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Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Category Archive: Senate
2022 Senate Overview (October 8, 2021): Firewall on Fire
October 8, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2022 Senate Overview (October 8, 2021): Hawaii – North Carolina
October 8, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2022 Senate Overview (October 8, 2021): North Dakota – Wisconsin
October 8, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Missouri Senate: Show Me the Nominee
September 23, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
The One Thing Biden Can’t Afford to Lose
September 17, 2021
by
Nathan Gonzales
Nevada Senate: It Matters
September 10, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
RIP, Rally ’Round the Flag
September 9, 2021
by
Nathan Gonzales
How Afghanistan Will (and Won’t) Matter in 2022 Midterms
September 2, 2021
by
Nathan Gonzales
Stop Attacking Losing Candidates
August 11, 2021
by
Nathan Gonzales
North Carolina Senate: Tar Heel Hullabaloo
August 6, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Is John Boozman Too Nice for the Republican Party?
August 6, 2021
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Candidates Smashing the Fundraising Curve
July 29, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Alabama Senate: Brooks Battles Back
July 16, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
When We’ll Know How Much Trump’s Support is Worth
July 16, 2021
by
Nathan Gonzales
2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): Defining the Battlefield
July 1, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): Alabama – Georgia
July 1, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): Hawaii – North Carolina
July 1, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): North Dakota – Wisconsin
July 1, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
These Four States Could Decide Control of Congress in 2022
June 28, 2021
by
Nathan Gonzales
While You Were Underground: A Political Update for Cicadas
June 17, 2021
by
Nathan Gonzales
Decline in Ticket-splitting Reaches Beyond Congress
June 15, 2021
by
Nathan Gonzales
Florida Senate: Not Swing, But Still Battleground
June 4, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Gillian Battino (D)
June 4, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Could Supreme Court Supercharge Midterms With Abortion Ruling?
June 3, 2021
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ohio Senate: Grand Re-Opening
May 21, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (May 7, 2021)
May 7, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Alaska Senate: Al Gross, 2020 Nominee, Considering Another Run
April 12, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Few Opportunities as Parties Battle for Senate Control
April 12, 2021
by
Nathan Gonzales
2022 Senate Overview (April 1, 2021): No Margin for Error
April 1, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2022 Senate Overview (April 1, 2021): Alabama – Georgia
April 1, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2022 Senate Overview (April 1, 2021): Hawaii – North Carolina
April 1, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2022 Senate Overview (April 1, 2021): North Dakota – Wisconsin
April 1, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Missouri Senate: Open Fields
March 19, 2021
by
Nathan Gonzales
Six Senators Who Owe Their Hill Careers to Redistricting
March 19, 2021
by
Nathan Gonzales
Missouri Senate: Remains Solid Republican for Now
March 8, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Mark Walker (R)
March 5, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
How the Lack of Ticket-Splitting Leads to Gridlock
March 3, 2021
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation: Tom Nelson (D)
February 19, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Recent History Shows Senate Retirements Don’t Tell Us Squat
February 10, 2021
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ohio Senate: Open Season
February 5, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation – Sarah Godlewski (D)
February 5, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Ohio Senate: Portman Decision Complicates Race
January 25, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Vote Above Replacement: 2020 Senate Elections
January 22, 2021
by
Bradley Wascher
Election Predictions Look Different (and Better) Now that All the Races are Over
January 22, 2021
by
Nathan Gonzales
2022 Senate Overview (January 8, 2021): Control is On the Line, Again
January 8, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2022 Senate Overview (January 8, 2021): Alabama – Georgia
January 8, 2021
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Georgia Senate Runoffs: How Democrats Won
January 8, 2021
by
Ryan Matsumoto
Georgia Senate Runoffs: Both Sides Getting Outspent?
December 30, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Why Our 2022 Ratings Aren’t Imminent
December 23, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Georgia Senate Runoffs: Policy Agendas, Outside Spending, and Polls
December 18, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (December 18, 2020)
December 18, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
How Trump’s 2024 Candidacy Could Complicate GOP Chances in 2022
December 2, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Georgia Senate Runoffs: Double Overtime
November 19, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
At Long Last, Senate Results
November 19, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Georgia Runoff History: Why the Past May Not Be Prologue
November 19, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
The Fight for the Senate Continues into 2022
November 19, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Election Preview: Bracing for History
October 28, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate Report Shorts (October 28, 2020)
October 28, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate Report Shorts (October 16, 2020)
October 16, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate Report Shorts (October 1, 2020)
October 1, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
The Next Congress Will Be Filled With Losers
September 28, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Supreme Court Fight Isn’t Guaranteed Game-Changer
September 20, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Senate Deserves Your Attention
September 18, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate Report Shorts (September 18, 2020)
September 18, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Misleading Senate Ad Uses Out-of-Context Quotes to Attack Opponent
September 10, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Trump Needs a Convention Bounce
September 1, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Mississippi Senate: Espy’s 1988 convention speech offers clues to 2020 optimism
August 26, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Election in the Mirror Is Closer Than It Appears
August 21, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Senate Report Shorts (August 21, 2020)
August 21, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Politicians are the Worst (But Most Important) Political Analysts
August 11, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): Democrats Poised to Control the Senate
July 10, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): Alabama – Kansas
July 10, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): Kentucky – New Mexico
July 10, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming
July 10, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Should Down-Ballot Republicans Ready a ‘No Blank Check’ Strategy?
