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Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Tag Archive: Open
Pelosi Remains But ‘Winter is Coming’ for Democrats
December 7, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Gubernatorial Losers Descend on Next Congress
December 6, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Under Next Electoral Map, Trump Would Still Have Won
December 1, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
When Orientation Is a ‘Miserable Experience’
November 30, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Does the Country Even Want to Come Together?
November 14, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ratings Change: Obama State Shifts to Trump
November 7, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
It’s Time for Newspapers to Stop Endorsing Candidates
October 19, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Republicans’ Agonizing Wait for Latest Diagnosis
October 11, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Second Biggest Surprise of the Election Season
August 24, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
House Democrats Wait for Weight of Trump
August 19, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Republicans Target Governorship in Bernie Sanders’ Vermont
August 18, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Most Important Question to Ask Trump Defectors
August 12, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
What I Learned Outside the Convention Bubble
August 3, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Clinton Campaign Readying National Olympic Ad Blitz
July 27, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
NRSC: GOP Senators Running for Sheriff, Not President
July 21, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
NRCC Bracing for Lonely Defense of House Majority
July 19, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
2016 House Overview: Waiting for a Wave
July 14, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Republicans Decline to Attack Democrats on “Culture of Corruption”
July 13, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ratings Change: Indiana Senate Moves to Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic
July 11, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Republicans Need Gary Johnson to Save the Senate
June 30, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Millennials Rage Against the Machine (and Lose)
June 17, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Safe Senator Shifts to Raise Money for Safe Colleague
June 10, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
What Katie McGinty Told Me About Her College Career
June 7, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Strategy That Could Have Taken Trump Down
June 3, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
When Serving Together in Congress is a Family Affair
May 25, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Comparing the GOP Divides, 1964 and 2016
May 24, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Don’t Assume Paul Ryan Will be Speaker Next Year
May 19, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why House Democrats Need Trump to be President
May 16, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Clinton Starts with a Decisive Advantage
May 13, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why California Members Embrace Incumbent Ballot Designation
May 10, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ryan Rides to the Rescue — But Not Until 2020
May 4, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
16 House Districts That Will Make (or Break) Democratic Majority
May 4, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
NRCC Reserves Ad Time for Vulnerable Members
May 2, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
GOP’s Troubles Just Beginning
April 29, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Opposition Research Comes Out of the Shadows
April 24, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
How Many Might Defect from Trump or Cruz?
April 22, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
New Poll, New TV Ads in Indiana House Race
April 21, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats Likely to Bank Trio of GOP House Seats
April 18, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Democrats Are Headed off Their Own Cliff
April 15, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
This 2014 House Race May Have Predicted Trump’s Success
April 10, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Beginning of the End for Donald Trump
April 7, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Maybe It Really Is the Media’s Fault
April 5, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
‘14 Losers Looking for Second Chance in ‘16
March 31, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
A Party Divided Is a Party Defeated—Usually
March 30, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Rush Wins Primary, Other Black Caucus Members Also Face Challenges
March 27, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Is an Anti-Trump Wave Putting the House Into Play?
March 25, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
John Kasich’s Utterly Strange, Bizarre Campaign
March 24, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Millennials Raising Money to Run, But Can They Win?
March 18, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Outsider Candidate Claims Boehner Seat in Ohio Special
March 16, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Trump’s Electoral Math Doesn’t Add Up
March 16, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democratic Senate Takeover Probable, If Cruz or Trump Nominee
March 11, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
6 Districts Where the Fight for the House and President Converge
March 7, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Case for a Crowded Field to Defeat Trump
March 3, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Cruz and Kasich Implausible Scenarios Keeping Trump on Top
March 1, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Trump Is More Vulnerable Than You Think
February 23, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Obama Learns What You Sow in the Senate, You Reap in the White House
February 22, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Don’t Call it a Push Poll: Bernie Sanders Campaign Edition
February 22, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Who Will Win South Carolina Saturday? Just Look at the Voters
February 19, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Michael Bloomberg’s Road Map to the White House
February 17, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Trying to Make Sense of the Post-New Hampshire Republican Race
February 10, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Voters Don’t Fit Neatly Into Presidential Primary Lanes
February 9, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Can Rubio Follow Romney’s Path to the Nomination?
February 9, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What Happened to Jeb Bush?
February 9, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Was Fiorina Denied Ad Time During the Debate?
February 8, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Revenge of the Old Fogies
February 4, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Handicapping the GOP Race Past Iowa
February 1, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
It’s Official: Put a Fork in Kasich’s Candidacy
January 31, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Hillary and Jeb: Destined to Play the Long Game?
