Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Ratings

Florida

Florida has 30 electoral college votes and 28 congressional districts.

Office
Incumbent
Rating
Governor
RDeSantisOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
Senate I
RScottNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate III
RMoodySolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-01
RPatronisSolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-02
RDunnOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-03
RCammackSolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-04
RBeanSolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-05
RRutherfordSolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-06
RFineSolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-07
RMillsLikely Republican
Likely Republican
FL-08
RHaridopolosSolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-09
DSotoLikely Republican
Likely Republican
FL-10
DFrostSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
FL-11
RWebsterOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-12
RBilirakisSolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-13
RLunaLikely Republican
Likely Republican
FL-14
DCastorLean Republican
Lean Republican
FL-15
RLeeSolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-16
RBuchananOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-17
RSteubeSolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-18
RFranklinSolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-19
RDonaldsOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-20
DVACANTSPECIALSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
FL-21
RMastSolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-22
DLois FrankelFrankel running in FL-23OPENTilt Republican
Tilt Republican
FL-23
DJared MoskowitzDLois FrankelMoskowitz running in FL-25OPENSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
FL-24
DWilsonOPENSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
FL-25
DDebbie Wasserman SchultzDJared MoskowitzWasserman Schultz running in FL-20OPENToss-up
Toss-up
FL-26
RDiaz-BalartSolid Republican
Solid Republican
FL-27
RSalazarLikely Republican
Likely Republican
FL-28
RGimenezSolid Republican
Solid Republican

Past Elections

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Baselines

About
2025+10.3D 44.5, R 54.8
2024
+10.3
2022
+8.8
2020
+5.6
2018
+4.5
2016
+8.9
2014
+8.6

Calendar

See All
APR
24
2026
FL
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
18
2026
FL
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

See All

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June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
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Virginia Caps Off Wild Week of Redistricting Ratings Changes

May 8, 2026
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Florida House: Redistricting Boosts GOP prospects

May 5, 2026
by Bradley Wascher & Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (April 23, 2026)

April 23, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin