Tag Archive: Open

Virginia Redistricting: Old Dominion’s New Districts

February 8, 2022

Georgia Redistricting: New Lines on Their Minds

February 4, 2022

If History’s a Guide, Biden Ain’t Getting Any Stronger

February 2, 2022

Michigan 3: Scholten Back for a Rematch

February 1, 2022

Illinois Redistricting: Multiple Member-on-Member Matchups

January 28, 2022

Maryland Redistricting: Crossing the Chesapeake

January 21, 2022

Michigan Redistricting: Mix and Match

January 13, 2022

New Jersey Redistricting: Malinowski Draws the Short Straw

January 10, 2022

New Mexico Redistricting: Herrell in the Hot Seat

December 31, 2021

Arizona Redistricting: Democrats’ Grand Canyon Calamity

December 30, 2021

California Redistricting: Golden Opportunities

December 28, 2021

Oklahoma Redistricting: Sooner Shutout

December 27, 2021

Utah Redistricting: Split Lake City

December 23, 2021

Idaho Redistricting: No Big Changes Yet

December 22, 2021

Ohio Redistricting: Process Serves GOP

December 16, 2021

The Problem with our Politics is not Partisanship

December 8, 2021

Nevada Redistricting: Democrats Go Gambling

December 3, 2021

Montana Redistricting: Back Two the Future

November 24, 2021

2022 Senate: A Range of Outcomes After Virginia and New Jersey

November 23, 2021

Alabama Redistricting: A Crimson-Red Congressional Map

November 22, 2021

Texas Redistricting: A Lone Swing Seat in the Lone Star State?

November 15, 2021

Iowa Redistricting: Republicans Looking for the Sweep

November 11, 2021

New Hampshire Senate: Sununu Will Not Run

November 9, 2021

Virginia and New Jersey Governor: A Big Night for Republicans

November 3, 2021

Rating Change: Virginia Governor to Toss-up

November 1, 2021

West Virginia Redistricting: When the Music Stops

October 27, 2021

California Governor: Education Continues to be Key Vote Indicator

October 26, 2021

Nebraska Redistricting: Bacon Not Out of the Frying Pan

October 18, 2021

Ad Watch: Building Back Together Stays the Course

October 15, 2021

by Christopher Sebastian

Oregon Redistricting: (Mostly) Good News for Democrats

October 14, 2021

Indiana Redistricting: Solidifying the Status Quo

October 13, 2021

Missouri Senate: Schmitt Raised $646,301 in Third Quarter

October 12, 2021

Maine Redistricting: Same As It Ever Was

October 11, 2021

Why the 2024 Presidential Race Will Start Later Than Expected

October 8, 2021

Colorado Redistricting: New District, Fortunate Incumbents

October 4, 2021

Virginia Governor: Rating Change

September 29, 2021

The One Thing Biden Can’t Afford to Lose

September 17, 2021

Recalling the California Recall

September 15, 2021

California Governor Recall: Advantage Newsom in Final Stretch

September 14, 2021

California Governor Recall: Media Spending Reflects GOP Challenge

September 13, 2021

by Christopher Sebastian

RIP, Rally ’Round the Flag

September 9, 2021

How Afghanistan Will (and Won’t) Matter in 2022 Midterms

September 2, 2021

House Majority Forward Enters the Early Fight

August 31, 2021

by Christopher Sebastian

New York Governor: Still Solid Democratic

August 16, 2021

New Census Data Kickstarts Next Phase of Redistricting

August 12, 2021

Stop Attacking Losing Candidates

August 11, 2021

Is John Boozman Too Nice for the Republican Party?

August 6, 2021

Six Thoughts after the Ohio Special Election Primaries

August 4, 2021

Senate Candidates Smashing the Fundraising Curve

July 29, 2021

6 Thoughts After the Texas 6 Special Election Runoff

July 29, 2021

When We’ll Know How Much Trump’s Support is Worth

July 16, 2021

These Four States Could Decide Control of Congress in 2022

June 28, 2021

While You Were Underground: A Political Update for Cicadas

June 17, 2021

Decline in Ticket-splitting Reaches Beyond Congress

June 15, 2021

Could Supreme Court Supercharge Midterms With Abortion Ruling?

June 3, 2021

Special Elections in Redistricting Cycles: To Play or Not to Play?

May 21, 2021

Republicans Should Disband If They Don’t Win Back the House in 2022

May 18, 2021

The Case to Keep Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s Cash

May 6, 2021

6 Things I Think After the Texas 6 Special Primary

May 3, 2021

10 Takeaways from the Reapportionment Announcement

April 26, 2021

California Governor Recall: Does Jenner Help or Hurt the GOP cause?

April 26, 2021

Alaska Senate: Al Gross, 2020 Nominee, Considering Another Run

April 12, 2021

Few Opportunities as Parties Battle for Senate Control

April 12, 2021

Let’s Talk About How We Talk About House Retirements

April 11, 2021

Three Lessons from the Ghost of Redistricting Past

April 1, 2021

Six Senators Who Owe Their Hill Careers to Redistricting

March 19, 2021

New Poll in Texas Special Election Shows Early Leaders, Lots of Vote Up For Grabs

March 18, 2021

Missouri Senate: Remains Solid Republican for Now

March 8, 2021

Rhode Island Poised to Make History It Doesn’t Want to Make

March 5, 2021

How the Lack of Ticket-Splitting Leads to Gridlock

March 3, 2021

Vote Above Replacement: 2020 Governor Elections

February 16, 2021

Recent History Shows Senate Retirements Don’t Tell Us Squat

February 10, 2021

Pulling Back the Curtain on Race Ratings

February 5, 2021

Ohio Senate: Portman Decision Complicates Race

January 25, 2021

Election Predictions Look Different (and Better) Now that All the Races are Over

January 22, 2021

Capitol Invasion Marred Hope of “Peaceful Transfer of Power”

January 14, 2021

Georgia Senate Runoffs: Paths to Victory for Both Parties

January 4, 2021

Georgia Senate Runoffs: Both Sides Getting Outspent?

