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Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Category Archive: Contributors
2016 House Overview: Democrats Struggle To Gain Ground
August 11, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview (August 11, 2015) Alabama – Illinois
August 11, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview (August 11, 2015) Indiana – New Jersey
August 11, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview (August 11, 2015) New Mexico – Wyoming
August 11, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats, Party Switchers and the Ghost of Ed Jany
August 7, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
One Last Hurrah for Joe Biden?
August 6, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
A Brief Electoral History of Recently Indicted Congressmen
July 31, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
More Democratic Losses Could Be on the Horizon
July 30, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Chris Christie’s Conundrum
July 29, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2016 Senate Overview: Playing Field Comes Into Focus
July 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (July 24, 2015) Alabama – Kansas
July 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (July 24, 2015) Kentucky – New Mexico
July 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (July 24, 2015) New York – Wyoming
July 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Politics of Identity Politics
July 24, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Less Hair Could Mean More Votes in Minnesota
July 23, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Who Will Benefit From the Issues Mix in 2016?
July 17, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Bernie Sanders: The Latest Version of Howard Dean
July 10, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Donald Trump Impact: Not so Inevitable After All
July 8, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Heck’s Decision Prompts Rating Change in Two Nevada Races
July 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
North Carolina Senate: Life After Hagan
July 2, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Pennsylvania 6: Suburban Districts Elude Democrats
July 2, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
When the Second Time Isn’t the Charm
July 2, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Does Scott Walker Have What It Takes to Win in 2016?
June 26, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Yarmuth Retirement Rumor Offers Window Into Future
June 25, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Iowa Straw Poll: Put a Stake Through Its Heart
June 22, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Roll Call at the Big 6-0
June 18, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Michigan 7: Democrats Target Walberg (Again)
June 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (June 17, 2015) Colorado Senate, Georgia Senate, Indiana Senate, Nevada Senate
June 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Can Marco Rubio Save the GOP in 2016?
June 16, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Race Plays Out on Congressional Baseball Game Field
June 12, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Party’s History of Establishment Picks Could Be Over
June 8, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
14 Open House Seats, Few Takeover Opportunities
June 2, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Illinois Senate: The Most Vulnerable Senator in the Country
May 29, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Arizona Landscape Shifts in Two Races
May 29, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (May 29, 2015) Indiana Governor, Indiana Senate, Kentucky Governor, Nevada Senate
May 29, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
How to Fix an Unfair Presidential Debate System
May 28, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Kirkpatrick’s Decision Prompts Ratings Changes in Two Arizona Races
May 26, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
500 Attack Emails Couldn’t Take Down Thom Tillis
May 26, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Can Republicans Repeat an Upset in Colorado?
May 21, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Nevada Senate: Republicans Hope for Heck of a Race
May 15, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Nevada House: Republicans on the Defensive
May 15, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Path to GOP Nomination Starts by Dealing with Loss in Iowa
May 15, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (May 15, 2015) California Senate, California 25, Indiana Senate, Indiana 3
May 15, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why It’s a Mistake to Dismiss Bobby Jindal
May 15, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Caveat Emptor, in Political Giving Too
May 13, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Parties Divide and Conquer Independent Spending
May 8, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Races, Pro Salaries and Perspective on Spending
May 7, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
How Much Trouble Is Richard Burr in?
May 6, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Is John Kasich in the Top Tier in 2016?
May 4, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What Kind of Senate Candidates Will Do Well in 2016?
May 1, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Texas 23: Hurd(ing) Voters
May 1, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Maine 2: Bruce Almighty?
May 1, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (May 1, 2015) Indiana Governor, Oregon Governor, West Virginia Governor
May 1, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Hillary Rodham Romney? Keep an Eye on O’Malley
April 30, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
DSCC Preferred Chairman’s Opponent in 2006 Primary
April 28, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
‘Big Money’ and the 2016 Elections
April 24, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Cruz’s Struggle: This Man Loves to Argue
April 22, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Context for Facebook Chatter About Presidential Candidates
April 21, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
The What Ifs of the 2016 GOP Presidential Race
April 20, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Senate Overview: Retirements and Primaries Matter for Majority
April 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (April 17, 2015) Alabama – Kansas
April 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (April 17, 2015) Kentucky – New Mexico
April 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (April 17, 2015) New York – Wyoming
April 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Young and the Restless of 2016
April 16, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Wyden Looks Safe, but Democratic Rift Is Real
April 13, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Adding Context to GOP Gains at State Level
April 10, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2016 House Overview: Democrats Begin Long Road Back to Majority
April 3, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview (April 3, 2015) Alabama – Illinois
April 3, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview (April 3, 2015) Indiana – New Jersey
April 3, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview (April 3, 2015) New Mexico – Wyoming
April 3, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (April 3, 2015) Florida Senate, Indiana Senate, Illinois Senate, Nevada Senate
April 3, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
How Reid Reacted When a Republican Senator Was Indicted
April 3, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Jeb Bush Can’t Be Nominated. Or Can He?
