Veteran Democratic Rep. John Tierney (D) is up with a good TV spot addressing his family’s legal problems, but it looks like too little, too late. Tierney has cancelled his final weeks of TV, and polls show him trailing challenger Richard Tisei (R), who we have regarded for months as a very strong challenger. Move […]
The surprise about Mitt Romney’s recent move to the middle isn’t that it occurred but that it took so long. It has been standard political fare for presidential hopefuls to play to the party faithful during the fight for the nomination and then move to the middle in the general election to woo swing voters, […]
Each cycle, my goal as a handicapper is to identify Congressional races where the result will mean a partisan takeover, not merely where the outcome will be close. To some, this may seem like an odd distinction. After all, if an election is close — within a few points — doesn’t that also mean that […]
A few months ago, I expected this Friday to be a crucial day in the presidential race. After all, it would be the day when September's unemployment and new jobs numbers would be released, right in the heart of the contest. But now, it's far from clear that those numbers will mean anything. The voters […]