Analysis

4242 Results

The Election Results Don’t Matter

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Republicans Ready to Add to House Majority

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The Amazingly Static House Playing Field

After a year of campaigning, television ads, a government shutdown, and a botched rollout of HealthCare.gov, the House playing field is virtually unchanged from where it was 12 months ago. We recently updated the Rothenberg Political Report ratings in seven House districts. Arizona’s 1st District, Maine’s 2nd District, New Hampshire’s 1st District, and New York’s […]

The Republican Brand’s Recovery Tour — Sort Of

There was a time, a little less than a year ago, when Democrats salivated at the thought of running against the GOP brand and demonizing Republican candidates by attacking them and their party for “shutting down the government.” But the Republican brand has largely recovered from its low point in late October, and even former […]

Will Women Lose Ground in the House GOP After 2014?

Republicans are at virtually no risk of losing their House majority in November, but there is a little extra pressure to win a handful of key districts in order to avoid taking a step back in the number of women in the Republican conference. Republicans have been on the defensive about their appeal to women […]

A National Election or a Localized One?

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Putting House Expectations Into Context

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Democratic Hopes Shine Brighter in Gubernatorial Races

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The Best Ads of 2014 – Oh Really?

A few weeks ago, I noticed a piece in Time headlined “The Best 6 Political Campaign Ads of the Summer (So Far).” I’ve written columns about “the best” this or “the worst” that, so I’m certainly not opposed to columns that list personal assessments or even personal preferences. But my reaction to the Time magazine […]

Senate Ratings vs. Senate Expecations

While the current Rothenberg Political Report ratings don’t show it, I am now expecting a substantial Republican Senate wave in November, with a net gain of at least seven seats. But I wouldn’t be shocked by a larger gain. Rothenberg Political Report ratings reflect both where a race stands and, more importantly, where it is […]