Conservative thinker William Kristol and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee usually don't see things the same way, but they seem to agree that the House of Representatives is “in play.” The Weekly Standard's Kristol raised that possibility, albeit with a few caveats, more than a week ago in a blog entry, and the DCCC and […]
Amid all the pregame coverage of the first presidential debate, don’t neglect the Twitter effect. The winner and loser could be decided and the post-game narrative and media coverage could be set before the candidates even leave the stage. Of course, Twitter launched before the 2008 campaign, but certainly wasn’t as widely used or relied […]
Looking for clues about November? If so, you might keep your eyes on a handful of House incumbents seeking re-election. Their fate could tell you a great deal about the mood of the voters, the ability of candidates to separate themselves from the top of the ticket and the importance of individual candidates and campaigns. […]
We are moving six states in our presidential race ratings: Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin from Toss-up to Lean Obama, and Michigan, New Mexico and Pennsylvania to Solid Obama. Deteriorating state poll numbers for Mitt Romney suggest that these states have moved a few points toward the president, and while Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin are still […]
I was on a panel at an event in the nation's capital Sept. 10. The subject was the elections, and another panelist and I discussed the race for the White House and the fight for control of Congress. Toward the end of the event, someone in the audience asked about foreign policy. Does it matter […]
While there is no evidence that a national partisan wave will develop between now and Nov. 6, there is every reason to expect a number of “state waves” that will prove to be challenging for some candidates – and for political handicappers. In fact, candidates' abilities to fight through the waves in a handful of […]