April 2, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Start With Narrow Advantage in Nevada Open Seat
March 27, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
It’s Early: Why Pundits Shouldn’t Overreact
March 26, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Lopach Leads March Toward Democratic Senate Majority
March 25, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Schilling Considering Special Election for Schock Seat
March 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Indiana Senate Race Moves Out of Safe
March 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Illinois 18: Who Will Replace Aaron Schock?
March 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Looking for Retirements in All the Wrong Places
March 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Iowa 1: Freshman in the City
March 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (March 20, 2015) Florida Senate, Maryland Senate, Michigan’s 11th, New Jersey Senate
March 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Fearsome Foursome: Bush, Paul, Walker, Rubio
March 18, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Mark Kirk Starts 2016 as an Underdog
March 12, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What the ‘Big Ten’ Tells Republicans They Need in 2016
March 11, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Young Republican Explores Primary vs. Scott DesJarlais
March 10, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Familiar Faces in Presidential Battleground States
March 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Electoral Waves Are Rarer in a Presidential Year
March 6, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Mississippi 1 Special: Republicans Avoid ‘08 Redo
March 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Maryland Senate: Democrats Jockey for Mikulski’s Seat
March 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (March 6, 2015) CA Senate, FL Senate, MO Governor, NC Senate
March 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Pat Toomey Is a Strong Candidate. Will That Be Enough in 2016?
March 5, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Feingold, Sestak Face History, Former Foes in Senate Rematches
March 4, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Rand Paul, Hillary Clinton Face Foreign Policy Challenges in 2016
March 2, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Remembrance of Shutdowns Past
February 27, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Senate Challenger Battles Secretary of State Curse
February 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
How Much Money Does it Take to Defeat a Senator?
February 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
New York 19: Top-Tier Holding Pattern
February 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
California Senate: Boxer’s Retirement Complicates Contenders’ Plans to Move Up the Ladder
February 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Oregon: Brown Takes the Helm as Kitzhaber Resigns
February 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (February 20, 2015) California 44, Mississippi 1, Missouri Senate
February 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Past and Precedent: What Makes This Mississippi Special Election Interesting
February 19, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Early Senate Polling Is Usually Useless
February 13, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Special Elections Really Matter
February 12, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Is Ben Carson Really a Viable Presidential Candidate?
February 11, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Might Need to Lose the White House to Win the House Majority
February 9, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ohio Senate: Portman Shifts from Offense to Defense
February 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Noah’s Ark and the Republican Race for President
February 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats Gamble With New York Special Election
February 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
When Activists Run for Office
February 5, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Not Your Father’s (or Grandfather’s) GOP Field
February 4, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Even Democrats Love Talking About Joni Ernst
February 2, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
First Look: Can Democrats Win the Senate in 2016?
January 29, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Looking Beyond New York 11 Special Election
January 28, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2015-16 Gubernatorial Overview: Washington Gridlock Puts Governors in the Spotlight
January 23, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2015-16 Gubernatorial Overview (January 23, 2015) Delaware – West Virginia
January 23, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Pennsylvania 8: Democrats Looking Forward to Open Seat
January 23, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (January 23, 2015) California Senate, Iowa Senate, Pennsylvania Senate
January 23, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Hillary Clinton Should Fear Elizabeth Warren
January 22, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
When a House Member Should Retire
January 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Democrats Can’t Count on Voters Blaming a ‘Republican Congress’
January 19, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Can Democrats Win the House in 2016?
January 15, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Will Improving Economy Help Obama’s Case on Keystone?
January 12, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2016 Senate Overview: Republicans Start on the Defensive
January 9, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (January 9, 2015) Alabama – Kansas
January 9, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (January 9, 2015) Kentucky – New Mexico
January 9, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (January 9, 2015) New York – Wyoming
January 9, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
What Happened to The Rothenberg Political Report?
January 9, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Can Jeb Bush Win the GOP Nomination?
January 7, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Republican to Retire from Competitive House Seat in New York
January 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Very Early Handicapping on Special Election in New York’s 11th District
January 2, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Beltway View Clashes with District Dynamic in Illinois’ 12th
December 19, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Loss Puts Terry in Exclusive Club
December 19, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
What Kind of Race Would Russ Feingold Run in 2016?
