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Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Category Archive: Contributors
Why House Democrats Need Trump to be President
May 16, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Clinton Starts with a Decisive Advantage
May 13, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why California Members Embrace Incumbent Ballot Designation
May 10, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Donald Trump is the GOP Nominee. Now What?
May 5, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
How Trump Gives Republicans a Chance to Hold Senate
May 5, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Colorado Senate: Republicans Struggle to Keep Bennet in Play
May 5, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Illinois Senate: Kirk Downgraded to Lean Democratic
May 5, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Fresh Primary Results, Six Fresh Faces for Next Congress
May 5, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation – Claudia Tenney (R)
May 5, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation – Joe McDermott (D)
May 5, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation – Kathy Szeliga (R)
May 5, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Report Shorts (May 5, 2016) Indiana, Kansas, Maryland, Pennsylvania
May 5, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ryan Rides to the Rescue — But Not Until 2020
May 4, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
16 House Districts That Will Make (or Break) Democratic Majority
May 4, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
NRCC Reserves Ad Time for Vulnerable Members
May 2, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
GOP’s Troubles Just Beginning
April 29, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Opposition Research Comes Out of the Shadows
April 24, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
House Overview: Playing Field Could Shift Rather than Expand
April 22, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview (April 22, 2016) Alabama – Illinois
April 22, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview (April 22, 2106) Indiana – New Jersey
April 22, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview (April 22, 2016) New Mexico – Wyoming
April 22, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation – Randy Perkins (D)
April 22, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
How Many Might Defect from Trump or Cruz?
April 22, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
New Poll, New TV Ads in Indiana House Race
April 21, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats Likely to Bank Trio of GOP House Seats
April 18, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats Are Headed off Their Own Cliff
April 15, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Kentucky 1: Comer’s Comeback
April 11, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Indiana Primaries Enter the Home Stretch
April 11, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Georgia 3: Potential New Member Threatens to Shoot Police
April 11, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Faces of the 115th Congress: Raja Krishnamoorthi
April 11, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ratings Change: Virginia’s 2nd District
April 11, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ratings Change: Wisconsin’s 8th District
April 11, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation: Conner Eldridge (D)
April 11, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation: Juan “Sonny” Palacios, Jr. (D)
April 11, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
This 2014 House Race May Have Predicted Trump’s Success
April 10, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Beginning of the End for Donald Trump
April 7, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Maybe It Really Is the Media’s Fault
April 5, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
‘14 Losers Looking for Second Chance in ‘16
March 31, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
A Party Divided Is a Party Defeated—Usually
March 30, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Rush Wins Primary, Other Black Caucus Members Also Face Challenges
March 27, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
GOP Incumbents Brace for Primary Losses, But Survive So Far
March 25, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Dust Clears: Hillary vs. Trump or Cruz
March 25, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Is an Anti-Trump Wave Putting the House Into Play?
March 25, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Matchups Start to Solidify, But Landscape Unclear
March 25, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Few Surprises (and One Likely New Member) In Early House Primary Results
March 25, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Illinois 15: Shimkus Escapes Primary Challenge With Decisive Victory in Downstate District
March 25, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation: Geraldine Thompson (D)
March 25, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation: Monica Vernon (D)
March 25, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation: Angie Craig (DFL)
March 25, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation: Mark Hunt (D)
March 25, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
John Kasich’s Utterly Strange, Bizarre Campaign
March 24, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Millennials Raising Money to Run, But Can They Win?
March 18, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Outsider Candidate Claims Boehner Seat in Ohio Special
March 16, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Trump’s Electoral Math Doesn’t Add Up
March 16, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democratic Senate Takeover Probable, If Cruz or Trump Nominee
March 11, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
6 Districts Where the Fight for the House and President Converge
March 7, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview: Trump Looms Over Fight for the Majority
March 4, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (March 4, 2016) Alabama – Kansas
March 4, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (March 4, 2016) Kentucky – New Mexico
March 4, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate overview (March 4, 2016) New York – Wyoming
March 4, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Four Early Lessons From the Presidential Race
March 4, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Case for a Crowded Field to Defeat Trump
March 3, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Cruz and Kasich Implausible Scenarios Keeping Trump on Top
March 1, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Trump Is More Vulnerable Than You Think
February 23, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Obama Learns What You Sow in the Senate, You Reap in the White House
February 22, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Don’t Call it a Push Poll: Bernie Sanders Campaign Edition
February 22, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Scalia’s Death and the Fight for the Senate
February 19, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Money Can’t Buy Love in GOP Presidential Primary
February 19, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Minnesota 2: Democrats Try to Flip a District, Again
February 19, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Josh Mandel, Running for the Senate in Ohio…Again?
