Category Archive: Senate

2016 Senate Overview: Playing Field Comes Into Focus

2016 Senate Overview (July 24, 2015) Alabama – Kansas

2016 Senate Overview (July 24, 2015) Kentucky – New Mexico

2016 Senate Overview (July 24, 2015) New York – Wyoming

Heck’s Decision Prompts Rating Change in Two Nevada Races

North Carolina Senate: Life After Hagan

Report Shorts (June 17, 2015) Colorado Senate, Georgia Senate, Indiana Senate, Nevada Senate

Race Plays Out on Congressional Baseball Game Field

Illinois Senate: The Most Vulnerable Senator in the Country

Arizona Landscape Shifts in Two Races

Report Shorts (May 29, 2015) Indiana Governor, Indiana Senate, Kentucky Governor, Nevada Senate

Kirkpatrick’s Decision Prompts Ratings Changes in Two Arizona Races

500 Attack Emails Couldn’t Take Down Thom Tillis

Can Republicans Repeat an Upset in Colorado?

Nevada Senate: Republicans Hope for Heck of a Race

Report Shorts (May 15, 2015) California Senate, California 25, Indiana Senate, Indiana 3

How Much Trouble Is Richard Burr in?

What Kind of Senate Candidates Will Do Well in 2016?

DSCC Preferred Chairman’s Opponent in 2006 Primary

‘Big Money’ and the 2016 Elections

Senate Overview: Retirements and Primaries Matter for Majority

2016 Senate Overview (April 17, 2015) Alabama – Kansas

2016 Senate Overview (April 17, 2015) Kentucky – New Mexico

2016 Senate Overview (April 17, 2015) New York – Wyoming

Wyden Looks Safe, but Democratic Rift Is Real

Report Shorts (April 3, 2015) Florida Senate, Indiana Senate, Illinois Senate, Nevada Senate

How Reid Reacted When a Republican Senator Was Indicted

Democrats Start With Narrow Advantage in Nevada Open Seat

Lopach Leads March Toward Democratic Senate Majority

Indiana Senate Race Moves Out of Safe

Why Primaries Aren’t All Bad

Report Shorts (March 20, 2015) Florida Senate, Maryland Senate, Michigan’s 11th, New Jersey Senate

Mark Kirk Starts 2016 as an Underdog

Why Electoral Waves Are Rarer in a Presidential Year

Maryland Senate: Democrats Jockey for Mikulski’s Seat

Report Shorts (March 6, 2015) CA Senate, FL Senate, MO Governor, NC Senate

Pat Toomey Is a Strong Candidate. Will That Be Enough in 2016?

Feingold, Sestak Face History, Former Foes in Senate Rematches

Remembrance of Shutdowns Past

Senate Challenger Battles Secretary of State Curse

How Much Money Does it Take to Defeat a Senator?

California Senate: Boxer’s Retirement Complicates Contenders’ Plans to Move Up the Ladder

Report Shorts (February 20, 2015) California 44, Mississippi 1, Missouri Senate

Ohio Senate: Portman Shifts from Offense to Defense

When Activists Run for Office

Why Even Democrats Love Talking About Joni Ernst

First Look: Can Democrats Win the Senate in 2016?

Report Shorts (January 23, 2015) California Senate, Iowa Senate, Pennsylvania Senate

Why Democrats Can’t Count on Voters Blaming a ‘Republican Congress’

Will Improving Economy Help Obama’s Case on Keystone?

2016 Senate Overview: Republicans Start on the Defensive

2016 Senate Overview (January 9, 2015) Alabama – Kansas

2016 Senate Overview (January 9, 2015) Kentucky – New Mexico

2016 Senate Overview (January 9, 2015) New York – Wyoming

What Kind of Race Would Russ Feingold Run in 2016?

Democrats Abandoned Mary Landrieu in the Runoff. Does it Matter?

Mary Landrieu’s Loss and the End of Ticket Splitting

Rothenberg’s End of the Year Awards for 2014

What Did — and Didn’t — Surprise Me This Cycle

The 2014 Elections: How’d We Do?

