Judging candidate performance is often a subjective and imprecise game. Sure, you can clearly tell when a diamond is a diamond or a dud is a dud, but outside of these obvious outliers, the labels “strong” and “weak” have different definitions depending on who you ask. Particularly for House races, where public polls are less […]
Inside Elections is excited to announce the promotion of Jacob Rubashkin to Deputy Editor. Jacob has been an integral part of the team since joining Inside Elections from NBC News in early 2020 as a reporter and analyst. He will continue his thorough writing on individual races while taking on an increased role helping guide […]
Sometimes overshadowed by the fights for the White House and Senate, the House majority is on the line in 2024 as well. With Republicans defending a narrow majority, changes in individual races can have a considerable impact on the fight for control. Looking at the races individually shows Republicans still have a narrow advantage to […]
What are the most evenly-divided House districts in the country? It’s not as easy as just looking at the past presidential results, considering down ballot races can have their own unique circumstances. That’s why Inside Elections created a metric to measure partisanship in each district. Inside Elections’ Baseline captures a congressional district’s political performance by […]
To calculate Inside Elections’ Baseline, we include all contested partisan elections for federal and statewide offices (executive or constitutional) in the four most recent cycles, as well as any special or off-year elections during that span. The only district-based elections we consider are U.S. House races. These results are then combined in an index estimating […]
Embattled New York Republican George Santos was expelled from the House of Representatives last Friday in a 311-114 vote. The congressman’s ousting came just less than a year after reports first broke of Santos’ serial fabrications about his background; he is also facing federal campaign finance charges and was the subject of a withering House […]