins?

Texas House: Emerging Battlegrounds

Iowa’s 4th District: A King Without a Kingdom?

Report Shorts (Jan. 18, 2019)

Texas 2nd District: Live From Houston

Texas 3rd District: A Second Chance at a First Impression

Texas 7th District: Culberson Cut Down by Fletcher

Texas 10th District: Closer Margins, Higher Spending?

Texas 21st District: Democrats Testing Austin’s Limits

Texas 22nd District: The Not-So-Secret Race

Texas 23rd District: Hurd on the Hill

Texas 24th District: North Dallas Twenty-Four

Texas 31st District: Doors Opening for Democrats

Texas 32nd District: Dueling for Dallas

Pennsylvania 12 special election: Is Marino’s seat at risk?

Can Doug Jones win a full term in Alabama?

2020 Senate Overview (Jan. 1, 2019) Alabama – Kansas

2020 Senate Overview (Jan. 4, 2019) Kentucky – New Mexico

2020 Senate Overview (Jan. 4, 2019) North Carolina – Wyoming

House Primaries on the Horizon for Democrats in 2020

North Carolina: Blue Wave Steered Clear of ‘Blue Moon’ Election

Post-Midterms Baseline and Vote Above Replacement (VAR) Update

2019 Gubernatorial Overview: There’s No Off Year in Three States

Are White Evangelicals the Saviors of the GOP?

Five Thoughts After the Mississippi Senate Race

Mississippi Senate Special: Delta Delays

2018 Midterms Review: Back to Normal

It’s Not Too Early to Start Looking at the 2020 Senate Map

A Few Moves on the Eve of the Election

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (Nov. 1, 2018)

Senate Report Shorts (Nov. 1, 2018)

House Report Shorts (Nov. 1, 2018)

For Handicapping Midterm Races, Old Rules May No Longer Apply

Senate Report Shorts (Oct. 26, 2018)

House Report Shorts (Oct. 26, 2018)

Candidate Conversation – Todd Litton (D)

Senate Report Shorts (Oct. 12, 2018)

House Report Shorts (Oct. 12, 2018)

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (Oct. 12, 2018)

Candidate Conversation – Wendy Rogers (R)

Don’t Sweat the Election Night Surprises

Senate Report Shorts (Sept. 28, 2018)

House Report Shorts (Sept. 28, 2018)

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (Sept. 28, 2018)

Candidate Conversation – Janet Garrett (D)

Prepare to Be Disappointed on Election Night

What 39,000 Words in 15 Profiles Didn’t Tell You About Beto O’Rourke

5 States That Will Decide the House Majority

2018 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 31, 2018): Alabama – Illinois

2018 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 31, 2018): Iowa – New Mexico

2018 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 31, 2018): New York – Wyoming

Candidate Conversation – Richard Ojeda (D)

Candidate Conversation – Betsy Rader (D)

Candidate Conversation – Cindy Axne (D)

Candidate Conversation – Jared Golden (D)

Candidate Conversation – J.D. Scholten (D)

Candidate Conversation – TJ Cox (D)

A Congressional Candidate Plays Softball in an Ad, and I Have Lots of Questions

Why We’re Not Changing the Rating in Duncan Hunter’s Seat, Yet

2018 House Overview (Aug. 17, 2018): Alaska – Iowa

2018 House Overview (Aug. 17, 2018): Kansas – New York

2018 House Overview (Aug. 17, 2018): North Carolina – Wisconsin

Democratic Candidates Should Be Bolder on Gun Control, Poll Finds

NY 27 Rating Change: Chris Collins’ Arrest Puts Seat in Play

Texas Senate: Cruz to Victory?

