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Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Tag Archive: Open
Democrats Might Need to Lose the White House to Win the House Majority
February 9, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
When Activists Run for Office
February 5, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Not Your Father’s (or Grandfather’s) GOP Field
February 4, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Even Democrats Love Talking About Joni Ernst
February 2, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
First Look: Can Democrats Win the Senate in 2016?
January 29, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Looking Beyond New York 11 Special Election
January 28, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Hillary Clinton Should Fear Elizabeth Warren
January 22, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
When a House Member Should Retire
January 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Democrats Can’t Count on Voters Blaming a ‘Republican Congress’
January 19, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Can Democrats Win the House in 2016?
January 15, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Will Improving Economy Help Obama’s Case on Keystone?
January 12, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What Happened to The Rothenberg Political Report?
January 9, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Can Jeb Bush Win the GOP Nomination?
January 7, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Republican to Retire from Competitive House Seat in New York
January 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Very Early Handicapping on Special Election in New York’s 11th District
January 2, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
What Kind of Race Would Russ Feingold Run in 2016?
December 19, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Jury Duty in Today’s America
December 18, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Abandoned Mary Landrieu in the Runoff. Does it Matter?
December 11, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Mary Landrieu’s Loss and the End of Ticket Splitting
December 10, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Draft Ben Carson Group Complicates Potential Presidential Campaign
December 5, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Rothenberg’s End of the Year Awards for 2014
December 3, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
How to Handle a Broken Campaign Promise
December 2, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Don’t Call 2014 An Anti-Incumbent Election
December 1, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
What Did — and Didn’t — Surprise Me This Cycle
November 29, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Freshman Class Filled With Losers
November 25, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Some Lessons for Democratic Strategists and Other Observers
November 19, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Stunningly Static White Evangelical Vote
November 18, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Unsuccessful House Candidate Already ‘In’ for 2016
November 17, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
No Guarantee Democrats Rebound in 2016
November 14, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Mary Landrieu’s Tall Task in the Louisiana Runoff
November 13, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Review: 6 Races Both Parties Viewed Completely Differently
November 11, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
2014: Plenty of Surprises, but None Totally Unexpected
November 7, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ratings Change: Louisiana Senate Moves from Tilt Republican To Lean Republican
November 6, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Midterms and the Super Bowl, a Tale of Two Routs
November 5, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Ratings vs. Senate Expecations (Stu’s Sept. 8 Outlook)
November 5, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
GOP Candidates More Popular Than Democrats in Top Senate Races
November 4, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Republicans (Still) Poised to Pick Up 6 to 8 Senate Seats
November 4, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Jesse Ferguson Lives to Fight Another Day
November 4, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Election Eve Update: Gubernatorial Race Ratings Changes
November 3, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Election Eve Update: House Republicans on Edge of Good, Great Election Night
November 3, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Election Eve Update: GOP Prospects Continue to Improve in the Senate
November 3, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ratings Change in Kentucky Senate
November 1, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Obama’s Midterm Loss Record Could Make History
November 1, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Think more competitive House races would help? They might actually make things worse.
October 31, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
A Nerve-Wracking Finish for Democrats
October 30, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What Counts As a GOP Wave in 2014?
October 28, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Will Obama Leave the Democratic Party Better Than He Found It?
October 27, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
A Good Year May Not Save These Three Vulnerable House Republicans Either
October 23, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Weak GOP Candidates May Need More Than a Good Year
October 23, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
South Dakota Senate Race Returning to Form
October 22, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Not His Father’s Arkansas
October 20, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Republicans Must Win the Senate in 2014
October 15, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ratings Change: Arkansas Senate from Toss-up/Tilt Republican to Lean Republican
October 13, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ratings Change: Alaska Senate from Pure Toss-up to Toss-up/Tilt Republican
October 13, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ratings Change: South Dakota Senate from Republican Favored to Lean Republican
October 13, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Decidedly on Defense in the House
October 10, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
6 Races Both Parties View Completely Differently
October 10, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Michigan Senate Seat Moves Away from Republicans
October 9, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
What If I’m Wrong About GOP Flipping at Least 7 Seats?
October 8, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Three Election Trends That Could End in 2014
October 7, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Could a Four-Second Mistake Cost a Candidate Thousands of Dollars?
October 6, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Family Ties May Not Be Enough to Save Vulnerable Senators
October 2, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Shift in Landscape Makes Bigger GOP House Gains Possible
October 1, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Senate Chairmen Try to Avoid Historic Home-State Losses
September 29, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Fight for Senate Control Down to Five States
September 25, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Amazingly Static House Playing Field
September 19, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Republican Brand’s Recovery Tour — Sort Of
September 17, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Will Women Lose Ground in the House GOP After 2014?
September 16, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Best Ads of 2014 – Oh Really?
