Analysis

4242 Results

Republicans Use Birth Control as Campaign Wedge

Politics is mostly about both parties regurgitating well-established positions (on taxes, the environment, abortion and spending, for example) to appeal to base voters and demonize their opponents. But every so often, candidates from one party try a dramatically new message. That’s what is happening now in a number of swing districts and states, as a […]

House Candidate May Have Faulty Disclaimer in Campaign Ad

Democratic Rep. Brad Schneider unveiled his first television ad Tuesday in his competitive race for re-election in Illinois’ 10th District. The 30-second spot tries to rally Democratic voters by attacking the tea party — but the ad also might have a faulty disclaimer that runs afoul of campaign finance law. Twenty-one seconds into “Together,” the […]

Pat Roberts is the Most Vulnerable Republican Senator in the Country

Kansas Sen. Pat Roberts survived a competitive Republican primary but it looks like his toughest race is still to come. Democrat Chad Taylor dropped out of the race on Wednesday leaving independent Greg Orman as the senator’s main challenger and completely changing the math of the race.  A spectacular confluence of events has built the […]

Numbers Game Still Favors GOP Senate Majority

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2014 Senate Overview (August 29, 2014) Alabama – Kansas

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2014 Senate Overview (August 29, 2014) Kentucky – New Mexico

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2014 Senate Overview (August 29, 2014) North Carolina – Wyoming

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And the Winner of the GOP’s Civil War Primary Is…Part II

Three and a half months ago, I wrote about the state of the fight between the Republican establishment’s pragmatic conservative candidates and tea party/libertarian/anti-establishment conservatives. I concluded the results were mixed and it was too early to call a winner, though I also noted, “it’s already clear that the pragmatist conservatives have stopped the anti-establishment’s […]

Not Your Typical Southern Democrat in South Carolina

Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham’s Democratic opponent, state Sen. Brad Hutto, wants you to know two things: He has a path to victory against the two-term Republican, and it doesn’t require him to run from traditional Democratic positions. “I’m not a Blue Dog,” Hutto said proudly during a recent interview with me and my colleague Nathan […]

Wave or No Wave, House Landscape Favors Republicans

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