Analysis

4274 Results

Report Shorts (May 21, 2026)

MAY 21, 2026

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Georgia Results: Primary Voters Narrow Their Choices

by Nicholas Demba

MAY 20, 2026

In battleground Georgia, many marquee races of the night proceeded to runoffs to be decided on June 16. While the Peach State is not set to host any competitive House races this fall and any post-Callais redistricting will not take effect until 2028, primary voters selected nominees in a handful of safe open seats as well as a…

Kentucky, Pennsylvania, Alabama, Oregon Primary Results

by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

MAY 20, 2026

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Virginia Caps Off Wild Week of Redistricting Ratings Changes

by Jacob Rubashkin

MAY 8, 2026

The Virginia State Supreme Court struck down Democrats’ ambitious redistricting plan in the Old Dominion on Friday. The map, which was designed to elect 10 Democrats and just one Republican, was approved by voters in a statewide referendum last month. The decision is an exclamation point on a madcap week of redistricting that began with Florida passing an…

Tennessee Redistricting: Republicans Seek 9-0 after SCOTUS goes 6-3

by Jacob Rubashkin

MAY 8, 2026

Wasting little time after the Supreme Court defanged what remained of the Voting Rights Act, Tennessee Republicans passed a map designed to elect nine Republican members of Congress this fall. The Volunteer State’s delegation is currently split 8-1 in favor of Republicans, with Democrat Steve Cohen of Memphis as the odd man out. The new map, signed into…

Virginia 2: A Rematch at the Beach

by Jacob Rubashkin

MAY 7, 2026

Republican Jen Kiggans’ 2026 re-election was always going to be her hardest race yet. But after Democrats muscled through an aggressive redraw of Virginia’s congressional map, the two-term representative is one of just a handful of GOP incumbents to begin the summer as a clear underdog.

Texas 34: New Flores, New District, Same Gonzalez

by Jacob Rubashkin

MAY 7, 2026

President Donald Trump’s gains among Hispanic voters in 2020 and 2024 helped him keep Texas red and return to the White House. But despite significant swings at the presidential level, that newfound strength has been slower to translate down ballot, where the GOP holds just two of South Texas’ four congressional districts.

Florida House: Redistricting Boosts GOP prospects

by Bradley Wascher & Jacob Rubashkin

MAY 5, 2026

Florida’s new congressional map could net House Republicans as many as four additional seats this fall, though it could also result in much smaller gains for the GOP.

Ohio & Indiana Primaries: Republicans Choose Challengers in Key House Races

by Jacob Rubashkin

MAY 5, 2026

The redistricting battle continued on Tuesday as voters in Ohio and Indiana went to the polls for a slate of primaries.

Special Elections Point to House Flip in November

by Bradley Wascher

APR 23, 2026

Back-to-back special elections in Georgia and New Jersey are the latest signs that Democrats are favored to take back the House — with the party's net gains potentially extending far beyond the three seats they need for a majority.