Louisiana Races Go Into Overtime

Some Lessons for Democratic Strategists and Other Observers

The Stunningly Static White Evangelical Vote

No Guarantee Democrats Rebound in 2016

Mary Landrieu’s Tall Task in the Louisiana Runoff

2014: Plenty of Surprises, but None Totally Unexpected

Ratings Change: Louisiana Senate Moves from Tilt Republican To Lean Republican

The Midterms and the Super Bowl, a Tale of Two Routs

Senate Ratings vs. Senate Expecations (Stu’s Sept. 8 Outlook)

GOP Candidates More Popular Than Democrats in Top Senate Races

Republicans (Still) Poised to Pick Up 6 to 8 Senate Seats

Election Eve Update: GOP Prospects Continue to Improve in the Senate

Ratings Change in Kentucky Senate

Obama’s Midterm Loss Record Could Make History

Senate Outlook: Advantage to Republicans

What Counts As a GOP Wave in 2014?

Will Obama Leave the Democratic Party Better Than He Found It?

Ratings Change: New Hampshire Senate

South Dakota Senate Race Returning to Form

Not His Father’s Arkansas

Senate Outlook: Lots of Moving Pieces But Fundamentally Unchanged

Why Republicans Must Win the Senate in 2014

Ratings Change: Arkansas Senate from Toss-up/Tilt Republican to Lean Republican

Ratings Change: Alaska Senate from Pure Toss-up to Toss-up/Tilt Republican

Ratings Change: South Dakota Senate from Republican Favored to Lean Republican

Michigan Senate Seat Moves Away from Republicans

What If I’m Wrong About GOP Flipping at Least 7 Seats?

Three Election Trends That Could End in 2014

Fight for the Senate: Trajectory Unchanged

Family Ties May Not Be Enough to Save Vulnerable Senators

Senate Chairmen Try to Avoid Historic Home-State Losses

Fight for Senate Control Down to Five States

A Bible, a Keg Stand, and a Snowmobile: The Keys to Holding a Democratic Majority in the Senate

The Election Results Don’t Matter

The Republican Brand’s Recovery Tour — Sort Of

A National Election or a Localized One?

The Best Ads of 2014 – Oh Really?

Senate Ratings vs. Senate Expecations

Republicans Use Birth Control as Campaign Wedge

Pat Roberts is the Most Vulnerable Republican Senator in the Country

Numbers Game Still Favors GOP Senate Majority

2014 Senate Overview (August 29, 2014) Alabama – Kansas

2014 Senate Overview (August 29, 2014) Kentucky – New Mexico

2014 Senate Overview (August 29, 2014) North Carolina – Wyoming

And the Winner of the GOP’s Civil War Primary Is…Part II

Not Your Typical Southern Democrat in South Carolina

Senate Races Shift to Higher Gear

Self-Fulfilling Prophecy Might Be Why Americans Hate Congress

Democratic Retirements Put the Senate in Play

Walsh Drops Out, Montana Senate Moves to Republican Favored

New Poll Numbers Reinforce Bush-Obama Comparisons

President George W. Obama Meets the Midterms

Montana Senate Moves to Lean Republican

Montana Senate: A Real Race or Simply Manufactured Buzz?

‘Simple’ Doesn’t Equal ‘Easy’ in N.H. Senate Race

Imperfect People Get Elected to the Senate

Fight for the Senate Still Very Much Up in the Air

Minnesota Senate: Still Very Unlikely, But Not Impossible

Could Upbeat Economic News Help Obama, Democrats?

Senate Report Shorts (July 8, 2014)

Why Democrats and Republicans Can’t Be Friends

Senate GOP Bets on Jeff Larson to Help Ride to Majority in 2014

Senate Long Shots Find Success Down the Ballot

Report Shorts (June 20, 2014) SC Senate, Maine 2, Mississippi Senate, Virginia 7

In Campaign Ads, ‘Week One’ Is Still Months Away

Mark Pryor: Still This Cycle’s Most Vulnerable Senator

Michelle Obama for Senate in 2016: Is It Even a Rumor?

Senate Majority Still Hangs in the Balance

2014 Senate Overview (June 6, 2014) Alabama – Kansas

2014 Senate Overview (June 6, 2014) Kentucky – New Mexico

2014 Senate Overview (June 6, 2014) North Carolina – Wyoming

Why Do We Suddenly Care About Races for Lt. Governor?

