Category Archive: Senate

2022 Senate Overview (October 8, 2021): Firewall on Fire

2022 Senate Overview (October 8, 2021): Hawaii – North Carolina

2022 Senate Overview (October 8, 2021): North Dakota – Wisconsin

Missouri Senate: Show Me the Nominee

The One Thing Biden Can’t Afford to Lose

Nevada Senate: It Matters

RIP, Rally ’Round the Flag

How Afghanistan Will (and Won’t) Matter in 2022 Midterms

Stop Attacking Losing Candidates

North Carolina Senate: Tar Heel Hullabaloo

Is John Boozman Too Nice for the Republican Party?

Senate Candidates Smashing the Fundraising Curve

Alabama Senate: Brooks Battles Back

When We’ll Know How Much Trump’s Support is Worth

2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): Defining the Battlefield

2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): Alabama – Georgia

2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): Hawaii – North Carolina

2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): North Dakota – Wisconsin

These Four States Could Decide Control of Congress in 2022

While You Were Underground: A Political Update for Cicadas

Decline in Ticket-splitting Reaches Beyond Congress

Florida Senate: Not Swing, But Still Battleground

Candidate Conversation: Gillian Battino (D)

Could Supreme Court Supercharge Midterms With Abortion Ruling?

Ohio Senate: Grand Re-Opening

Report Shorts (May 7, 2021)

Alaska Senate: Al Gross, 2020 Nominee, Considering Another Run

Few Opportunities as Parties Battle for Senate Control

2022 Senate Overview (April 1, 2021): No Margin for Error

2022 Senate Overview (April 1, 2021): Alabama – Georgia

2022 Senate Overview (April 1, 2021): Hawaii – North Carolina

2022 Senate Overview (April 1, 2021): North Dakota – Wisconsin

Missouri Senate: Open Fields

Six Senators Who Owe Their Hill Careers to Redistricting

Missouri Senate: Remains Solid Republican for Now

Candidate Conversation: Mark Walker (R)

How the Lack of Ticket-Splitting Leads to Gridlock

Candidate Conversation: Tom Nelson (D)

Recent History Shows Senate Retirements Don’t Tell Us Squat

Ohio Senate: Open Season

Candidate Conversation – Sarah Godlewski (D)

Ohio Senate: Portman Decision Complicates Race

Vote Above Replacement: 2020 Senate Elections

Election Predictions Look Different (and Better) Now that All the Races are Over

2022 Senate Overview (January 8, 2021): Control is On the Line, Again

2022 Senate Overview (January 8, 2021): Alabama – Georgia

Georgia Senate Runoffs: How Democrats Won

Georgia Senate Runoffs: Both Sides Getting Outspent?

Why Our 2022 Ratings Aren’t Imminent

Georgia Senate Runoffs: Policy Agendas, Outside Spending, and Polls

Report Shorts (December 18, 2020)

How Trump’s 2024 Candidacy Could Complicate GOP Chances in 2022

Georgia Senate Runoffs: Double Overtime

At Long Last, Senate Results

Georgia Runoff History: Why the Past May Not Be Prologue

The Fight for the Senate Continues into 2022

2020 Election Preview: Bracing for History

Senate Report Shorts (October 28, 2020)

Senate Report Shorts (October 16, 2020)

Senate Report Shorts (October 1, 2020)

The Next Congress Will Be Filled With Losers

Supreme Court Fight Isn’t Guaranteed Game-Changer

The Senate Deserves Your Attention

Senate Report Shorts (September 18, 2020)

Misleading Senate Ad Uses Out-of-Context Quotes to Attack Opponent

Trump Needs a Convention Bounce

Mississippi Senate: Espy’s 1988 convention speech offers clues to 2020 optimism

The Election in the Mirror Is Closer Than It Appears

Senate Report Shorts (August 21, 2020)

Politicians are the Worst (But Most Important) Political Analysts

2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): Democrats Poised to Control the Senate

2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): Alabama – Kansas

2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): Kentucky – New Mexico

2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming

Should Down-Ballot Republicans Ready a ‘No Blank Check’ Strategy?

No, DC Statehood Won’t Lead to Permanent Senate Majority for Democrats

How One Senate Class Shows a National Realignment

Georgia Senate: The Road to Redemption

Report Shorts (June 19, 2020)

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (June 8, 2020)

Report Shorts (June 5, 2020)

Candidate Conversation: Charles Booker (D)

Candidate Conversation: Mike Broihier (D)

The Senate is in Play, You Know

Six Months from Election Day, Expect the Expected

Questioning My Boldest Projection for 2020

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Senate is (Still) In Play

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Alabama – Kansas

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Kentucky – New Mexico

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming

Montana Senate: Brawl in Big Sky Country

Candidate Conversation – Sarah Riggs Amico (D)

Coronavirus and the Elections: 7 Key Questions

Rating Change: Montana Senate Shifts Toward Democrats

Georgia Senate: How to Blow a Lead

Key Senate Races Start to Take Shape

Super Tuesday Senate Primary Update (March 3, 2020)

Maine Senate: Is Susan Collins Already Behind?

RIP, Election Night

Candidate Conversation – Cal Cunningham (D)

2020 Senate Overview: GOP Women Hold Keys to GOP Majority

2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): Alabama – Kansas

2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): Kentucky-New Mexico

2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming

Kansas Senate: Pompeo Decision Makes Seat More Vulnerable

2020 Senate and House Outlook Looks a Lot Like It Did at the Start of 2019

Candidate Conversation – Theresa Greenfield (D)

Impeachment’s No ‘Game Changer’ and Other Pet Peeves

Kansas Senate: Rock Chalk Train Wreck?

