Analysis

4240 Results

The Race for the White House Enters Final Stretch

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The Fight for the Senate: Uphill for the GOP (Senate Overview, October 26, 2012)

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The Fight for the House Looks Over

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Reverting to the Norm: The Race Narrows

With less than two weeks to go until the elections, the presidential race continues to revert to the norm, a development that can only worry the president and his top strategists. States that historically have been competitive in presidential elections or tilted to the GOP are moving in that direction, even though just a month […]

Indiana Senate Moves to Pure Toss-Up

Just when it looked like state Treasurer Richard Mourdock (R) might have been starting to gain his footing in the Indiana Senate race, an unforced error may have wiped away any small advantage he had in the race. In Tuesday’s debate with Rep. Joe Donnelly (D), in response to a question about abortion, Mourdock said […]

Senate Fight: Still Too Early to Count Chickens

One year ago, Republicans had every reason to believe that they were poised to net at least four Senate seats in November and gain control of the chamber in the next Congress. A month ago, on the other hand, Democrats had reason to be confident that even if they lost a seat or two, their […]

House Ratings Changes: Mixed Optimism for Both Parties

With less than three weeks until Election Day, our outlook for the House of Representatives remains little changed. We are making a dozen ratings changes this week — seven toward Republicans and five toward Democrats as we take four races off our list of competitive contests. The House majority still remains out of grasp for […]

Pennsylvania Sen. Casey (D) Moved from Safe to Favored

Is Sen. Bob Casey (D) this year’s October surprise? The Pennsylvania Democrat’s re-election race was largely ignored for most of the cycle until recently when multiple public polls showed him in a surprisingly tight contest with wealthy businessman Tom Smith. In the last 10 days, five polls have been released that show a close contest […]

Looking for House Upsets? Take a Look at These

I usually draw a blank when people ask me to offer a possible upset or two. After all, I’d rather not be surprised on election night, though there are almost always a couple of unexpected outcomes. But I’ve been looking at some numbers recently and have been struck by a handful of races that I […]

List of House Goners Not What We Expected

It is three weeks before Election Day and a handful of incumbents are already seeing the writing on the wall. They won’t be coming back to Congress. It’s time to look for other gainful employment or merely enjoy the quiet pleasures of forced retirement. North Carolina Democratic Rep. Larry Kissell hasn’t been able to overcome […]