Category Archive: Nathan L. Gonzales

Democratic Hopes Shine Brighter in Gubernatorial Races

House Candidate May Have Faulty Disclaimer in Campaign Ad

Pat Roberts is the Most Vulnerable Republican Senator in the Country

Wave or No Wave, House Landscape Favors Republicans

Senate Races Shift to Higher Gear

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (August 15, 2014)

Democratic Retirements Put the Senate in Play

Inside House Democrats’ Expanding Ground Game

Walsh Drops Out, Montana Senate Moves to Republican Favored

Instead of Waves, Dems Looking to Make a Splash in Big Gubernatorial Races

2014 Gubernatorial Overview (August 1, 2014) Alabama – Illinois

2014 Gubernatorial Overview (August 1, 2014) Iowa – New Mexico

2014 Gubernatorial Overview (August 1, 2014) New York – Wyoming

Chuck Schumer’s Dream: A Democratic Nightmare

GOP Can’t Catch a Break in Congressional Baseball Recruitment

‘Would You Rather?’ House Race Edition

2014 House Overview (July 18, 2014) Alabama – Indiana

Imperfect People Get Elected to the Senate

New Jersey 3: So Close, Yet So Far Away

Arizona 7: The Name Game

House Report Shorts (July 8, 2014)

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (July 8, 2014)

Senate Report Shorts (July 8, 2014)

Why Democrats and Republicans Can’t Be Friends

How Parties Communicate Without Coordinating

Senate GOP Bets on Jeff Larson to Help Ride to Majority in 2014

Senate Long Shots Find Success Down the Ballot

Minnesota 8: Rumble on the Range

Virginia 10: The Party That Cried Wolf

Report Shorts (June 20, 2014) SC Senate, Maine 2, Mississippi Senate, Virginia 7

In Campaign Ads, ‘Week One’ Is Still Months Away

Michelle Obama for Senate in 2016: Is It Even a Rumor?

Obama’s New Nuance on His Student Loans

How and Why are Two Separate Questions in Cantor Loss

Why Do We Suddenly Care About Races for Lt. Governor?

California 25: Another District Falls Off the List of Competitive Races

Oregon Senate: National Republicans Get Their Nominee for Potential Race

West Virginia 2: Don’t Count Out the Republican From Maryland

2016 Presidential: Why Hillary Clinton is More Inevitable Than Last Time

South Carolina Senate: Lindsey Graham is Not Safe, Yet

Senate Report Shorts (May 28, 2014) Arkansas, Georgia, Kansas, Kentucky, Mississippi, Nebraska

House Report Shorts (May 28, 2014) Georgia, Idaho, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Texas

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (May 28, 2014) Georgia, Nebraska, Oregon, Pennsylvania

Democrats Wield Abortion Rights as Campaign Weapon in Primaries, Too

The Most Influential Losing Congressional Candidate in the Country

Democrats Won’t Have a Candidate in Competitive Florida District, Race moves to Safe

Michigan: Midwest Melee

Maine 2: Out in the Open

Report Shorts (May 9, 2014) Georgia Governor, Hawaii Governor, North Carolina Senate, and more

Why This Year’s Primaries Won’t End GOP Civil War

Now that GOP Primary is Over, North Carolina Senate Moves to Pure Toss-Up

Beware of the Surprise House Primary Losers

Democrats Pin Hopes on New Candidate, Unconventional Process in Florida’s 13th District

How to Ruin Your Interview With Stu Rothenberg

When Birth Certificates and Senate Races Clash

Rating New York’s 11th District and One of My Worst Mistakes as a Political Handicapper