Iowa Senate: The Importance of Being Ernst

Colorado Senate: Rocky Terrain for Republicans

2020 Senate Overview (Oct. 11, 2019): The Senate Is In Play

2020 Senate Overview (Oct. 11, 2019): Alabama – Kansas

2020 Senate Overview (Oct. 11, 2019): Kentucky – New Mexico

2020 Senate Overview (Oct. 11, 2019): North Carolina – Wyoming

North Carolina Senate: Something Red, Something Blue

Luke Skywalker and the Politics of Impeachment

Key Senate Races Continue to Take Shape

Texas 17: Add Another Republican to List of Retirements

Isakson’s Decision Adds Competitive Seat to 2020 Senate Battleground

Maine Senate: Democrats Try to Crack Collins’ Code

Trump Admits He was a Liability in 2018

Michigan Senate: Renovating The Blue Wall

Kentucky Senate: Seriously, Are We Doing This Again?

How Many Ways is Michigan in Play in 2020?

2020 Senate Overview (June 28, 2019): Dual of the Fates

2020 Senate Overview (June 28, 2019): Alabama – Kansas

2020 Senate (June 28, 2019): Kentucky – New Mexico

2020 Senate Overview (June 28, 2019): North Carolina – Wyoming

Campaign Ad Spending 2020: What’s Your Number?

Alabama Senate: Republicans Aim To Avoid Moore Headaches

New Mexico Senate: Republicans Search For An Opening

8 Races That Will Likely Determine Control of the Senate

Why a GOP Super PAC is Bothering to Attack Steve Bullock’s Bid for President

Texas Senate: Do Democrats Have A Lone, Star Candidate?

Candidate Conversation – John Walsh (D)

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Pennsylvania Special, Kentucky Governor, and the Trail Blazers

Stop Grading 2020 Candidate Recruitment, Particularly This Far From Election Day

Arthur Finkelstein Reprised with GOP’s ‘Socialists’ Cries

Wyoming: One Open Seat or Two?

Key Senate Races Take Shape

Republicans Have a Post-Trump Identity Crisis on the Horizon

Arizona Senate: Flight Path to Victory

2020 Senate Overview: Defining the Relationship

2020 Senate Overview (April 5, 2019): Alabama – Kansas

2020 Senate Overview (April 5, 2019): Kentucky – New Mexico

2020 Senate Overview (April 5, 2019): North Carolina – Wyoming

The Case for Primaries: Arizona Edition

When It Comes to Younger Voters, Watch the Margin of Victory

New Mexico: Ben Ray Lujan Set to Announce Senate Candidacy on Monday

For Senators, Pressure To Cross Party Lines Is Light

New Mexico Senate Remains Solid Democratic For Now

A Few Thoughts on the State of the Union Address

Too Early for Senate Ratings?

Report Shorts (Feb. 1, 2019)

Maine Senate: How Vulnerable is Susan Collins?

Report Shorts (Jan. 18, 2019)

Can Doug Jones win a full term in Alabama?

5 reasons why there’s still no end to the shutdown

2020 Senate Overview (Jan. 4, 2019): We’ve Only Just Begun

2020 Senate Overview (Jan. 1, 2019) Alabama – Kansas

2020 Senate Overview (Jan. 4, 2019) Kentucky – New Mexico

2020 Senate Overview (Jan. 4, 2019) North Carolina – Wyoming

Why We’re Not Releasing 2020 Race Ratings Yet

North Carolina: Blue Wave Steered Clear of ‘Blue Moon’ Election

Post-Midterms Baseline and Vote Above Replacement (VAR) Update

Expect Record Turnout in 2020

Are White Evangelicals the Saviors of the GOP?

The 2018 Midterms as the Buffet Election

Goodbye Midterm Dynamic, Hello Presidential Politics

Five Thoughts After the Mississippi Senate Race

Mississippi Senate Special: Delta Delays

2018 Midterms Review: Back to Normal

It’s Not Too Early to Start Looking at the 2020 Senate Map

2018 Election Preview: Embrace the Uncertainty

Senate Report Shorts (Nov. 1, 2018)

Introducing Inside Elections Baseline and Vote Above Replacement (VAR)

2018 Election Preview: Midterms’ Mixed Messages

Senate Report Shorts (Oct. 26, 2018)

Stop Calling 2018 ‘The Year Of The Woman’

Republican Migraines and the Midterm Elections

2018 Election Preview: GOP Bump or Trend?

Senate Report Shorts (Sept. 28, 2018)

Prepare to Be Disappointed on Election Night

What 39,000 Words in 15 Profiles Didn’t Tell You About Beto O’Rourke

2018 Election Preview: It’s All Over But the Campaigning

National Notes (September 14, 2018)

Senate Report Shorts (September 14, 2018)

Congress Isn’t Perfect but the Politicians Aren’t Always to Blame

Democratic Candidates Should Be Bolder on Gun Control, Poll Finds

Texas Senate: Cruz to Victory?

Tennessee Senate: Back To The Future

Florida Senate: Keep Your Eye On The Money

Brett Kavanaugh and the Midterm Effect

2018 Senate Overview: SCOTUS Shake-up

Senate Overview (July 6, 2018): Arizona – Maine

Senate Overview (July 6, 2018): Maryland – Ohio

Senate Overview (July 6, 2018): Pennsylvania – Wyoming

Winter has Come for the Democratic Party

Candidate Conversation – Richard Painter (DFL)