July 10, 2020
by
Stuart Rothenberg
No, DC Statehood Won’t Lead to Permanent Senate Majority for Democrats
July 6, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
How One Senate Class Shows a National Realignment
June 25, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Georgia Senate: The Road to Redemption
June 19, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (June 19, 2020)
June 19, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (June 8, 2020)
June 8, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Report Shorts (June 5, 2020)
June 5, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Charles Booker (D)
June 5, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation: Mike Broihier (D)
June 5, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
The Senate is in Play, You Know
May 8, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Six Months from Election Day, Expect the Expected
May 7, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Questioning My Boldest Projection for 2020
April 13, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Senate is (Still) In Play
April 3, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Alabama – Kansas
April 3, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Kentucky – New Mexico
April 3, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming
April 3, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Montana Senate: Brawl in Big Sky Country
March 20, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Candidate Conversation – Sarah Riggs Amico (D)
March 20, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Coronavirus and the Elections: 7 Key Questions
March 17, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Rating Change: Montana Senate Shifts Toward Democrats
March 9, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Georgia Senate: How to Blow a Lead
March 6, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Key Senate Races Start to Take Shape
March 6, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Super Tuesday Senate Primary Update (March 3, 2020)
March 4, 2020
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Maine Senate: Is Susan Collins Already Behind?
February 21, 2020
by
Stuart Rothenberg
RIP, Election Night
February 21, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation – Cal Cunningham (D)
January 24, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview: GOP Women Hold Keys to GOP Majority
January 10, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): Alabama – Kansas
January 10, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): Kentucky-New Mexico
January 10, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming
January 10, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Kansas Senate: Pompeo Decision Makes Seat More Vulnerable
January 8, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate and House Outlook Looks a Lot Like It Did at the Start of 2019
January 7, 2020
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation – Theresa Greenfield (D)
December 19, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Impeachment’s No ‘Game Changer’ and Other Pet Peeves
December 17, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Kansas Senate: Rock Chalk Train Wreck?
December 6, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Iowa Senate: The Importance of Being Ernst
November 8, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Colorado Senate: Rocky Terrain for Republicans
October 25, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 Senate Overview (Oct. 11, 2019): The Senate Is In Play
October 11, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 Senate Overview (Oct. 11, 2019): Alabama – Kansas
October 11, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 Senate Overview (Oct. 11, 2019): Kentucky – New Mexico
October 11, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 Senate Overview (Oct. 11, 2019): North Carolina – Wyoming
October 11, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
North Carolina Senate: Something Red, Something Blue
September 27, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Luke Skywalker and the Politics of Impeachment
September 26, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Key Senate Races Continue to Take Shape
September 13, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Texas 17: Add Another Republican to List of Retirements
September 4, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Isakson’s Decision Adds Competitive Seat to 2020 Senate Battleground
August 28, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Maine Senate: Democrats Try to Crack Collins’ Code
August 16, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Trump Admits He was a Liability in 2018
July 24, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Michigan Senate: Renovating The Blue Wall
July 19, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Kentucky Senate: Seriously, Are We Doing This Again?
July 18, 2019
by
Stuart Rothenberg
How Many Ways is Michigan in Play in 2020?
July 3, 2019
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2020 Senate Overview (June 28, 2019): Dual of the Fates
June 28, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview (June 28, 2019): Alabama – Kansas
June 28, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 Senate (June 28, 2019): Kentucky – New Mexico
June 28, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 Senate Overview (June 28, 2019): North Carolina – Wyoming
June 28, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Campaign Ad Spending 2020: What’s Your Number?
June 26, 2019
by
Steve Passwaiter
Alabama Senate: Republicans Aim To Avoid Moore Headaches
June 20, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
New Mexico Senate: Republicans Search For An Opening
June 14, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
8 Races That Will Likely Determine Control of the Senate
June 12, 2019
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why a GOP Super PAC is Bothering to Attack Steve Bullock’s Bid for President
June 7, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Texas Senate: Do Democrats Have A Lone, Star Candidate?