January 28, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
NRSC Names Huey IE Director
January 27, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Goldwater vs. McGovern in 2016?
January 20, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Beshear Looks Back, Forward on Kentucky’s Political Landscape
January 17, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
NRCC Names Furst Johnson IE Director
January 15, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Virginia 2: Rigell Retirement Shifts Seat Out of Safe for GOP
January 14, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Can Rubio Win Even If He Loses?
January 13, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Obama’s Empty Campaign Threat on Gun Control
January 12, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Predicting the Future and Other Delusions
January 8, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ted Cruz Might Not Need Trump Supporters
January 7, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Steve Israel Retirement Sets Up GOP Takeover Opportunity
January 6, 2016
by
Nathan Gonzales
Will ‘Electability’ Sink Trump?
January 5, 2016
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Indiana Senate: Is Stutzman Still the Club for Growth’s Guy?
December 28, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Virginia 5: Hurt to Retire, Leaves Potentially Competitive Seat
December 23, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
New York 22: Hanna Retirement Puts Seat At Risk for Republicans
December 21, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why House Races Still Matter (Even in Safe Districts)
December 21, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
And the GOP Nominee Will Be…
December 18, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Stu in Review: Dumb Stuff I Wrote This Year
December 17, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
GOP’s Brand In More Trouble Than Its Candidates
December 15, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Republicans Need More Than More Hispanic Voters to Win White House
December 14, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
An Independent Candidacy Would Make Trump the Biggest Loser
December 11, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
What Does It Take To Crack the Inner Circle of Political Consultants?
December 10, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Rothenberg’s End of the Year Awards
December 9, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
4 Court Cases That Could Impact the 2016 Elections
December 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Who Is the Second Most Vulnerable Senate Incumbent in 2016?
December 4, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Obama Still Channeling George W. Bush
December 3, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Time to Stop Reporting on Committee Fundraising Numbers
November 30, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Speaking Style Says Volumes About GOP Race
November 25, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Imperfect Candidates Get Elected
November 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Paris Attacks Will Keep Obama and Democrats Playing Defense
November 20, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Don’t Get Too Caught Up in the Trump and Carson ‘Panic’
November 18, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
House Retirement Rush Still Short of Average
November 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Outsider Bevin Hires Insider Chief of Staff
November 14, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
EMILY’s List Support Isn’t Early Enough for Senate Hopeful
November 13, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Hillary Clinton and the Two-Term Jinx
November 12, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Is Vitter on the Verge of Losing Everything?
November 11, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Trump Would Get Out of the Race
November 8, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Cory Gardner for Veep? Don’t Laugh
November 6, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What Does Bevin’s Victory in Kentucky Mean for Vitter’s Chances?
November 5, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Fiorina Has No Clear Lane to GOP Nomination
November 4, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Don’t Blame Gerrymandering for GOP Civil War
October 30, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Cruz and Jindal Wait Impatiently for Their Chances
October 29, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why the Next Month Is Critical for Bush
October 28, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Vitter’s Primary Performance Prompts Rating Change in Louisiana
October 27, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Pelosi Sees a Wave; Strategists Say it’s Just a Ripple Now
October 26, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
What the Heck Happened to Rand Paul?
October 21, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
John Boehner Shouldn’t Pack His Bags Just Yet
October 20, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Ryan Is Damned if He Does, and Damned if He Doesn’t
October 18, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Republicans Need to Nominate Ted Cruz
October 15, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why I Keep Forgetting About John Kasich
October 9, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Early Iowa Presidential Polls a Better Predictor Than National Ones
October 8, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Draft Biden Organizer Dismissed Over Past Legal Problems
October 7, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
State Senator Prepares GOP Primary Challenge to Shimkus
October 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Hassan’s Decision Changes Outlook in Two New Hampshire Races
October 5, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Does Voter Anger Explain the Success of Presidential Outsiders?
September 29, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Young, Ambitious and Wealthy Isn’t Enough in Arkansas
September 24, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Indiana Reps Still Wrestling With Residency
September 21, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Post-CNN Debate Thoughts
September 18, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
And the News Gets Worse for Clinton
September 17, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
No Rating Change After Benishek’s Retirement in Michigan
September 16, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
More House Retirements Likely to Come
September 14, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
A Significant Reassessment of the GOP Race
September 10, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Reichert Seriously Considering Washington Governor’s Race
September 3, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Louisiana Governor: Does David Vitter Have Something to Worry About?