Thad Cochran’s Mississippi

Oregon Senate: National Republicans Get Their Nominee for Potential Race

South Carolina Senate: Lindsey Graham is Not Safe, Yet

Senate Report Shorts (May 28, 2014) Arkansas, Georgia, Kansas, Kentucky, Mississippi, Nebraska

The Long Lost Tale of Phil Maloof

Ben Sasse, Mystery Man

The New World of Election Coverage and Analysis: A Case Study

Michigan: Midwest Melee

Report Shorts (May 9, 2014) Georgia Governor, Hawaii Governor, North Carolina Senate, and more

Why This Year’s Primaries Won’t End GOP Civil War

Now that GOP Primary is Over, North Carolina Senate Moves to Pure Toss-Up

And the Winner of the GOP’s Civil War Primary Is …

How to Ruin Your Interview With Stu Rothenberg

Warning: Senate Races Aren’t as Close as They Appear

When Birth Certificates and Senate Races Clash

North Carolina: Primary Purpose

Arkansas Senate: Shooting Down Strawmen

Charleston Gazette Endorsements Need a Little Perspective

Obama’s Foreign Policy Impacts 2014 Elections — Really

Why TV Airtime Reservations Are More Important Than Ever

Colorado Senate: Mark Udall Still Favored

Sebelius to the Senate? Maybe in the Land of Oz, But Not in Kansas

How to Handicap a Campaign’s Ground Game in 2014

Democratic Senate Prospects and the New Black Voter

Mississippi Senator Thad Cochran, Underdog?

Nebraska Senate: Peak Timing

Democrats’ Growing Problems With Independent Voters on the Senate Map

Colorado Senate Race Firmly on Senate Battlefield

Road Gets Tougher for Democratic Majority in the Senate

2014 Senate Overview (March 14, 2014) Alabama – Kansas

2014 Senate Overview (March 14, 2014) Kentucky – New Mexico

2014 Senate Overview (March 14, 2014) North Carolina – Wyoming

Why Polls Still Show Democrats With Higher Marks Than Republicans

Bill Clinton’s Real Impact on the Kentucky Senate Race

Why Republican Candidates Will Run From .GOP Address

Oregon Senate: Testing the Democratic Firewall

Michigan Senate: Evolving GOP Opportunity

Report Shorts (February 28, 2014) Colorado Senate, Michigan 12, Texas 33

There’s No Good Time for the GOP on Immigration

Gardner Decision Shakes Up Colorado Senate Race

Obamacare Can Be Complicated for Republicans Beyond the Beltway

How Jamestown Associates Adapted and Prospered

Please Don’t Call It an Exodus From Congress

Texas Primaries: House, Not the Senate, is the Place to Watch

Senate Poll Analysis is More than the “Leading” Candidate

DCCC Is 2013 Fundraising Winner, but DNC Drops the Ball

How Candidates Share Without Coordinating With Outside Groups

For Democrats, It’s All About (Years) After November

Kansas Senate: The Electorate That Cried Wolf

Report Shorts (January 31, 2014) – Florida 13, Idaho 1, Montana At-Large, Oklahoma Senate

Income Inequality: Democrats Have Some Work to Do

2 Seats, 1 State, Zero Opportunities

You Can’t Make This Stuff Up — and It’s Only January

Virginia Senate: Gillespie’s Entry Gives Republicans a Chance

Pay No Attention to That Title of Speaker in Front of My Name

Early TV Ads: Not New and Mostly a Waste of Money

All GOP Primaries Are Not Created Equal

Republicans and Democrats Exchange Gifts this Holiday Season

How the Calendar Could Influence GOP Senate Primaries

The Democratic Escape Plan: How to Hold a Vulnerable Senate Seat

A Whole New Ballgame in the Senate

2014 Senate Overview (December 18, 2013) Alabama – Kansas

2014 Senate Overview (December 18, 2013) Kentucky – New Mexico

2014 Senate Overview (December 18, 2013) North Carolina – Wyoming

Is Arkansas Really the Land of Opportunity for Democrats?

Louisiana Ad Could Preview 2014 Democratic Playbook

Awards for the Best and Worst of Politics in 2013

The $4 Billion Campaign Against John Cornyn