December 19, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Jury Duty in Today’s America
December 18, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Abandoned Mary Landrieu in the Runoff. Does it Matter?
December 11, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Mary Landrieu’s Loss and the End of Ticket Splitting
December 10, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Draft Ben Carson Group Complicates Potential Presidential Campaign
December 5, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Rothenberg’s End of the Year Awards for 2014
December 3, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
How to Handle a Broken Campaign Promise
December 2, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
What Did — and Didn’t — Surprise Me This Cycle
November 29, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Freshman Class Filled With Losers
November 25, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
The 2014 Elections: How’d We Do?
November 21, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Louisiana Races Go Into Overtime
November 21, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Some Lessons for Democratic Strategists and Other Observers
November 19, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Stunningly Static White Evangelical Vote
November 18, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Unsuccessful House Candidate Already ‘In’ for 2016
November 17, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
No Guarantee Democrats Rebound in 2016
November 14, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Mary Landrieu’s Tall Task in the Louisiana Runoff
November 13, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Review: 6 Races Both Parties Viewed Completely Differently
November 11, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014: Plenty of Surprises, but None Totally Unexpected
November 7, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ratings Change: Louisiana Senate Moves from Tilt Republican To Lean Republican
November 6, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Midterms and the Super Bowl, a Tale of Two Routs
November 5, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Ratings vs. Senate Expecations (Stu’s Sept. 8 Outlook)
November 5, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
GOP Candidates More Popular Than Democrats in Top Senate Races
November 4, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Republicans (Still) Poised to Pick Up 6 to 8 Senate Seats
November 4, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Jesse Ferguson Lives to Fight Another Day
November 4, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Election Eve Update: Gubernatorial Race Ratings Changes
November 3, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Election Eve Update: House Republicans on Edge of Good, Great Election Night
November 3, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Election Eve Update: GOP Prospects Continue to Improve in the Senate
November 3, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ratings Change in Kentucky Senate
November 1, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Obama’s Midterm Loss Record Could Make History
November 1, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Think more competitive House races would help? They might actually make things worse.
October 31, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Outlook: Advantage to Republicans
October 29, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
House Outlook: Measuring the GOP Wave
October 29, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Governors on the Defensive as Close Races Go Down to the Wire
October 29, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
What Counts As a GOP Wave in 2014?
October 28, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Will Obama Leave the Democratic Party Better Than He Found It?
October 27, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ratings Change: New Hampshire Senate
October 24, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ratings Change: Massachusetts Governor
October 24, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Seven More House Races Creep Toward Republicans
October 24, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
A Good Year May Not Save These Three Vulnerable House Republicans Either
October 23, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Weak GOP Candidates May Need More Than a Good Year
October 23, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
South Dakota Senate Race Returning to Form
October 22, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Not His Father’s Arkansas
October 20, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Senate Outlook: Lots of Moving Pieces But Fundamentally Unchanged
October 17, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Wither the National House Vote?
October 17, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Gubernatorial Report Shorts (October 17, 2014)
October 17, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Republicans Must Win the Senate in 2014
October 15, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ratings Change: Arkansas Senate from Toss-up/Tilt Republican to Lean Republican
October 13, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ratings Change: Alaska Senate from Pure Toss-up to Toss-up/Tilt Republican
October 13, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ratings Change: South Dakota Senate from Republican Favored to Lean Republican
October 13, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Decidedly on Defense in the House
October 10, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
6 Races Both Parties View Completely Differently
October 10, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Michigan Senate Seat Moves Away from Republicans
October 9, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
What If I’m Wrong About GOP Flipping at Least 7 Seats?
October 8, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Three Election Trends That Could End in 2014
October 7, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Fight for the Senate: Trajectory Unchanged
October 3, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Focus on Open Seats, Weak Incumbents for House Bright Spots
October 3, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Volatility Reigns in Gubernatorial Contests
October 3, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Family Ties May Not Be Enough to Save Vulnerable Senators
October 2, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Shift in Landscape Makes Bigger GOP House Gains Possible
October 1, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Senate Chairmen Try to Avoid Historic Home-State Losses
September 29, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Fight for Senate Control Down to Five States
September 25, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
A Bible, a Keg Stand, and a Snowmobile: The Keys to Holding a Democratic Majority in the Senate
September 24, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Election Results Don’t Matter
September 24, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Republicans Ready to Add to House Majority
September 24, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Amazingly Static House Playing Field
September 19, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Republican Brand’s Recovery Tour — Sort Of
September 17, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Will Women Lose Ground in the House GOP After 2014?
September 16, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
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