February 19, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Report Shorts (February 19, 2016) California Senate, Indiana Senate, Maine’s 2nd, North Carolina,
February 19, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Who Will Win South Carolina Saturday? Just Look at the Voters
February 19, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Michael Bloomberg’s Road Map to the White House
February 17, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Trying to Make Sense of the Post-New Hampshire Republican Race
February 10, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Voters Don’t Fit Neatly Into Presidential Primary Lanes
February 9, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Can Rubio Follow Romney’s Path to the Nomination?
February 9, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What Happened to Jeb Bush?
February 9, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Was Fiorina Denied Ad Time During the Debate?
February 8, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Wisconsin Senate: Argument over Assumptions
February 5, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Haven’t We Updated Our Presidential Ratings?
February 5, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Indiana Governor: How Vulnerable is Mike Pence?
February 5, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Wisconsin 8: Ribble Retirement Creates Vulnerable GOP Open Seat
February 5, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Tennessee 8: Fincher’s Decision Brings Congress to Historical Average Number of Retirements
February 5, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (February 5, 2016) California, Kentucky, Maryland, North Carolina, Tennessee
February 5, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Revenge of the Old Fogies
February 4, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Handicapping the GOP Race Past Iowa
February 1, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
It’s Official: Put a Fork in Kasich’s Candidacy
January 31, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Hillary and Jeb: Destined to Play the Long Game?
January 28, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
NRSC Names Huey IE Director
January 27, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
House Overview: No Guts, No Glory for Democrats
January 25, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview (January 25, 2016) Alabama – Illinois
January 25, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview (January 25, 2016) Indiana – New Jersey
January 25, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview (January 25, 2016) New Mexico – Wyoming
January 25, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Goldwater vs. McGovern in 2016?
January 20, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Beshear Looks Back, Forward on Kentucky’s Political Landscape
January 17, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
NRCC Names Furst Johnson IE Director
January 15, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Virginia 2: Rigell Retirement Shifts Seat Out of Safe for GOP
January 14, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Can Rubio Win Even If He Loses?
January 13, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Obama’s Empty Campaign Threat on Gun Control
January 12, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ohio 8: The Quiet Fight to Succeed Boehner
January 8, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
New York 22: Hanna Departure Leaves Vulnerable Seat
January 8, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Presidential Battleground Spotlight: North Carolina
January 8, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
New York 3: Israel Retirement Sets Up GOP Takeover Opportunity
January 8, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (January 8, 2016) Alabama, Minnesota, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania
January 8, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Predicting the Future and Other Delusions
January 8, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ted Cruz Might Not Need Trump Supporters
January 7, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Steve Israel Retirement Sets Up GOP Takeover Opportunity
January 6, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Will ‘Electability’ Sink Trump?
January 5, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Indiana Senate: Is Stutzman Still the Club for Growth’s Guy?
December 28, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Virginia 5: Hurt to Retire, Leaves Potentially Competitive Seat
December 23, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
New York 22: Hanna Retirement Puts Seat At Risk for Republicans
December 21, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why House Races Still Matter (Even in Safe Districts)
December 21, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Colorado Senate: Republicans Waiting for Challenger To Emerge
December 18, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Pennsylvania House: Democrats Searching for Key Contenders
December 18, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Presidential Battleground Spotlight: New Hampshire
December 18, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
And the GOP Nominee Will Be…
December 18, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Stu in Review: Dumb Stuff I Wrote This Year
December 17, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
GOP’s Brand In More Trouble Than Its Candidates
December 15, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Republicans Need More Than More Hispanic Voters to Win White House
December 14, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
An Independent Candidacy Would Make Trump the Biggest Loser
December 11, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
What Does It Take To Crack the Inner Circle of Political Consultants?
December 10, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Rothenberg’s End of the Year Awards
December 9, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
4 Court Cases That Could Impact the 2016 Elections
December 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Louisiana Senate: In the Wake of David Vitter
December 4, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Wisconsin
December 4, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Illinois House: Filing Deadline Passes, Along with Two Democratic Takeover Opportunities
December 4, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Florida House: New Lines Change Outlook in 5 Races
December 4, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (December 4, 2015) California Senate, Florida Senate, Maryland Senate
December 4, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Who Is the Second Most Vulnerable Senate Incumbent in 2016?
