Category Archive: Nathan L. Gonzales

House Republicans Shouldn’t Get Too Comfortable in Majority

Democrats Delight in Delaware Special Election

Mama Bear’s Unlikely Run (and Win) for Mayor

2018 House Overview: Majority Closer Than It Appears

2018 House Overview (February 27, 2017) Alabama – Iowa

2018 House Overview (February 27, 2017) Kansas – New York

2018 House Overview (February 27, 2017) North Carolina – Wyoming

Georgia 6 Special: Unreasonably Great Expectations

At DGA, Pearson Quietly Pulling Democrats Back to Prominence

The Senate Revolution in North Dakota Will Not Be Televised

Congressional Republicans Should Be Afraid of Steve Bannon

New York 24: Katko Stands Tall Between Democrats and Takeover

Analyzing House Democrats’ Initial Target List

Analyzing House Republicans’ Initial Target List

Special Election Update: Watch Georgia’s 6th District

Three Trump Campaign Aides Who Could Get Elected to Congress

Ohio Senate: Bull’s-eye on the Buckeye State

South Carolina 5 Special: Mulvaney Moving On

Women’s March: A Moment or a Movement?

How President Trump Can Avoid President Obama’s Biggest Mistake

The Certainty of Death, Taxes, and White Evangelicals

House Republicans Entrust Majority to Rogers at NRCC

2018 Senate Overview (January 13, 2017) Alabama-Maine

2018 Senate Overview (January 13, 2017) Maryland-Ohio

2018 Senate Overview (January 13, 2017) Oklahoma-Wyoming

A New Chapter: From Rothenberg to Inside Elections

Montana Senate: GOP Chances Left in Zinke’s Wake?

Six Lessons from Minnesota’s 3rd District

Georgia 6 Special: Republicans Look to Hold Suburban Seat

Kansas 4 Special: Secret Race to Replace New CIA Director

California 34 Special: Becerra Jumps Off Leadership Ladder to Become State Attorney General

Louisiana Runoffs Wrap 2016 Elections

Candidate Conversation – Clay Higgins (R)

Reid Boasts About Not Going Back to Nevada

How Tomi Lahren Could Get Elected to Congress

Will Applegate’s Rematch With Issa Be Successful?

Pelosi Remains But ‘Winter is Coming’ for Democrats

Gubernatorial Losers Descend on Next Congress

Donald Trump, Golden Shepherds, and the 2016 Election

Louisiana Runoffs Shape Republicans on the Hill

Electoral Fallout from Trump’s Cabinet Selections

Under Next Electoral Map, Trump Would Still Have Won

When Orientation Is a ‘Miserable Experience’

Does the Country Even Want to Come Together?

Ratings Change: Obama State Shifts to Trump

Senate Goes Down to the Wire…and Beyond

Republican House Majority Lives to Fight Another Day

The Presidential Race Someone Has to Win

Gubernatorial Races Headed for Photo Finish

Stakes Get Higher in Fight for the Senate

Democrats Look to Expand Presidential Map

Democrats Poised for House Gains, But Still Short of Majority

It’s Time for Newspapers to Stop Endorsing Candidates

Will Trump Tip Senate to Democrats?

Clinton Tightens Grip on Presidential Victory

Still Waiting for the Wave in the House

Ratings Shift in Six Races for Governor

Republicans’ Agonizing Wait for Latest Diagnosis

Six States Will Decide Senate Majority

GOP House Majority Still Solid…For Now

New Presidential Baseline After First Debate?

Candidate Conversation – Stephanie Murphy (D)

Candidate Conversation – Mike Gallagher (R)

Fight for the Senate Intensifies

Presidential Race Tightens

Democrats Believe House Prospects Will Dramatically Improve

Candidate Conversation – Brady Walkinshaw (D)

Senate Math Still Favors Democrats

House Still Waiting for Its Moment in the Spotlight

Clinton Keeps Distinct Edge in Presidential Race

The Second Biggest Surprise of the Election Season

New Normal Isn’t Friendly to Trump

Trump’s Troubles Loosen GOP Grip on Senate Majority

House Democrats Wait for Weight of Trump

Republicans Target Governorship in Bernie Sanders’ Vermont

The Most Important Question to Ask Trump Defectors

GOP Senators Brace For Trump Tsunami

The Country is More Divided Than You Think

Don’t Fall Asleep on Races for Governor

What I Learned Outside the Convention Bubble

Clinton Campaign Readying National Olympic Ad Blitz

NRSC: GOP Senators Running for Sheriff, Not President

2016 House Overview: Waiting for a Wave

2016 House Overview (July 14, 2016) Alabama – Illinois

2016 House Overview (July 14, 2016) Indiana – New Jersey

2016 House Overview (July 14, 2016) New Mexico – Wyoming

Evan Bayh, Indiana and the Fight for the Senate

Candidate Conversation – Tom Nelson (D)

Why Republicans Decline to Attack Democrats on “Culture of Corruption”

Ratings Change: Indiana Senate Moves to Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic

Colorado Primary Results Keep Senate Republicans on the Defensive

Rubio, Research Shake Up Florida Races

House Playing Field Takes Shape with Fall Ad Reservations

Utah No Longer Safe for Donald Trump

Candidate Conversation – Jason Lewis (R)

Candidate Conversation – Bryan Caforio (D)

Candidate Conversation – Terri Bonoff (DFL)

Republicans Need Gary Johnson to Save the Senate

Two More House Incumbents Fall, But It’s Not What You Think

Why Won’t Bernie Go Away?