May 31, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Candidate Conversation – John Walsh (D)
May 31, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Pennsylvania Special, Kentucky Governor, and the Trail Blazers
May 23, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Stop Grading 2020 Candidate Recruitment, Particularly This Far From Election Day
May 10, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Arthur Finkelstein Reprised with GOP’s ‘Socialists’ Cries
May 7, 2019
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Wyoming: One Open Seat or Two?
May 6, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Key Senate Races Take Shape
May 3, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Republicans Have a Post-Trump Identity Crisis on the Horizon
April 30, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Arizona Senate: Flight Path to Victory
April 19, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 Senate Overview: Defining the Relationship
April 5, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview (April 5, 2019): Alabama – Kansas
April 5, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 Senate Overview (April 5, 2019): Kentucky – New Mexico
April 5, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
2020 Senate Overview (April 5, 2019): North Carolina – Wyoming
April 5, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
The Case for Primaries: Arizona Edition
April 3, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
When It Comes to Younger Voters, Watch the Margin of Victory
March 29, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
New Mexico: Ben Ray Lujan Set to Announce Senate Candidacy on Monday
March 28, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
For Senators, Pressure To Cross Party Lines Is Light
March 26, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
New Mexico Senate Remains Solid Democratic For Now
March 25, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
A Few Thoughts on the State of the Union Address
February 7, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Too Early for Senate Ratings?
February 1, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Report Shorts (Feb. 1, 2019)
February 1, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Maine Senate: How Vulnerable is Susan Collins?
January 25, 2019
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Report Shorts (Jan. 18, 2019)
January 18, 2019
by
Leah Askarinam
Can Doug Jones win a full term in Alabama?
January 17, 2019
by
Stuart Rothenberg
5 reasons why there’s still no end to the shutdown
January 14, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview (Jan. 4, 2019): We’ve Only Just Begun
January 4, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview (Jan. 1, 2019) Alabama – Kansas
January 4, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview (Jan. 4, 2019) Kentucky – New Mexico
January 4, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
2020 Senate Overview (Jan. 4, 2019) North Carolina – Wyoming
January 4, 2019
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why We’re Not Releasing 2020 Race Ratings Yet
December 21, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
North Carolina: Blue Wave Steered Clear of ‘Blue Moon’ Election
December 14, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
Post-Midterms Baseline and Vote Above Replacement (VAR) Update
December 14, 2018
by
Ryan Matsumoto
Expect Record Turnout in 2020
December 13, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
Are White Evangelicals the Saviors of the GOP?
December 12, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
The 2018 Midterms as the Buffet Election
December 3, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
Goodbye Midterm Dynamic, Hello Presidential Politics
November 29, 2018
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Five Thoughts After the Mississippi Senate Race
November 28, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
Mississippi Senate Special: Delta Delays
November 20, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
2018 Midterms Review: Back to Normal
November 20, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
It’s Not Too Early to Start Looking at the 2020 Senate Map
November 14, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
2018 Election Preview: Embrace the Uncertainty
November 1, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
Senate Report Shorts (Nov. 1, 2018)
November 1, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
Introducing Inside Elections Baseline and Vote Above Replacement (VAR)
November 1, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
2018 Election Preview: Midterms’ Mixed Messages
October 26, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
Senate Report Shorts (Oct. 26, 2018)
October 26, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
Stop Calling 2018 ‘The Year Of The Woman’
October 15, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
Republican Migraines and the Midterm Elections
October 14, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
2018 Election Preview: GOP Bump or Trend?
October 12, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
Senate Report Shorts (Sept. 28, 2018)
September 28, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
Prepare to Be Disappointed on Election Night
September 26, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
What 39,000 Words in 15 Profiles Didn’t Tell You About Beto O’Rourke
September 21, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
2018 Election Preview: It’s All Over But the Campaigning
September 14, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
National Notes (September 14, 2018)
September 14, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Report Shorts (September 14, 2018)
September 14, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
Congress Isn’t Perfect but the Politicians Aren’t Always to Blame
August 16, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democratic Candidates Should Be Bolder on Gun Control, Poll Finds
August 9, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
Texas Senate: Cruz to Victory?
August 3, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
Tennessee Senate: Back To The Future
August 3, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
Florida Senate: Keep Your Eye On The Money
July 20, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
Brett Kavanaugh and the Midterm Effect
July 16, 2018
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2018 Senate Overview: SCOTUS Shake-up
July 6, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Overview (July 6, 2018): Arizona – Maine
July 6, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
Senate Overview (July 6, 2018): Maryland – Ohio
July 6, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
Senate Overview (July 6, 2018): Pennsylvania – Wyoming
July 6, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
Winter has Come for the Democratic Party
July 6, 2018
by
Nathan Gonzales
Candidate Conversation – Richard Painter (DFL)
July 6, 2018
by
Leah Askarinam
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