Analysis

4274 Results

2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Pennsylvania

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House: Key Primary Results from Georgia, Oregon, Idaho, and Kentucky

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin Primary voters cast their ballots in four more states, clarifying a key general election race and nominating a likely new member of Congress in a key primary.  Even with Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, and Oregon now in the rearview mirror (except for a Georgia runoff), less than half of the states have…

Maryland, Nebraska, West Virginia Unveil Key Primary Results

Three small-ish states hosted more than a handful of consequential primaries. Results in Maryland, Nebraska, and West Virginia either clarified key general election contests or offered nominations to candidates who will likely be coming to Congress next year because they are running in solid states and districts. Maryland.  Senate. Open; Ben Cardin (D) not seeking re-election. Biden 65%.…

2024 Senate Overview: Republicans Poised to Make Gains

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2024 Senate Overview (May 9, 2024): Arizona – Maine

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2024 Senate Overview (May 9, 2024): Maryland – Ohio

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2024 Senate Overview (May 9, 2024): Pennsylvania – Wyoming

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2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Nevada

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Report Shorts (May 9, 2024)

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Presidential Rating Change: Nevada Shifts to Toss-up

Despite a persistently tight race in the national polls, President Joe Biden is in a precarious position for reelection and may even be a slight underdog with less than six months to go.  Former President Donald Trump has led Biden by about 1 point or less for the last six weeks, according to the FiveThirtyEight national average. But…

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