North Carolina: Primary Purpose

Wisconsin 6: Open Seat B’gosh

Arkansas Senate: Shooting Down Strawmen

Democratic Senate Prospects and the New Black Voter

GOP Congressman Skips Incumbent Label on California Ballot

Why Republicans Have Trouble Electing Women to Congress

Nebraska Senate: Peak Timing

West Virginia 3: The Ties That Bind

Ohio 6: There Goes the Neighborhood

Rogers’ Retirement Makes Michigan 8 More Competitive

Memo to Democrats: Running Toward Barack Obama Might Work

Colorado Senate Race Firmly on Senate Battlefield

Why Polls Still Show Democrats With Higher Marks Than Republicans

Why Florida’s 13th District Special Election Is Still a Tossup

Why Republican Candidates Will Run From .GOP Address

Democrats Have Primaries, Too

Why Ken Buck Has the Inside Track in Colorado’s 4th District

Oregon Senate: Testing the Democratic Firewall

Michigan Senate: Evolving GOP Opportunity

Illinois Primaries: GOP Races Set Stage for November

Report Shorts (February 28, 2014) Colorado Senate, Michigan 12, Texas 33

Gardner Decision Shakes Up Colorado Senate Race

Obamacare Can Be Complicated for Republicans Beyond the Beltway

Please Don’t Call It an Exodus From Congress

New York 21: Have We Seen This Movie Before?

Texas Primaries: House, Not the Senate, is the Place to Watch

Senate Poll Analysis is More than the “Leading” Candidate

Report Shorts (February 14, 2013) California 31, New Jersey 1, Washington 4

How Candidates Share Without Coordinating With Outside Groups

North Carolina 2: Clay Aiken In, Seat Still Safe GOP for Now

California House Districts: Still Adjusting to New Landscape

Kansas Senate: The Electorate That Cried Wolf

Kansas Governor: What’s the Matter with Brownback?

Kansas 2 & 4: Primary Motivation

Report Shorts (January 31, 2014) – Florida 13, Idaho 1, Montana At-Large, Oklahoma Senate

2 Seats, 1 State, Zero Opportunities

The Real Reasons Recruits Don’t Run

Garcia is GOP Rising Star, But is She Going Too High Too Soon?

To Special-Election Victors, a Short Stay in Congress

Virginia Senate: Gillespie’s Entry Gives Republicans a Chance

California 25: Open Seat Gets More Competitive

New York 21: Owens Retirement Moves Seat to Toss-Up

Pay No Attention to That Title of Speaker in Front of My Name

Oldest and Youngest Congressional Candidates of the Cycle

New York 4: Remains Safe for Democrats for Now

North Carolina 7: Democratic Seat Moves from Toss-Up to Safe Republican

Gerlach to Retire, Pennsylvania’s 6th Moves from Safe to Lean Republican

All GOP Primaries Are Not Created Equal

Republicans and Democrats Exchange Gifts this Holiday Season

How the Calendar Could Influence GOP Senate Primaries

The Democratic Escape Plan: How to Hold a Vulnerable Senate Seat

Open 3rd District Gives Democrats Opportunity in Iowa

Matheson’s Retirement Moves Utah’s 4th District to Safe for Republicans

Wolf’s Retirement Moves Virginia’s 10th District from Safe to Lean Republican

One Reason Donald Trump Should Be President

Louisiana Ad Could Preview 2014 Democratic Playbook

What Happened to the Campaign for Primary Accountability?

The $4 Billion Campaign Against John Cornyn

House Democrats’ Not-So-Secret Weapon for 2014: Cash

Open Your Mind to the Possibility of Another Midterm Mess for Democrats

Florida 13 Special: Democrats Throw Sink at Young’s Open Seat

Arizona 1: Kirkpatrick Shoots for Re-elect, Not Repeat

RPR Report Shorts (Florida 19, Louisiana 5, New York 24, West Virginia 2)

Republicans at Risk of Losing West Virginia’s 2nd District

23 of 25 Vulnerable Democrats Vote in Favor of Upton Bill

For Some Candidates, Home Is Where the Opportunity Is

Michigan Senate: Open Season

Nebraska 2: Mr. Terry’s Wild Ride

RPR Report Shorts (New Jersey 3, Alabama 1, North Carolina 6)

