Analysis

4274 Results

Report Shorts (July 26, 2024)

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The Political Calculations and Consequences of Harris’s Vice Presidential Considerations

As Vice President Kamala Harris locks down support as the new Democratic presidential nominee, her next big decision will be to select a running mate to help her take on former President Donald Trump and Ohio Sen. J.D. Vance. Harris’s pick will be her first major decision as her party’s standard-bearer, and it’s one she has to make…

Presidential: Biden’s Exit Steers Election Into Uncharted Waters

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin Unthinkable even a month ago, President Joe Biden’s decision to decline the Democratic nomination upends the 2024 election 106 days before Election Day. Biden’s exit comes after an agonizing three weeks following his dismal debate performance against former President Donald Trump, and at a moment when much seems to be going…

Michigan 7 Poll Underscores Challenges for Democrats

Republicans lead up and down the ticket in a crucial midwestern swing district, according to new polling conducted by Noble Predictive Insights for Inside Elections. In Michigan’s 7th District, one of 10 seats nationwide rated a toss-up, Republican Tom Barrett holds a substantial advantage over Democrat Curtis Hertel, while former President Donald Trump has a similar lead over…

Democrats Sinking or Swimming with Biden?

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Nebraska 2: Omaha Tiebreaker

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Report Shorts (July 11, 2024)

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Return to Sender: Bowman Joins Rare “Primary In, Primary Out” Class

New York Rep. Jamaal Bowman’s loss to George Latimer in the 16th District Democratic primary puts the progressive in rare company among House members. While it is uncommon for any incumbent to lose a primary race — it happens just 2 percent of the time on average in any given cycle — it is exceedingly rare for a…

Key Primary Results in Colorado, New York, South Carolina and Utah

A House incumbent was finally defeated in a primary this cycle, although it was not a surprise.  Another is locked in a race that is still too close to call. And House Republicans had a good night overall in Colorado, where they avoided nominating flawed candidates in multiple races.  Voters in three more states – Colorado, New York…

2024 House Overview: Holding Pattern

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