September 11, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Senate Ratings vs. Senate Expecations
September 10, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Republicans Use Birth Control as Campaign Wedge
September 9, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
House Candidate May Have Faulty Disclaimer in Campaign Ad
September 5, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Pat Roberts is the Most Vulnerable Republican Senator in the Country
September 4, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
And the Winner of the GOP’s Civil War Primary Is…Part II
August 28, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Not Your Typical Southern Democrat in South Carolina
August 20, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Self-Fulfilling Prophecy Might Be Why Americans Hate Congress
August 13, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democratic Retirements Put the Senate in Play
August 12, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Inside House Democrats’ Expanding Ground Game
August 8, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Walsh Drops Out, Montana Senate Moves to Republican Favored
August 7, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
New Poll Numbers Reinforce Bush-Obama Comparisons
August 7, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
President George W. Obama Meets the Midterms
August 7, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
So You Want to Be a Political Handicapper? 2014 Edition
July 30, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Chuck Schumer’s Dream: A Democratic Nightmare
July 29, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Montana Senate Moves to Lean Republican
July 24, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Montana Senate: A Real Race or Simply Manufactured Buzz?
July 24, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
‘Simple’ Doesn’t Equal ‘Easy’ in N.H. Senate Race
July 23, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
GOP Can’t Catch a Break in Congressional Baseball Recruitment
July 22, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
‘Would You Rather?’ House Race Edition
July 21, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Imperfect People Get Elected to the Senate
July 16, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Fight for the Senate Still Very Much Up in the Air
July 15, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Minnesota Senate: Still Very Unlikely, But Not Impossible
July 14, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Could Upbeat Economic News Help Obama, Democrats?
July 10, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Democrats and Republicans Can’t Be Friends
July 8, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
How Parties Communicate Without Coordinating
July 7, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate GOP Bets on Jeff Larson to Help Ride to Majority in 2014
July 3, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Is the Media Ignoring Hillary Clinton?
July 2, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Senate Long Shots Find Success Down the Ballot
June 27, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Beware ‘Anti-Incumbent’ Election Hysteria
June 25, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
In Campaign Ads, ‘Week One’ Is Still Months Away
June 19, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Mark Pryor: Still This Cycle’s Most Vulnerable Senator
June 17, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Michelle Obama for Senate in 2016: Is It Even a Rumor?
June 16, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Obama’s New Nuance on His Student Loans
June 13, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
How and Why are Two Separate Questions in Cantor Loss
June 11, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Do We Suddenly Care About Races for Lt. Governor?
June 6, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
California 25: Another District Falls Off the List of Competitive Races
June 4, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Thad Cochran’s Mississippi
June 3, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Can an Endorsement Hurt the Endorsed Candidate?
May 23, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Long Lost Tale of Phil Maloof
May 22, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ben Sasse, Mystery Man
May 19, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Wield Abortion Rights as Campaign Weapon in Primaries, Too
May 16, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
The New World of Election Coverage and Analysis: A Case Study
May 15, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Most Influential Losing Congressional Candidate in the Country
May 14, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats Won’t Have a Candidate in Competitive Florida District, Race moves to Safe
May 13, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why This Year’s Primaries Won’t End GOP Civil War
May 9, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Now that GOP Primary is Over, North Carolina Senate Moves to Pure Toss-Up
May 7, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
And the Winner of the GOP’s Civil War Primary Is …
May 7, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Beware of the Surprise House Primary Losers
May 6, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats Pin Hopes on New Candidate, Unconventional Process in Florida’s 13th District
May 2, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
How to Ruin Your Interview With Stu Rothenberg
May 2, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Warning: Senate Races Aren’t as Close as They Appear
April 30, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
When Birth Certificates and Senate Races Clash
April 29, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Rating New York’s 11th District and One of My Worst Mistakes as a Political Handicapper
April 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Charleston Gazette Endorsements Need a Little Perspective
April 25, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Obama’s Foreign Policy Impacts 2014 Elections — Really
April 24, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why TV Airtime Reservations Are More Important Than Ever
April 23, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Colorado Senate: Mark Udall Still Favored
April 22, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Sebelius to the Senate? Maybe in the Land of Oz, But Not in Kansas
April 18, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
How to Handicap a Campaign’s Ground Game in 2014
April 17, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democratic Senate Prospects and the New Black Voter
April 14, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Meet 3 Divergent House Candidates Worth Watching
April 10, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
GOP Congressman Skips Incumbent Label on California Ballot
April 9, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Republicans Have Trouble Electing Women to Congress
April 7, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Mississippi Senator Thad Cochran, Underdog?
