Analysis

242 Results

Louisiana Redistricting: Democrats +1, Graves 0

House Democrats look set to pick up a seat in Louisiana following a court-ordered redistricting process, at the expense of a once-powerful ally of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy. While not final, the map passed by the Louisiana state legislature and supported by GOP Gov. Jeff Landry last week would create a second majority-Black district in the Pelican State,…

New York 3 Special: Nassau County Clash

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Ohio 6 Special: GOP Fight in Formerly Blue Territory

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Vote Above Replacement: 2022 House Elections

Judging candidate performance is often a subjective and imprecise game. Sure, you can clearly tell when a diamond is a diamond or a dud is a dud, but outside of these obvious outliers, the labels “strong” and “weak” have different definitions depending on who you ask. Particularly for House races, where public polls are less prevalent and district-level…

New Year, New House Ratings

Sometimes overshadowed by the fights for the White House and Senate, the House majority is on the line in 2024 as well. With Republicans defending a narrow majority, changes in individual races can have a considerable impact on the fight for control.  Looking at the races individually shows Republicans still have a narrow advantage to maintain their majority,…

2024 House Overview: New York, New Majority?

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2024 House Overview (Dec. 15, 2023): Alabama – Iowa

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2024 House Overview (Dec. 15, 2023): Kansas – New York

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2024 House Overview (Dec. 15, 2023): North Carolina – Wisconsin

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How to Measure the Partisanship of Every House Seat

What are the most evenly-divided House districts in the country? It’s not as easy as just looking at the past presidential results, considering down ballot races can have their own unique circumstances. That’s why Inside Elections created a metric to measure partisanship in each district. Inside Elections’ Baseline captures a congressional district’s political performance by combining all federal…

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