Analysis

4242 Results

What Counts As a GOP Wave in 2014?

Most neutral observers expect Republicans to take the Senate and make at least small gains in the House, but talk about a possible GOP political wave has all but disappeared. However, ten days to go until Election Day, I wouldn’t rule out the possibility of a “wave” election just yet. I know of no formal, […]

Will Obama Leave the Democratic Party Better Than He Found It?

Barack Obama was elected on a swell of energy and enthusiasm, but he might leave the Democratic Party worse off than when he took office. The disconnect between the Obama political operation and Democratic strategists focused on Congress is nothing new. Congressional Democrats have always been a bit skeptical of the Obama White House, which […]

Ratings Change: New Hampshire Senate

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Ratings Change: Massachusetts Governor

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Seven More House Races Creep Toward Republicans

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A Good Year May Not Save These Three Vulnerable House Republicans Either

In his recent column, “Weak GOP Candidates May Need More Than a Good Year,” Stu pointed out how a handful of under-performing Senate candidates could cost Republicans the majority. Similarly, though the House of Representatives is not in play, a trio of GOP incumbents could cost their party larger gains in the House. Even as […]

Weak GOP Candidates May Need More Than a Good Year

Republicans have the wind at their backs this year. But not every GOP nominee is taking advantage of that dynamic. As usual, some candidates are under-performing, proving once again that candidates and the campaigns they choose to run actually matter. That should come as no surprise to anyone who watched Republican Senate nominees Todd Akin […]

South Dakota Senate Race Returning to Form

Republican attacks on Democrat Rick Weiland and Independent Larry Pressler appear to have worked, making it more likely that the GOP will pick up the seat of retiring Democratic Senator Tim Johnson, as long expected. Republican Mike Rounds, a former two-term GOP governor, found himself in shockingly uncomfortable position earlier this month, but his standing […]

Not His Father’s Arkansas

I have been thinking for months about how politics has changed over the past decade, but those changes struck home in a very obvious way while I was reading a recent Washington Post article written by the very able Philip Rucker. “Senator’s parents hit trail to preserve Ark. dynasty” was a front page piece that […]

Senate Outlook: Lots of Moving Pieces But Fundamentally Unchanged

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