December 4, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Obama Still Channeling George W. Bush
December 3, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Time to Stop Reporting on Committee Fundraising Numbers
November 30, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Speaking Style Says Volumes About GOP Race
November 25, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Imperfect Candidates Get Elected
November 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
New Hampshire Senate: Clash of the Titans
November 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Virginia
November 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (November 20, 2015) Arizona 1, Arkansas, Kentucky Senate, New York 22
November 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Paris Attacks Will Keep Obama and Democrats Playing Defense
November 20, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Don’t Get Too Caught Up in the Trump and Carson ‘Panic’
November 18, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
House Retirement Rush Still Short of Average
November 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Outsider Bevin Hires Insider Chief of Staff
November 14, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
EMILY’s List Support Isn’t Early Enough for Senate Hopeful
November 13, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Hillary Clinton and the Two-Term Jinx
November 12, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Is Vitter on the Verge of Losing Everything?
November 11, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Trump Would Get Out of the Race
November 8, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview: Playing Field Comes Into Focus, But Climate is Unclear
November 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) Alabama – Kansas
November 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) Kentucky – New Mexico
November 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) New York – Wyoming
November 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Cory Gardner for Veep? Don’t Laugh
November 6, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What Does Bevin’s Victory in Kentucky Mean for Vitter’s Chances?
November 5, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Fiorina Has No Clear Lane to GOP Nomination
November 4, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Don’t Blame Gerrymandering for GOP Civil War
October 30, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Cruz and Jindal Wait Impatiently for Their Chances
October 29, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why the Next Month Is Critical for Bush
October 28, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Vitter’s Primary Performance Prompts Rating Change in Louisiana
October 27, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Pelosi Sees a Wave; Strategists Say it’s Just a Ripple Now
October 26, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
What the Heck Happened to Rand Paul?
October 21, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
John Boehner Shouldn’t Pack His Bags Just Yet
October 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ryan Is Damned if He Does, and Damned if He Doesn’t
October 18, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Divided in Fight for Maryland Senate Seat
October 16, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats Battle for Open House Seats in Maryland
October 16, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Colorado
October 16, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (October 16, 2015)
October 16, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Republicans Need to Nominate Ted Cruz
October 15, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why I Keep Forgetting About John Kasich
October 9, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Early Iowa Presidential Polls a Better Predictor Than National Ones
October 8, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Draft Biden Organizer Dismissed Over Past Legal Problems
October 7, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
State Senator Prepares GOP Primary Challenge to Shimkus
October 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Hassan’s Decision Changes Outlook in Two New Hampshire Races
October 5, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Boehner’s Exit Leaves House Republicans With Challenging Next Chapter
October 1, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Ohio
October 1, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
House Democrats Desperate to Make up Ground in New York
October 1, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (October 1, 2015)
October 1, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Does Voter Anger Explain the Success of Presidential Outsiders?
September 29, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Young, Ambitious and Wealthy Isn’t Enough in Arkansas
September 24, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Indiana Reps Still Wrestling With Residency
September 21, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Florida Senate: Too Big to Fail
September 18, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Florida
September 18, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (September 18, 2015)
September 18, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Post-CNN Debate Thoughts
September 18, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
And the News Gets Worse for Clinton
September 17, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
No Rating Change After Benishek’s Retirement in Michigan
September 16, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
More House Retirements Likely to Come
September 14, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
A Significant Reassessment of the GOP Race
September 10, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Wisconsin Senate: Badger State Battle, Part 2
September 4, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Colorado 6: Can Carroll Cause Coffman to Stumble?
September 4, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (Minnesota 2, North Dakota Governor Senate, Washington 8 Governor
September 4, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Reichert Seriously Considering Washington Governor’s Race
September 3, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Louisiana Governor: Does David Vitter Have Something to Worry About?
September 2, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Parties Play Politics With FEC Complaints
August 28, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Campaign Committees Open Holes While Filling Others
August 27, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Missing the Boat on the Big Political News
August 26, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Crist, Culver Contemplate Humbling Transition to the House
August 25, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Donald Trump and the Fight for the Senate
August 21, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Indiana 3: Home is Where the Heart Is
August 21, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
2015-16 Gubernatorial Overview: Parties Brace for Bigger Battles Ahead
August 21, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (August 21, 2015) Florida 5, Illinois 15, Texas 16, Iowa 1 & 4
August 21, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Group Suggests ‘Schock Waves’ in Illinois Special Election
August 19, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
A Modest Proposal: Timeshare Congressional Districts
August 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Stop the Presses: O’Malley Nabs Swalwell Endorsement
August 14, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
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