The only question in the House is the size of the Republican gains. Our range continues to be a gain of 5-12 seats for the GOP, but it’s possible that the party exceeds that. GOP strategists are trying to tamp down expectations by saying that gains in the teens would require winning Obama districts in […]
The playing field of competitive Senate races hasn’t changed, but Republican chances to win those seats has improved in the last couple of days. Since our latest ratings changes on Wednesday, GOP prospects have improved in Colorado and Iowa, making the path to a net gain of at least six seats, and winning a majority, […]
One of the most watched Senate races of 2014 is over. Take it off your list of states that could fall either way on Tuesday. Kentucky Senator Mitch McConnell has opened up a comfortable lead over Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes, secretary of state of the Bluegrass State, ensuring that McConnell will win a sixth […]
President Barack Obama is about to do what no president has done in the past 50 years: Have two horrible, terrible, awful midterm elections in a row. In fact, Obama is likely to have the worst midterm numbers of any two-term president going back to Democrat Harry S. Truman. Truman lost a total of 83 […]
Here’s the rare idea about which both Democrats and Republicans agree: Way too few members of Congress emerge from competitive House races — and it’s causing problems. “Put congressional reform atop the national agenda,” wrote David Brooks recently. “More states could have open primaries. Nonpartisan commissions could draw district lines.” Governing magazine blamed congressional gridlock […]
How big of a year is this going to be for Republicans? It’s still hard to tell, one week before voters go to the polls for the midterm elections. But it could be bigger than you think. Republicans have a plethora of House and Senate opportunities, and given President Barack Obama’s standing in the polls […]