Ohio 12 Special: Down to the Wire, Again

Tennessee Senate: Back To The Future

Candidate Conversation – Dan Feehan (DFL)

Candidate Conversation – Colin Allred (D)

Candidate Conversation – Amy McGrath (D)

Candidate Conversation – Abby Finkenauer (D)

Candidate Conversation – Katie Porter (D)

Candidate Conversation – Eddie Edwards (R)

I Met 12 Democratic Candidates in Two Days and Lived to Write About It

Florida Senate: Keep Your Eye On The Money

New Hampshire 1: The More the Merrier

Ohio 12 Special: Dems Aim To Replicate Lamb’s Success

Candidate Conversation – Antonio Delgado (D)

Candidate Conversation – Andrew Janz (D)

Candidate Conversation – Andrew Grant (R)

Candidate Conversation – Josh Harder (D)

Candidate Conversation – Andy Kim (D)

New Jersey 2: GOP House Open Seat Shifts to Likely Democratic

Senate Overview (July 6, 2018): Arizona – Maine

Senate Overview (July 6, 2018): Maryland – Ohio

Senate Overview (July 6, 2018): Pennsylvania – Wyoming

Candidate Conversation – John Chrin (R)

Candidate Conversation – Richard Painter (DFL)

Candidate Conversation – Hallie Thompson (D)

Candidate Conversation – Denver Riggleman (R)

10 One-Liners after Tuesday’s Primaries

GOP Poll: Donnelly in Position to Win in Indiana

Kentucky 6: Is There a Swing District in The Bluegrass State?

California House: Parties Regroup after Primary

Gubernatorial Primaries Cement November Battles

Rating Change: New Jersey 5 Moves Off Competitive List

Candidate Conversation – Billie Sutton (D)

General Election Stage (Mostly) Set in Eight More States

Colorado’s 6th District: Democrats Try to Crack the Coffman Code

Eight States That Will Decide the Senate Majority

Candidate Conversation – Betsy Dirksen Londrigan (D)

Candidate Conversation – Gretchen Driskell (D)

Candidate Conversation – Kathy Manning (D)

Candidate Conversation – Mike Kennedy (R)

Candidate Conversation – Aftab Pureval (D)

Candidate Conversation – Tom Malinowski (D)

Texas Runoffs: Likely New Members Chosen in Four Districts

Georgia Primaries: Democrats Choose Abrams while GOPers Move to Runoff

Arkansas Primaries: Tucker vs. Hill in Competitive 2nd District

Kentucky Primaries: McGrath vs. Barr in Competitive 6th District Race

After Nebraska, Democrats’ Health Care Battles Extend to Texas Runoffs

Famous Names on the Ballot? Sure, We Got ’Em

2018 House Overview (May 16, 2018) Alabama – Iowa

2018 House Overview (May 16, 2018) Kansas – New York

2018 House Overview (May 16, 2018) North Carolina – Wyoming

Candidate Conversation – Clarke Tucker (D)

Candidate Conversation – Paul Martin (R)

Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats

Ohio Primaries: Republicans Choose Brown Challenger

West Virginia Primaries: Morrisey to take on Manchin for Senate

North Carolina Primaries: Pittenger Falls, 9th Shifts Toward Democrats

Indiana Primaries: Republicans Select Donnelly Challenger and More

GOP Senate Targets Fade From View

North Dakota Senate: Heitkamp Hoping for Another Home Run Campaign

House Ratings Changes: Democrats’ Open Seat Opportunities

Candidate Conversation – Deb Haaland (D)

Candidate Conversation – Cresent Hardy (R)

Candidate Conversation – Dean Phillips (DFL)

Candidate Conversation – Susie Lee (D)

Candidate Conversation – Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D)

Candidate Conversation – Lisa Brown (D)

Candidate Conversation – Greg Steube (R)

Candidate Conversation – Jeff Van Drew (D)

Tennessee Senate: Why I’m Cautious About Phil Bredesen’s Prospects

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Hair in Montana Ads, Let’s Remember Candidates from Kentucky

Nebraska Senate: How Vulnerable is Deb Fischer?

9 Thoughts After the Arizona 8 Special Election

Senate Overview (April 20, 2018): Arizona – Maine

Senate Overview (April 20, 2018): Maryland – Ohio

Senate Overview (April 20, 2018): Pennsylvania – Wyoming

Wisconsin 1: Republicans Forced to Defend Ryan Open Seat

Candidate Conversation – Xochitl Torres-Small (D)

Candidate Conversation – Javier Manjarres (R)

Candidate Conversation – Kim Schrier (D)

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Push Polls Saga, Cynthia Nixon, and Minnesota’s 8th

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Arizona 8 Special, Ryan’s Exit, and NFL Fashion

Rating Update: GOP Open Seat in Florida Remains Solid R for Now

Ratings Change: Ryan Exit Moves Wisconsin 1 from Solid R to Lean R