Category Archive: Uncategorized

Virginia Caps Off Wild Week of Redistricting Ratings Changes

Tennessee Redistricting: Republicans Seek 9-0 after SCOTUS goes 6-3

Virginia 2: A Rematch at the Beach

Republican Jen Kiggans’ 2026 re-election was always going to be her hardest race yet. But after Democrats muscled through an aggressive redraw of Virginia’s congressional map, the two-term representative is one of just a handful of GOP incumbents to begin the summer as a clear underdog.

Texas 34: New Flores, New District, Same Gonzalez

President Donald Trump’s gains among Hispanic voters in 2020 and 2024 helped him keep Texas red and return to the White House. But despite significant swings at the presidential level, that newfound strength has been slower to translate down ballot, where the GOP holds just two of South Texas’ four congressional districts.

Florida House: Redistricting Boosts GOP prospects

Florida’s new congressional map could net House Republicans as many as four additional seats this fall, though it could also result in much smaller gains for the GOP. 

Ohio & Indiana Primaries: Republicans Choose Challengers in Key House Races

The redistricting battle continued on Tuesday as voters in Ohio and Indiana went to the polls for a slate of primaries.

Special Elections Point to House Flip in November

Back-to-back special elections in Georgia and New Jersey are the latest signs that Democrats are favored to take back the House — with the party's net gains potentially extending far beyond the three seats they need for a majority.

Report Shorts (April 23, 2026)

Report Shorts (April 9, 2026)

CBS News Example

C-SPAN Source Example

California House: Voters Enact New Map That Benefits Democrats

2026 Senate Overview: Republicans Holding On

The Most Evenly-Divided Counties in the Country

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): Open Seat Bonanza

The Tennis-Serve Election: An Excerpt from the 2026 Almanac of American Politics

House Report Shorts (July 24, 2025)

2025 Congressional Women’s Softball Game Preview: Bad News for Congress

Is a ‘Democratic Tea Party’ Brewing?

The Congressional Baseball Game is Likely Republican

Four Districts that Could Feature Sleeper House Races

Florida Special Elections Come Into Focus

First House Ratings of the 2026 Cycle

2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Feb. 6, 2025): Beyond the Beltway

2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Feb. 6, 2025): Iowa – New Mexico

2024 Election Projections: How’d We Do?

Electoral Implications of Trump’s Cabinet Picks

2024 Election Results: Few Surprises

2024 House Results Recap

2024 Governor Results Recap

2024 Elections Will be Close, Probably…Maybe

House Report Shorts (October 31, 2024)

2024 Elections Coming Down to the Wire

The 2024 Elections are Comically Close

Partisan Alignment Could Define 2024 Elections

A Potential Split Decision in the 2024 Elections

Searching for the Next, New Normal in the 2024 Elections

House Report Shorts (August 29, 2024)

After Reset, 2024 Elections are Close Ahead of Stretch Run

Ohio 9 Poll: Individual Brands Still Matter

Report Shorts (July 26, 2024)

Democrats Sinking or Swimming with Biden?

Report Shorts (July 11, 2024)

Return to Sender: Bowman Joins Rare “Primary In, Primary Out” Class

What Biden’s Approval Suggests About November

Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District

California Senate: Newsom Picks Laphonza Butler to Succeed Feinstein

Gubernatorial ‘Nepo Babies’

Vote Above Replacement: 2022 Governor Elections

2022 Election Results: Split Decision

2022 Election Preview (October 21, 2022): Back to the Future

2022 Election Preview (October 7, 2022): Close and Contested

2022 House Overview (August 25, 2022): GOP Majority Could be Slim

2022 House Overview (August 25, 2022): Alabama – Iowa

2022 House Overview (August 25, 2022): Kansas – New York

2022 House Overview (August 25, 2022): North Carolina – Wyoming

2022 State Legislative Update: Waiting for the Fall

Job Opportunity: Reporter / Analyst

Colorado Senate: Bennet More Vulnerable After Primary

An Early Look at (Too) Early Data on SCOTUS Abortion Ruling

First Thoughts from Indiana, Ohio Primary Results

2022 State Legislature Preview: GOP Poised for Gains

2022 Gubernatorial Overview (March 4, 2022)

Oklahoma Senate Special: Inhofe Seat Added to 2022 Races

2022 Senate Overview (October 8, 2021): Alabama – Georgia

Biden’s First Big Bill Among the Most Popular of Its Kind

2021-22 Gubernatorial Overview: Hail to the (State) Chiefs

Vote Above Replacement: 2020 Governor Elections

Pulling Back the Curtain on Race Ratings

Capitol Invasion Marred Hope of “Peaceful Transfer of Power”

Wrestling With the Mob

2022 Senate Overview (January 8, 2021): Hawaii – North Carolina

2022 Senate Overview (January 8, 2021): North Dakota – Wisconsin

Vote Above Replacement: 2020 Presidential Election

Statewide Baseline Updates After the 2020 Election

2020 Elections and Beyond: Results vs. Reactions

Georgia Senate Runoffs: Beagles and Stock Trades and Police, Oh My!

2020 Elections Recap: Great Expectations

2020 Elections Enter New Stage

A Brief History of Georgia Runoffs, and Why This Time May Be Different

Where Do We Go From Here?

What to Watch for on Election Night

The 2020 Battle for Congress: A Story Through Two Years of Rating Changes

Virginia Baseline by District Highlights Democratic Strength in the House

Journey to the End of the 2020 Elections

Wait for It: The Anthem of the 2020 Elections

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (September 1, 2020)

Inauguration Planning Confronts Reality of Pandemic

Nationwide Protests Move Into Campaign Ads

2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): Democrats Could Expand Majority

COVID-19 Just Latest Challenge for Health Care Polling

Presidential Battlegrounds: Florida

Fewer Political Ads Now, Doesn’t Mean Less Advertising Later

Candidate Conversation – Kathleen Williams (D)

Job Opening: Analyst – Reporter for Inside Elections

Inside Elections on Election Night

Candidate Conversation – Justin Fareed (R)

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: BonChon, Accessible Campaigns, and Future of Tackle Football

Candidate Conversation – Sapan Shah (R)

Time for a Second Look at the Senate in 2018?

