Analysis

1217 Results

Baseline Update: Which States Shifted the Most After 2022

With the 2022 midterm elections (almost) in the books, we can begin putting the results into the broader context of past results to see how much states and districts shifted. One of the best ways to identify shifts in partisanship is through our Baseline metric.  Baseline captures a state or congressional district’s political performance by […]

Senate Results: How Much Did GOP Candidates Underperform?

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Georgia Senate Runoff: Will Warnock Repeat?

It may sound familiar: a runoff in Georgia will help determine the balance of power in the United States Senate. Because neither Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock nor Republican football legend Herschel Walker won a majority of the vote on Nov. 8, Georgia law requires the two to run in a second election on Dec. 6. […]

2022 Election Results Summary (Nov. 28 2022)

Updated as of Nov. 28, 2022 at 11:30am ET By Erin Covey, Jacob Rubashkin, and Nathan Gonzales Elections are humbling, and this time it’s Republicans’ turn for some soul searching. Republicans were handed a tremendous opportunity in 2022. Midterm elections are typically a referendum on the party in power, and the party in power was coming […]

2022 Election Results: What Happened in the Senate?

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2022 Election Results Summary (Nov. 16, 2022)

Updated as of Nov. 16, 2022 at 10am ET By Jacob Rubashkin, Erin Covey and Nathan Gonzales Elections are humbling, and this time it’s Republicans’ turn for some soul searching. Republicans were handed a tremendous opportunity in 2022. Midterm elections are typically a referendum on the party in power, and the party in power was […]

2022 Election Results Summary (Nov. 14, 2022)

Updated as of Nov. 14, 2022 at 10am ET By Erin Covey, Jacob Rubashkin, and Nathan Gonzales Apparently, there aren’t any normal elections.   While there are still a couple dozen consequential races to be called and the fight for both the House or Senate majorities is ongoing, it’s clear that the 2022 midterm elections are […]

2022 Election Results Summary (Nov. 11, 2022)

Updated as of Nov. 11, 2022 at 9am ET By Erin Covey, Jacob Rubashkin, and Nathan Gonzales Apparently, there aren’t any normal elections.   While there are still a couple dozen consequential races to be called and the fight for both the House or Senate majorities is ongoing, it’s clear that the 2022 midterm elections are […]

2022 Election Results Summary (Nov. 10, 2022)

Updated as of Nov. 10, 2022 at 9:45am ET By Jacob Rubashkin, Erin Covey, and Nathan Gonzales Apparently, there aren’t any normal elections.   While there are still dozens of consequential races to be called and the fight for both the House or Senate majorities is ongoing, it’s clear that the 2022 midterm elections are not aligning […]

2022 Election Results Summary (Nov. 9, 2022)

Updated as of Nov. 9, 2022 at 3pm ET By Erin Covey, Jacob Rubashkin, and Nathan Gonzales Apparently, there aren’t any normal elections.   While there are still dozens of consequential races to be called and the fight for both the House or Senate majorities is ongoing, it’s clear that the 2022 midterm elections are not […]