Category Archive: Senate

The Wrong Fight at the Wrong Time for the GOP

10 One-Liners after Tuesday’s Primaries

GOP Poll: Donnelly in Position to Win in Indiana

California House: Parties Regroup after Primary

Steve Bannon Is Right About the Midterms — Until He Isn’t

Eight States That Will Decide the Senate Majority

Candidate Conversation – Mike Kennedy (R)

Why You Should Focus on Independents

Ohio Primaries: Republicans Choose Brown Challenger

West Virginia Primaries: Morrisey to take on Manchin for Senate

GOP Senate Targets Fade From View

Tennessee Senate: Why I’m Cautious About Phil Bredesen’s Prospects

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Hair in Montana Ads, Let’s Remember Candidates from Kentucky

Nebraska Senate: How Vulnerable is Deb Fischer?

Trump Numbers Are Up. And Down. But Really Unchanged.

2018 Senate Overview: Two Americas

Senate Overview (April 20, 2018): Maryland – Ohio

Senate Overview (April 20, 2018): Pennsylvania – Wyoming

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Push Polls Saga, Cynthia Nixon, and Minnesota’s 8th

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Arizona 8 Special, Ryan’s Exit, and NFL Fashion

Rating Change: Florida Senate Shifts to Toss-up

Nathan’s (Mostly) Political One-Liners: Fraudulent Signatures, Roseanne, and Kindness

Nathan’s (Mostly) Political One-Liners: Barn Jackets, HGTV and Pop Punk Music

How Women Could Lose Senate Seats in the Latest Year of the Woman

How Can the GOP Turn Out Trump Voters?

Montana Senate: GOP Hopes to Strike Gold In The Treasure State

Top of the Ticket Woes Could Lead to Downballot Debacle

Why the Gun Issue Has Shifted (It’s Not What You Think)

Indiana Senate: Donnelly Against the Crowd

Mississippi Senate Special: Majority Could Hang in the Balance Into December

Candidate Conversation – Kelli Ward (R)

The Stunning ‘Role of Government’ Numbers

West Virginia Senate: Last Democrat Standing

Watch the Polls, Ignore the Post-Shutdown Chatter

It’s a Blue House Wave, but Not Yet a Senate One

For Republicans, McSally Senate Run is Blessing, Curse

The Democrats’ Savior

2018 Senate Overview: Alabama Puts Democrats Closer to Majority

The Fight for the Senate in the Wake of Alabama

10 Thoughts After the Alabama Senate Election

No One Is Afraid of a Government Shutdown

Ratings Update: Tennessee Senate Remains Solid R for Now

Ratings Change: Franken’s Minnesota Seat Starts as Likely for Democrats

Missouri Senate: Claire’s Courtship of Trump Voters

Alabama Senate Special: Moore or Less a Toss-Up

Good Candidate, Bad Candidate … Who Knows?

Ratings Change: Alabama Senate Moves to Toss-up

Please Don’t Call It a Push Poll: Transgender Edition

Why You Should Focus on Independents from Now to the Midterms

Arizona Senate: Flake Retires But Race Still a Toss-Up

Comparing Trump’s Job Ratings to Obama’s

What Happened to Mountain Republicans in the South?

2018 Senate Overview: Divided and Conquer?

2018 Senate Overview (Sept. 9, 2017): Alabama – Maine

2018 Senate Overview (Sept. 9, 2017): Maryland – Ohio

2018 Senate Overview (Sept. 9, 2017): Pennsylvania – Wyoming

Candidate Conversation – Paul Perry (D)

Nine Thoughts After the Alabama Senate Runoff

LGBTQ Women Balance Opportunity, Possible Extinction in Congress

Alabama Senate Special: What’s Moore Strange Than a Democratic Opportunity in the South?