Job Opening: Analyst – Reporter for Inside Elections

2018 Senate Overview: Opportunity vs. Responsibility

NRCC Bracing for Lonely Defense of House Majority

So Long, Curtis

What to Expect When You’re Expecting to Run

A Nerve-Wracking Finish for Democrats

Be Skeptical of Exit Poll Leaks on Election Day

Four Lessons from Amelia Bedelia’s Failed Run for Mayor

Oy Vey. The Summer of Jews Behaving Badly

Will Republicans Screw Up Again? Some Are Already Overreaching

For Campaign Moms, Politics Is Child’s Play

Next Senate Class Expands with Special Elections

Democrats Likely to Gain House Seats, but GOP Pick-ups Possible (House Overview, November 2, 2012)

The Ryan Gamble

Swing States, Battlegrounds and the 2012 Map

Arizona 8: Caution—Special Results Ahead

California House: Tough Road for Democrats Gets Tougher

Georgia 12: If at First You Don’t Succeed…

Nominees Chosen in Key State for Democrats

North Carolina Governor: Republicans Poised for Takeover

The Rothenberg Political Report Hires National Journal’s Jessica Taylor

Democrats Sound the Alarm in New York 9

West Virginia Governor: Race for the Slot

Liberal Blog: We Poll, You Decide

Projections — Not Predictions — About 2012

RNC Battle About Waiting for the Alternative

The Right Rises At a Ripe Time

New Strickland poll shows Ohio Governor down three points

As Polls Go, I Really Prefer the Partisan Stuff

Gubernatorial Update (August 27, 2010)

We Have a Winner in Florida…PPP!

Florida Governor: Just Where Exactly Did Rick Scott Come From?

Tancredo Seriously Exploring Gov Run as Independent

July 19, 2010 House Overview

Nebraska Governor’s Race News Just a Yawner

President Obama, Welcome to Bush’s World

PA Senate: Specter Embracing Cheney

House Members Soft-Pedal Their Résumés in Gubernatorial Campaigns

DISCLOSE Act Would Alter Committees’ IEs

The John Nuttings: Opening Day Roster

Post-Health Care Reform Landscape

Republicans Risk Sour Grapes Label With Talk of Repeal

Election Preview Panel

For Democrats, This Isn’t Simply Another Chicken Little Story

Project Runway Meets the Campaign Trail: The Brown Jacket

Free Election Preview Panel

There Are Plenty of Reasons to Keep Your Eye on Patty Murray

Can These Democrats Swim Against the Political Current in 2010?

The Most Refreshing, Yet Unusual, Candidate Interview I’ve Done

Good News Is Hard to Find for Democrats as Spring Begins

Don’t Believe the Hype … or Everything That You Read

Would Reconciliation for Health Care Affect Midterm Elections?

KY Senate: Grayson Readies Second TV Ad Against Paul

What Do Voters Want? Legislators or Ideological Voting Machines?

Ohio: Ganley Switching Races, Will Challenge Sutton

Plus 10 in the Senate? Republicans Certainly Not There Yet

Public Anger Continues to Hammer Incumbents

It All Depends on the Meaning of Party Identification

GOP Bets on Super Bowl Vets in 2010

For Republicans, Overconfidence Poses a Growing Problem

Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats

White House Taking More Flak From Its Political Allies

Stu Talks IL, DE Senate on Newshour

Don’t Hold Your Breath for an Anti-Incumbent Election

Can Candidates Accept Text Contributions?

From the Archives: Obama, Biden Seats in Danger?

Tuesday’s Result Raises New Questions for Both Parties

House Democrats Try to Prevent Exodus

Will Citizens United v. FEC Change the 2010 Elections?

MA Senate: Thinking the Unthinkable

Can the GOP Afford a Wave?

The Politics of Personal Destruction, Capitol Hill-Style, Part II

AR 2: Snyder (D) to Retire

MA Senate: Still Too Close to Call

Massachusetts Senate: Moved to Toss-Up

OH15: Stivers Staying Put

AZ 3: Shadegg (R) to Retire

Democrats Catch a Big Break in Connecticut Senate Race

2010 Back Issues

With 10 Months to Go, Is the House Playing Field Set?

Another Year, Another Set of Nominations for the Best and the Worst …

The 2010 Elections Are Closer Than You May Think

Stu on the GOP’s Tactics on Healthcare

What a Difference a Year Makes: the 2010 Senate Outlook

Are Democrats Trying to Follow Past GOP Leaders Off the Cliff?

2010 Gubernatorial Outlook Shows Voters’ Desire for Change

Hulu’s On First?

NC Senate: Will Marshall’s Senate Campaign Equal Her Recent P.R. Campaign?

30-Somethings Aim for Aging Senate

Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen House Seats for 2010

New Print Edition: 2010 Gubernatorial Outlook

If Everyone Is Looking at the Economy, Watch Foreign Policy

Sarah Palin? Frankly, My Dear, I Don’t Give a Damn

2009 Election Results Show How the Context Has Changed

New Print Edition: Pennsylvania Senate & Michigan 7

Democrats Face Pros and Cons in Nationalizing 2010 Races

Learning the Right Lessons From 2009 Results

Florida 8: Eisnaugle Declines To Run

After Hoffman, Rubio Is Likely Conservatives’ Next Challenge

New York 23 Remains a Toss-Up