September 2, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Parties Play Politics With FEC Complaints
August 28, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Campaign Committees Open Holes While Filling Others
August 27, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Missing the Boat on the Big Political News
August 26, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Crist, Culver Contemplate Humbling Transition to the House
August 25, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Group Suggests ‘Schock Waves’ in Illinois Special Election
August 19, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
A Modest Proposal: Timeshare Congressional Districts
August 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Stop the Presses: O’Malley Nabs Swalwell Endorsement
August 14, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats, Party Switchers and the Ghost of Ed Jany
August 7, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
One Last Hurrah for Joe Biden?
August 6, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
A Brief Electoral History of Recently Indicted Congressmen
July 31, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
More Democratic Losses Could Be on the Horizon
July 30, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Chris Christie’s Conundrum
July 29, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Politics of Identity Politics
July 24, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Less Hair Could Mean More Votes in Minnesota
July 23, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Who Will Benefit From the Issues Mix in 2016?
July 17, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Bernie Sanders: The Latest Version of Howard Dean
July 10, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Donald Trump Impact: Not so Inevitable After All
July 8, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Heck’s Decision Prompts Rating Change in Two Nevada Races
July 6, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
When the Second Time Isn’t the Charm
July 2, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Does Scott Walker Have What It Takes to Win in 2016?
June 26, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Yarmuth Retirement Rumor Offers Window Into Future
June 25, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
The Iowa Straw Poll: Put a Stake Through Its Heart
June 22, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Roll Call at the Big 6-0
June 18, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Can Marco Rubio Save the GOP in 2016?
June 16, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Race Plays Out on Congressional Baseball Game Field
June 12, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Party’s History of Establishment Picks Could Be Over
June 8, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
14 Open House Seats, Few Takeover Opportunities
June 2, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
How to Fix an Unfair Presidential Debate System
May 28, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Kirkpatrick’s Decision Prompts Ratings Changes in Two Arizona Races
May 26, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
500 Attack Emails Couldn’t Take Down Thom Tillis
May 26, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Can Republicans Repeat an Upset in Colorado?
May 21, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why It’s a Mistake to Dismiss Bobby Jindal
May 15, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Caveat Emptor, in Political Giving Too
May 13, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Parties Divide and Conquer Independent Spending
May 8, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Senate Races, Pro Salaries and Perspective on Spending
May 7, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
How Much Trouble Is Richard Burr in?
May 6, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Is John Kasich in the Top Tier in 2016?
May 4, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Hillary Rodham Romney? Keep an Eye on O’Malley
April 30, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
DSCC Preferred Chairman’s Opponent in 2006 Primary
April 28, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
‘Big Money’ and the 2016 Elections
April 24, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Cruz’s Struggle: This Man Loves to Argue
April 22, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Context for Facebook Chatter About Presidential Candidates
April 21, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
The What Ifs of the 2016 GOP Presidential Race
April 20, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Young and the Restless of 2016
April 16, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Wyden Looks Safe, but Democratic Rift Is Real
April 13, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Adding Context to GOP Gains at State Level
April 10, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
How Reid Reacted When a Republican Senator Was Indicted
April 3, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Jeb Bush Can’t Be Nominated. Or Can He?
April 2, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Start With Narrow Advantage in Nevada Open Seat
March 27, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
It’s Early: Why Pundits Shouldn’t Overreact
March 26, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Lopach Leads March Toward Democratic Senate Majority
March 25, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Schilling Considering Special Election for Schock Seat
March 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Indiana Senate Race Moves Out of Safe
March 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Primaries Aren’t All Bad
March 23, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
So Long, Curtis
March 19, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Fearsome Foursome: Bush, Paul, Walker, Rubio
March 18, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Mark Kirk Starts 2016 as an Underdog
March 12, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What the ‘Big Ten’ Tells Republicans They Need in 2016
March 11, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Young Republican Explores Primary vs. Scott DesJarlais
March 10, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Pat Toomey Is a Strong Candidate. Will That Be Enough in 2016?
March 5, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Feingold, Sestak Face History, Former Foes in Senate Rematches
March 4, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Rand Paul, Hillary Clinton Face Foreign Policy Challenges in 2016
March 2, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Remembrance of Shutdowns Past
February 27, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Senate Challenger Battles Secretary of State Curse
February 24, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Past and Precedent: What Makes This Mississippi Special Election Interesting
February 19, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What to Expect When You’re Expecting to Run
February 17, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Why Early Senate Polling Is Usually Useless
February 13, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Special Elections Really Matter
February 12, 2015
by
Nathan Gonzales
Is Ben Carson Really a Viable Presidential Candidate?
February 11, 2015
by
Stuart Rothenberg
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