Report Shorts – Arizona Senate, New Jersey Senate

‘Scam PACs’ Strike Again in Utah, Wisconsin

Arizona Senate: Flake Re-Election Race Heats Up

Merkley’s Mild Town Hall in a Red County

Alabama Senate: Potential for Moore Makes Seat Less Safe

Kid Rock for Senate and the Myth of Donald Trump’s Success

When Congressional Spouses (Allegedly) Misbehave

Why ‘Single-Payer’ May Not Be Republicans’ Saving Grace in 2018

A Bipartisan Health Care Bill Will Be Tougher to Pass than a Partisan One

2018 Senate Overview: The Map vs. Reality

2018 Senate Overview (July 7, 2017) Alabama – Maine

2018 Senate Overview (July 7, 2017) Maryland – Ohio

2018 Senate Overview (July 7, 2017) Oklahoma – Wyoming

GOP Campaign Tracker Violates Bipartisan Truce (Again)

For GOP, Health Care Bill Looks Riskier by the Day

How Divided Parties Survive and Thrive

The GOP’s Political Gamble on the Environment

Lessons for Trump Detractors, Members of Congress From a Loyalty Expert

Alabama Senate Special: What a Short Strange Trip It’s Been

Don’t Trust Politicians Who Say They Aren’t Running for President

The Bipartisan Effort to Make Senate History

2018 Senate Overview: Waiting for the New Normal

2018 Senate Overview (April 7, 2017) Alabama – Maine

2018 Senate Overview (April 7, 2017) Maryland – Ohio

2018 Senate Overview (April 7, 2017) Oklahama – Wyoming

Reason for Democratic Optimism, But Health Care Won’t be Enough

So Much for Deal Making

New Jersey Senate: Menendez Heading to Trial and Re-Election?

Senate Landscape Not as Rosy for the GOP as It Once Was

Jason Kander May Have Made a Big Mistake

The GOP’s Long-Term Structural Senate Advantage

The Senate Revolution in North Dakota Will Not Be Televised

Congressional Republicans Should Be Afraid of Steve Bannon

Special Election Update: Watch Georgia’s 6th District

Three Trump Campaign Aides Who Could Get Elected to Congress

Ohio Senate: Bull’s-eye on the Buckeye State

Women’s March: A Moment or a Movement?

How President Trump Can Avoid President Obama’s Biggest Mistake

Does the NRSC Have the Right Message for 2018?

The First Time I Met Illinois Senate Candidate Barack Obama

2018 Senate Overview (January 13, 2017) Alabama-Maine

2018 Senate Overview (January 13, 2017) Maryland-Ohio

2018 Senate Overview (January 13, 2017) Oklahoma-Wyoming

Montana Senate: GOP Chances Left in Zinke’s Wake?

Louisiana Runoffs Wrap 2016 Elections

Reid Boasts About Not Going Back to Nevada

Pelosi Remains But ‘Winter is Coming’ for Democrats

Donald Trump, Golden Shepherds, and the 2016 Election

Louisiana Runoffs Shape Republicans on the Hill

Electoral Fallout from Trump’s Cabinet Selections

Senate Goes Down to the Wire…and Beyond

Stakes Get Higher in Fight for the Senate

It’s Time for Newspapers to Stop Endorsing Candidates

Will Trump Tip Senate to Democrats?

Six States Will Decide Senate Majority

Fight for the Senate Intensifies

Senate Math Still Favors Democrats

Pennsylvania Senate: Keystone of a Majority

The Second Biggest Surprise of the Election Season

Trump’s Troubles Loosen GOP Grip on Senate Majority

The Most Important Question to Ask Trump Defectors

GOP Senators Brace For Trump Tsunami

The Country is More Divided Than You Think

What I Learned Outside the Convention Bubble

NRSC: GOP Senators Running for Sheriff, Not President

Evan Bayh, Indiana and the Fight for the Senate

Why Republicans Decline to Attack Democrats on “Culture of Corruption”

Ratings Change: Indiana Senate Moves to Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic

Colorado Primary Results Keep Senate Republicans on the Defensive

Rubio, Research Shake Up Florida Races

Republicans Need Gary Johnson to Save the Senate

Safe Senator Shifts to Raise Money for Safe Colleague

What Katie McGinty Told Me About Her College Career

2016 Senate Overview: Is This the Summer of Voters’ Discontent?

2016 Senate Overview (June 3, 2016) Alabama – Kansas

2016 Senate Overview (June 3, 2016) Kentucky – New Mexico

2016 Senate Overview (June 3, 2016) New York – Wyoming

Comparing the GOP Divides, 1964 and 2016

Donald Trump is the GOP Nominee. Now What?

