Analysis

4242 Results

Three Election Trends That Could End in 2014

I’m not certain how long a trend has to exist before it earns the status of an immutable political “law,” but three longtime truths are threatened this election cycle. Will all of them fall in November? Trend #1: One party holds the Pennsylvania governorship for eight years and then loses the office to the other […]

Could a Four-Second Mistake Cost a Candidate Thousands of Dollars?

A disclaimer may seem like a rote few seconds in a campaign ad, but failing to follow the specific guidelines could have costly consequences for a candidate. On Sept. 16, former Rep. Bobby Schilling, R-Ill., aired a 30-second ad titled, “How Could You?” that accused Democratic Rep. Cheri Bustos of cutting benefits for military veterans. […]

Fight for the Senate: Trajectory Unchanged

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Democrats Focus on Open Seats, Weak Incumbents for House Bright Spots

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Volatility Reigns in Gubernatorial Contests

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Family Ties May Not Be Enough to Save Vulnerable Senators

It seems like everyone wrote the story: Family political dynasties were supposed to save Mark Begich, Mark Pryor and Mary L. Landrieu, the trio of vulnerable Democratic senators running for re-election in Republican-leaning states. But as the sports adage says, “That’s why they play the games.” The three Democrats’ strong family connections to voters in […]

Shift in Landscape Makes Bigger GOP House Gains Possible

Only three times since the Civil War, as any political junkie knows, has the president’s party gained House seats in midterm elections — in 1934, 1998 and 2002. It now seems quite clear 2014 won’t be another exception to that rule. But a year and a half ago, that wasn’t a sure thing. In fact, […]

Senate Chairmen Try to Avoid Historic Home-State Losses

With just weeks to go before Election Day, the fight for the Senate is coming down to a handful of states, and two of them are very familiar to the chairmen of the two Senate campaign committees. Kansas Republican Jerry Moran and Colorado Democrat Michael Bennet are trying to avoid becoming the first senate campaign […]

Fight for Senate Control Down to Five States

With six weeks to go, the fight for control of the Senate is down to five states, four of them currently held by Democrats. Republicans must win only two of those contests to guarantee the 51 seats they need to control the Senate for the last two years of Barack Obama’s presidency. And they need […]

A Bible, a Keg Stand, and a Snowmobile: The Keys to Holding a Democratic Majority in the Senate

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