New Jersey’s 3rd District Now Open, Now a Tossup

Republican Governors Run Against Democrats, Republicans in Washington

2014 Gubernatorial Overview (October 25, 2013) Alabama – Illinois

2014 Gubernatorial Overview (October 25, 2013) Iowa – New Mexico

2014 Gubernatorial Overview (October 25, 2013) New York – Wyoming

New Jersey Governor: Christie Completes Next Chapter in Longer Book

Virginia Governor: McAuliffe Set to Win Race to the Bottom

Democrats Look for Mini-Wave in Arkansas in 2014

From Family Tragedy to Congress Is a Difficult Trail

New Hampshire 1 & 2: Congressional Carousel

Florida 13: Democrats Finally Get an Opportunity

Florida 13: Young’s Retirement Creates More Competitive Contest

Marriage Equality and New York’s 19th District

Tennant Not a Game Changer Yet for West Virginia Democrats

5 Things Winning Candidates Say

Republicans Win Belated Legal Battles, but Elections Can’t Be Undone

Family Politics: When Water Is Thicker Than Blood

House Strategists Continue Search for 2014 Candidates

Democrats Ready to Land Recruit in Elusive California District

In TX, Latinos pass on opportunity to win congressional seat

Is Dan Benishek Waffling on Term Limits?

Michigan 1: Benishek, Done That

Idaho 2: Primary Problems

Florida’s 2nd District: When You Don’t Need to Poll

The Biggest Mistake of Obama’s Presidency?

3 Local Races That Could Affect the Fight for the House

Are There Really Fewer Competitive House Districts Than Ever Before?

10 Things Losing Candidates Say

North Carolina Senate: Blue Like Hagan

Alabama 1 Special: Republican Tide Rolls On

Louisiana 5 Special: Republican Dynasty

Illinois Governor: Madigan’s Decision Decreases Democratic Chances

3 Key Factors Each Party Is Banking On for a Senate Majority

2014 Senate Overview (August 9, 2013) Alabama – Kansas

Challenger Takes Issue With Congressman’s ‘Brown People’ Comment

Republicans Can’t Win on August Recess

Ohio’s 6th District Moves from Safe to GOP Favored

When 94 Percent Isn’t Pure Enough for Conservative Republicans

Former GOP House Candidate Marries Gay Partner

Massachusetts 5: Republicans Need Not Apply

California 45: The Battle for Orange County

Maine Senate: Collins Moves to Safe

Why Latino voters won’t decide control of House in 2014

Want to Run for Congress? Prepare to Ask People for Money 8 Hours a Day

Israel Vs. Walden Showdown on ‘The Daily Rundown’

Colorado 6: But How Will It Play in Aurora?

Maine 2: Michaud’s Exit Creates Potential GOP Opportunity

Illinois 17: Schilling’s Entry Improves GOP Chances

Texas Governor: Perry Retiring, Abbott is Likely Successor

Gay Couples Could Face Different Campaign Money Rules Across States

Democrats Rally Against Bill Clinton’s Record

Massachusetts Senate Moves to Safe After Markey Win

Ohio 14: Running Again for the First Time

2013-14 Gubernatorial Overview (June 28, 2013) Alabama – Illinois

2013-14 Gubernatorial Overview (June 28, 2013) Iowa – New Mexico

2013-14 Gubernatorial Overview (June 28, 2013) New York – Wyoming

Twitter: Smart Strategy or Electronic Press Release?

The War on Women vs. The War on Children

I Would Fly 5,000 Miles Just to Help You Get Elected

It’s Never Too Early to Fight About Polling Methodology

Search for Competitive House Open Seats Comes Up Empty

Latino candidates line up for next year’s Congressional races in Florida

The Barn Jacket as a Secret Campaign Weapon

Search for Anti-Mike Rounds Continues in South Dakota

Brad Pitt and Minnesota’s 8th District

Where Will the Millionaire Cattle Rancher Run in Nebraska?

Should Republicans Recruit a Candidate Against Their Own Incumbent?

New Jersey Senate Remains Safe for Democrats in Long Term

Ratings Change: Rhode Island Governor

New York 19: New Friend Request

West Virginia 2: Old Habits Die Hard

West Virginia 3: Cole + Coal = Victory?

Report Shorts (May 31, 2013)

Latino Democrats Battle Each Other in Heated California Congressional Race

Anchorage Mayor Not Running in Alaska Senate Race