Ratings Change: Utah’s 4th District

California Turns the Page to the General Elections

Candidate Conversation – Denise Juneau (D)

Candidate Conversation – Darlene Miller (R)

Candidate Conversation – Don Bacon (R)

Millennials Rage Against the Machine (and Lose)

Safe Senator Shifts to Raise Money for Safe Colleague

What Katie McGinty Told Me About Her College Career

2016 Senate Overview: Is This the Summer of Voters’ Discontent?

2016 Senate Overview (June 3, 2016) Alabama – Kansas

2016 Senate Overview (June 3, 2016) Kentucky – New Mexico

2016 Senate Overview (June 3, 2016) New York – Wyoming

The Strategy That Could Have Taken Trump Down

When Serving Together in Congress is a Family Affair

Clinton Begins General Election With Advantage

Nebraska 2: Ashford Has Early Advantage Over Bacon

North Carolina Primaries Could Impact Direction of GOP Caucus

Ratings Change: Minnesota’s 2nd District

Ratings Change: North Carolina Governor

Kentucky 1: Comer Coming to Congress

Candidate Conversation – Shelli Yoder (D)

Candidate Conversation – Fred Costello (R)

Candidate Conversation – Drew Ferguson (R)

Candidate Conversation – Martin Babinec (I)

Don’t Assume Paul Ryan Will be Speaker Next Year

Why House Democrats Need Trump to be President

Why California Members Embrace Incumbent Ballot Designation

Donald Trump is the GOP Nominee. Now What?

How Trump Gives Republicans a Chance to Hold Senate

Colorado Senate: Republicans Struggle to Keep Bennet in Play

Illinois Senate: Kirk Downgraded to Lean Democratic

Fresh Primary Results, Six Fresh Faces for Next Congress

Candidate Conversation – Claudia Tenney (R)

Candidate Conversation – Joe McDermott (D)

Candidate Conversation – Kathy Szeliga (R)

Senate Report Shorts (May 5, 2016) Indiana, Kansas, Maryland, Pennsylvania

16 House Districts That Will Make (or Break) Democratic Majority

NRCC Reserves Ad Time for Vulnerable Members

Opposition Research Comes Out of the Shadows

House Overview: Playing Field Could Shift Rather than Expand

2016 House Overview (April 22, 2016) Alabama – Illinois

2016 House Overview (April 22, 2106) Indiana – New Jersey

2016 House Overview (April 22, 2016) New Mexico – Wyoming

Candidate Conversation – Randy Perkins (D)

New Poll, New TV Ads in Indiana House Race

Democrats Likely to Bank Trio of GOP House Seats

Kentucky 1: Comer’s Comeback

Indiana Primaries Enter the Home Stretch

Georgia 3: Potential New Member Threatens to Shoot Police

Faces of the 115th Congress: Raja Krishnamoorthi

Ratings Change: Virginia’s 2nd District

Ratings Change: Wisconsin’s 8th District

Candidate Conversation: Conner Eldridge (D)

Candidate Conversation: Juan “Sonny” Palacios, Jr. (D)

This 2014 House Race May Have Predicted Trump’s Success

‘14 Losers Looking for Second Chance in ‘16

Rush Wins Primary, Other Black Caucus Members Also Face Challenges

GOP Incumbents Brace for Primary Losses, But Survive So Far

Is an Anti-Trump Wave Putting the House Into Play?

Senate Matchups Start to Solidify, But Landscape Unclear

Few Surprises (and One Likely New Member) In Early House Primary Results

Illinois 15: Shimkus Escapes Primary Challenge With Decisive Victory in Downstate District

Candidate Conversation: Geraldine Thompson (D)

Candidate Conversation: Monica Vernon (D)

Candidate Conversation: Mark Hunt (D)

Millennials Raising Money to Run, But Can They Win?

Outsider Candidate Claims Boehner Seat in Ohio Special

6 Districts Where the Fight for the House and President Converge

2016 Senate Overview: Trump Looms Over Fight for the Majority

2016 Senate Overview (March 4, 2016) Alabama – Kansas

2016 Senate Overview (March 4, 2016) Kentucky – New Mexico

2016 Senate overview (March 4, 2016) New York – Wyoming

Four Early Lessons From the Presidential Race

The Case for a Crowded Field to Defeat Trump

Obama Learns What You Sow in the Senate, You Reap in the White House

Don’t Call it a Push Poll: Bernie Sanders Campaign Edition

Scalia’s Death and the Fight for the Senate

Money Can’t Buy Love in GOP Presidential Primary

Minnesota 2: Democrats Try to Flip a District, Again

Report Shorts (February 19, 2016) California Senate, Indiana Senate, Maine’s 2nd, North Carolina,

Trying to Make Sense of the Post-New Hampshire Republican Race

Voters Don’t Fit Neatly Into Presidential Primary Lanes

Why Was Fiorina Denied Ad Time During the Debate?

Wisconsin Senate: Argument over Assumptions

Why Haven’t We Updated Our Presidential Ratings?

Indiana Governor: How Vulnerable is Mike Pence?

Wisconsin 8: Ribble Retirement Creates Vulnerable GOP Open Seat

Tennessee 8: Fincher’s Decision Brings Congress to Historical Average Number of Retirements

Report Shorts (February 5, 2016) California, Kentucky, Maryland, North Carolina, Tennessee

NRSC Names Huey IE Director

House Overview: No Guts, No Glory for Democrats

2016 House Overview (January 25, 2016) Alabama – Illinois

2016 House Overview (January 25, 2016) Indiana – New Jersey

2016 House Overview (January 25, 2016) New Mexico – Wyoming

Beshear Looks Back, Forward on Kentucky’s Political Landscape

NRCC Names Furst Johnson IE Director

Virginia 2: Rigell Retirement Shifts Seat Out of Safe for GOP

Obama’s Empty Campaign Threat on Gun Control

Ohio 8: The Quiet Fight to Succeed Boehner

New York 22: Hanna Departure Leaves Vulnerable Seat