Analysis

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Report Shorts (April 7, 2023)

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Florida Senate: A Cloudy Forecast for Democrats

Rick Scott has never won an election by more than 1.2 points, but Florida’s rapid shift rightward has left Democrats in a dismal position to challenge the Republican senator as he prepares for his 2024 re-election campaign. The GOP has been gaining ground in the Sunshine State for the past decade, an effort that culminated […]

How Trump’s Legal Problems Could Affect Down Ballot Republicans

Even if legal problems don’t hinder former President Donald Trump’s political comeback attempt, they could hurt other Republican candidates on the ballot in 2024.  Republicans won’t have to reckon with the electoral ramifications of Trump’s indictment for now. But much of the short-term analysis (or more specifically, the overall Republican response) to Trump’s reported 34-count […]

The ‘Nepo Babies’ of the Senate

The U.S. House of Representatives is filled with members whose family connections bolstered their congressional careers — but the more august Senate isn’t immune either. Earlier this month, Inside Elections explored the family political ties boasted by many members of the House. Taking inspiration from a New York magazine cover story on the “nepo babies” […]

Ohio Senate: The Battle for the Buckeye State

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Report Shorts (March 24, 2023)

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Texas Senate: Always on Democrats’ Mind

Democrats believed Texas was on the verge of turning blue after 2018, when Beto O’Rourke came just two and a half points away from unseating Republican Sen. Ted Cruz. Half a decade later, the polarizing senator is preparing for his third Senate campaign — and Democrats in the Lone Star State have suffered a series […]

Montana Senate & House: Big Decisions in Big Sky Country

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Report Shorts (February 17, 2023)

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Maryland Senate & House: Chesapeake Churn

Maryland Sen. Ben Cardin has not yet announced whether he plans to run for a fourth term, but the Old Line State’s political world is already bracing for a historic primary to replace him, with the potential to reshape the state’s politics in substantial ways up and down the ballot. Not only would an open […]