Analysis

484 Results

Presidential: Biden and Trump Locked in Close Race

While the presidential race is careening toward a rematch, 2024 won’t necessarily be a replay of 2020.  The race looks familiar with President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump topping the ballot, but both men are bringing more baggage to the contest, creating a level of volatility that doesn’t often accompany rematches.  The familiar […]

A Good Night for Trump and Polling, and Other Post-Iowa Thoughts

Thanks to Iowa Republicans, the first 2024 election is in the books, and we have the first opportunity of the year to chew over some results.  The bottom line is that Donald Trump did what he needed to do. The former president came into Monday as the clear frontrunner for the GOP nomination and emerged […]

Setting the Stage for the GOP Debates

Want the full story? Sign up now to read the full story and get access to all posts for paying subscribers only. Sign Up Login

Tim Scott’s Iowa Play Is Working

A little over a month into his presidential campaign, South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott has managed to do something no other hopeful has yet accomplished: show some momentum. Seven months before the Iowa caucuses, the 2024 Republican presidential primary field is largely set, and the dynamics of the race feel stubbornly rigid. Former President Donald […]

Initial 2024 Presidential Battleground State Ratings

It’s not just the candidates who could look the same next fall. With President Joe Biden’s re-election announcement this week and former President Donald Trump’s announcement last year, it looks like the old cast from the 2020 presidential race is back for a 2024 sequel. And the battleground of states is likely to look familiar […]

How Trump’s Legal Problems Could Affect Down Ballot Republicans

Even if legal problems don’t hinder former President Donald Trump’s political comeback attempt, they could hurt other Republican candidates on the ballot in 2024.  Republicans won’t have to reckon with the electoral ramifications of Trump’s indictment for now. But much of the short-term analysis (or more specifically, the overall Republican response) to Trump’s reported 34-count […]

No One Knows for Sure How Trump’s Legal Problems Will Play Out

Political candidates getting arrested is no laughing matter, but one comedian’s perspective could help stave off the temptation to predict the fallout from former President Donald Trump’s legal problems. Back in 2018, former “Saturday Night Live” writer/comedian John Mulaney tried to describe what it was like to follow the Trump presidency. “It’s like there’s a […]

12 Dates that Define the 2022 Midterm Elections

The votes haven't been counted yet and the results aren't yet known, but it’s not too early to take a look back at the key dates that have defined the 2022 midterm cycle.  Some historic moments, such as the confirmation of the first Black woman to the Supreme Court, aren’t included because they didn’t have […]

Midterm Elections Could Set Another Turnout Record This Year

In a rare moment of unity, Republicans and Democrats are poised to come together to set yet another turnout record in the 2022 elections. Remember that the country set a modern record for turnout in a midterm election in 2018 with 50.1 percent and a modern record for turnout in a presidential election in 2020 […]

Biden’s Approval Rating Struggles Continue

Want the full story? Sign up now to read the full story and get access to all posts for paying subscribers only. Sign Up Login