How Trump Gives Republicans a Chance to Hold Senate

Colorado Senate: Republicans Struggle to Keep Bennet in Play

Illinois Senate: Kirk Downgraded to Lean Democratic

Candidate Conversation – Kathy Szeliga (R)

Senate Report Shorts (May 5, 2016) Indiana, Kansas, Maryland, Pennsylvania

Democrats Are Headed off Their Own Cliff

Indiana Primaries Enter the Home Stretch

Candidate Conversation: Conner Eldridge (D)

GOP Incumbents Brace for Primary Losses, But Survive So Far

Senate Matchups Start to Solidify, But Landscape Unclear

Democratic Senate Takeover Probable, If Cruz or Trump Nominee

2016 Senate Overview: Trump Looms Over Fight for the Majority

2016 Senate Overview (March 4, 2016) Alabama – Kansas

2016 Senate Overview (March 4, 2016) Kentucky – New Mexico

2016 Senate overview (March 4, 2016) New York – Wyoming

Obama Learns What You Sow in the Senate, You Reap in the White House

Scalia’s Death and the Fight for the Senate

Josh Mandel, Running for the Senate in Ohio…Again?

Report Shorts (February 19, 2016) California Senate, Indiana Senate, Maine’s 2nd, North Carolina,

Wisconsin Senate: Argument over Assumptions

Report Shorts (February 5, 2016) California, Kentucky, Maryland, North Carolina, Tennessee

NRSC Names Huey IE Director

Beshear Looks Back, Forward on Kentucky’s Political Landscape

Obama’s Empty Campaign Threat on Gun Control

Report Shorts (January 8, 2016) Alabama, Minnesota, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania

Predicting the Future and Other Delusions

Indiana Senate: Is Stutzman Still the Club for Growth’s Guy?

Colorado Senate: Republicans Waiting for Challenger To Emerge

Stu in Review: Dumb Stuff I Wrote This Year

GOP’s Brand In More Trouble Than Its Candidates

What Does It Take To Crack the Inner Circle of Political Consultants?

Rothenberg’s End of the Year Awards

4 Court Cases That Could Impact the 2016 Elections

Louisiana Senate: In the Wake of David Vitter

Report Shorts (December 4, 2015) California Senate, Florida Senate, Maryland Senate

Who Is the Second Most Vulnerable Senate Incumbent in 2016?

Time to Stop Reporting on Committee Fundraising Numbers

New Hampshire Senate: Clash of the Titans

Report Shorts (November 20, 2015) Arizona 1, Arkansas, Kentucky Senate, New York 22

EMILY’s List Support Isn’t Early Enough for Senate Hopeful

2016 Senate Overview: Playing Field Comes Into Focus, But Climate is Unclear

2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) Alabama – Kansas

2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) Kentucky – New Mexico

2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) New York – Wyoming

What Does Bevin’s Victory in Kentucky Mean for Vitter’s Chances?

Vitter’s Primary Performance Prompts Rating Change in Louisiana

What the Heck Happened to Rand Paul?

Democrats Divided in Fight for Maryland Senate Seat

Report Shorts (October 16, 2015)

Report Shorts (October 1, 2015)

Does Voter Anger Explain the Success of Presidential Outsiders?

Young, Ambitious and Wealthy Isn’t Enough in Arkansas

Indiana Reps Still Wrestling With Residency

Florida Senate: Too Big to Fail

Report Shorts (September 18, 2015)

Wisconsin Senate: Badger State Battle, Part 2

Report Shorts (Minnesota 2, North Dakota Governor Senate, Washington 8 Governor

Louisiana Governor: Does David Vitter Have Something to Worry About?

Parties Play Politics With FEC Complaints

Campaign Committees Open Holes While Filling Others

Donald Trump and the Fight for the Senate