April 4, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Rogers’ Retirement Makes Michigan 8 More Competitive
March 28, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats’ Growing Problems With Independent Voters on the Senate Map
March 26, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Memo to Democrats: Running Toward Barack Obama Might Work
March 21, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Colorado Senate Race Firmly on Senate Battlefield
March 20, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Another Cycle, Another Poll Memo About Florida’s 2nd District
March 19, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Jolly Wins Special, Florida’s 13th Starts as Lean Republican for Midterm
March 12, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Polls Still Show Democrats With Higher Marks Than Republicans
March 11, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Florida’s 13th District Special Election Is Still a Tossup
March 11, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Bill Clinton’s Real Impact on the Kentucky Senate Race
March 10, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Republican Candidates Will Run From .GOP Address
March 7, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats Have Primaries, Too
March 6, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Ken Buck Has the Inside Track in Colorado’s 4th District
March 4, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
There’s No Good Time for the GOP on Immigration
February 27, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Gardner Decision Shakes Up Colorado Senate Race
February 26, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Obamacare Can Be Complicated for Republicans Beyond the Beltway
February 25, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
How Jamestown Associates Adapted and Prospered
February 24, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Please Don’t Call It an Exodus From Congress
February 21, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
DCCC Is 2013 Fundraising Winner, but DNC Drops the Ball
February 13, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
How Candidates Share Without Coordinating With Outside Groups
February 11, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
North Carolina 2: Clay Aiken In, Seat Still Safe GOP for Now
February 6, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
For Democrats, It’s All About (Years) After November
February 5, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Income Inequality: Democrats Have Some Work to Do
January 31, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2 Seats, 1 State, Zero Opportunities
January 30, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
You Can’t Make This Stuff Up — and It’s Only January
January 29, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Real Reasons Recruits Don’t Run
January 23, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Garcia is GOP Rising Star, But is She Going Too High Too Soon?
January 21, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
To Special-Election Victors, a Short Stay in Congress
January 19, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Virginia Senate: Gillespie’s Entry Gives Republicans a Chance
January 17, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
California 25: Open Seat Gets More Competitive
January 16, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats
January 16, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
New York 21: Owens Retirement Moves Seat to Toss-Up
January 14, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Race Democrats Can’t Afford to Lose
January 13, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Pay No Attention to That Title of Speaker in Front of My Name
January 11, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Oldest and Youngest Congressional Candidates of the Cycle
January 10, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
New York 4: Remains Safe for Democrats for Now
January 8, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
North Carolina 7: Democratic Seat Moves from Toss-Up to Safe Republican
January 8, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Early TV Ads: Not New and Mostly a Waste of Money
January 8, 2014
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Gerlach to Retire, Pennsylvania’s 6th Moves from Safe to Lean Republican
January 6, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
All GOP Primaries Are Not Created Equal
January 6, 2014
by
Nathan Gonzales
Republicans and Democrats Exchange Gifts this Holiday Season
December 27, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
What the Latest Iowa Poll Reveals About 2016 (Hint: Not Much)
December 23, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
How the Calendar Could Influence GOP Senate Primaries
December 20, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Democratic Escape Plan: How to Hold a Vulnerable Senate Seat
December 19, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Is Arkansas Really the Land of Opportunity for Democrats?
December 18, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Open 3rd District Gives Democrats Opportunity in Iowa
December 18, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Matheson’s Retirement Moves Utah’s 4th District to Safe for Republicans
December 17, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Wolf’s Retirement Moves Virginia’s 10th District from Safe to Lean Republican
December 17, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
One Reason Donald Trump Should Be President
December 17, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Louisiana Ad Could Preview 2014 Democratic Playbook
December 16, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Awards for the Best and Worst of Politics in 2013
December 12, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What Happened to the Campaign for Primary Accountability?
December 9, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
The $4 Billion Campaign Against John Cornyn
December 6, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
House Democrats’ Not-So-Secret Weapon for 2014: Cash
December 5, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
A Traditional Midterm Headache for Democrats
December 4, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
If Linda Lingle Could, Why Can’t Wendy Davis?
December 3, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Open Your Mind to the Possibility of Another Midterm Mess for Democrats
December 2, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Republicans at Risk of Losing West Virginia’s 2nd District
November 22, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Most Divided House District in New York
November 20, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
23 of 25 Vulnerable Democrats Vote in Favor of Upton Bill
November 19, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
A Critical Few Weeks for Democrats? It Could Get Worse
November 18, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Most Postmortems of Virginia’s Gubernatorial Race Are Wrong
November 14, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
For Some Candidates, Home Is Where the Opportunity Is
November 12, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Victory Is in the Eye of the Beholder in New Jersey, Virginia and Alabama
November 8, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
New Jersey’s 3rd District Now Open, Now a Tossup
November 7, 2013
by
Nathan Gonzales
Two House Candidates Who Stumbled Over Simple Questions
November 6, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
In Louisiana, Democrats Doth Protest Too Much
November 1, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
6 Democratic House Candidates With Plenty of Potential
October 30, 2013
by
Stuart Rothenberg
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