December 30, 2020

Why Our 2022 Ratings Aren’t Imminent

December 23, 2020

31,751 Votes: How Close Races Decide the Battle for the House

December 17, 2020

What Makes a Race Competitive?

December 16, 2020

How Trump’s 2024 Candidacy Could Complicate GOP Chances in 2022

December 2, 2020

Georgia Runoff History: Why the Past May Not Be Prologue

November 19, 2020

The Fight for the Senate Continues into 2022

November 19, 2020

2020 Elections Enter New Stage

November 6, 2020

A Brief History of Georgia Runoffs, and Why This Time May Be Different

November 5, 2020

Where Do We Go From Here?

November 4, 2020

What to Watch for on Election Night

November 3, 2020

The 2020 Battle for Congress: A Story Through Two Years of Rating Changes

November 2, 2020

How Blue is North Carolina? District Baseline Analysis

November 2, 2020

Presidential Snapshot in Time (October 30, 2020)

October 30, 2020

All Eyes on the Hawkeye State: Iowa Baseline by District

October 23, 2020

Virginia Baseline by District Highlights Democratic Strength in the House

October 16, 2020

Presidential Snapshot in Time (October 16, 2020)

October 16, 2020

Breaking Down Texas Districts With Baseline Metric

October 12, 2020

Presidential Snapshot in Time (October 2, 2020)

October 2, 2020

The Next Congress Will Be Filled With Losers

September 28, 2020

Supreme Court Fight Isn’t Guaranteed Game-Changer

September 20, 2020

Presidential Battlegrounds: Texas

September 18, 2020

Presidential Snapshot in Time (September 18, 2020)

September 18, 2020

Misleading Senate Ad Uses Out-of-Context Quotes to Attack Opponent

September 10, 2020

Presidential Battlegrounds: Georgia

September 4, 2020

Presidential Snapshot in Time (September 4, 2020)

September 4, 2020

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (September 1, 2020)

September 1, 2020

Trump Needs a Convention Bounce

September 1, 2020

Mississippi Senate: Espy’s 1988 convention speech offers clues to 2020 optimism

August 26, 2020

Presidential Snapshot in Time (August 21, 2020)

August 21, 2020

Inauguration Planning Confronts Reality of Pandemic

August 17, 2020

Politicians are the Worst (But Most Important) Political Analysts

August 11, 2020

House Races to Watch

August 7, 2020

Presidential Snapshot in Time (August 7, 2020)

August 7, 2020

Young GOP Veteran Faces Tough Road in the Suburbs

August 5, 2020

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (July 27, 2020)

July 27, 2020

Presidential Snapshot in Time (July 24, 2020)

July 24, 2020

TV Ads Shape Presidential Battleground

July 20, 2020

Electoral College Outlook: Biden Has the Edge

July 17, 2020

Presidential Snapshot in Time: July 10, 2020

July 10, 2020

Should Down-Ballot Republicans Ready a ‘No Blank Check’ Strategy?

July 10, 2020

No, DC Statehood Won’t Lead to Permanent Senate Majority for Democrats

July 6, 2020

The Russian Bounty Story is Not the Reset the Trump Campaign Needs

July 1, 2020

Presidential Snapshot in Time (June 26, 2020)

June 26, 2020

How One Senate Class Shows a National Realignment

June 25, 2020

Presidential Snapshot in Time (June 12, 2020)

June 12, 2020

Nationwide Protests Move Into Campaign Ads

June 11, 2020

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (June 8, 2020)

June 8, 2020

Rating Change: Iowa’s 4th Moves to Solid Republican

June 3, 2020

Presidential Snapshot in Time (May 29, 2020)

May 29, 2020

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (May 20, 2020)

May 20, 2020

Presidential Snapshot in Time (May 15, 2020)

May 15, 2020

Six Months from Election Day, Expect the Expected

May 7, 2020

Presidential Snapshot in Time (May 1, 2020)

May 1, 2020

Michigan 3: Amash Exit Makes Seat Less Vulnerable

April 29, 2020

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (April 29, 2020)

April 29, 2020

COVID-19 Just Latest Challenge for Health Care Polling

April 27, 2020

Five Key Takeaways from the Wisconsin Supreme Court Election

April 22, 2020

The Battle for the House, As Told Through Super PAC Ad Reservations

April 17, 2020

Fewer Political Ads Now, Doesn’t Mean Less Advertising Later

April 15, 2020

Questioning My Boldest Projection for 2020

April 13, 2020

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (April 10, 2020)

April 10, 2020

Will There be More Republican Women in the House Next Year?

April 9, 2020

Coronavirus and Campaign Ads: How the Pandemic Is Playing on TV

April 8, 2020

Be Careful When Explaining House Retirements

April 7, 2020

Lesson Learned? The State of Statewide Polling

March 25, 2020

Coronavirus and the Elections: 7 Key Questions

March 17, 2020

Rating Change: Montana Senate Shifts Toward Democrats

March 9, 2020

Super Tuesday Senate Primary Update (March 3, 2020)

March 4, 2020

Eight Thoughts After Charleston Debate

February 26, 2020

RIP, Election Night

February 21, 2020

Five Thoughts After the Las Vegas Democratic Debate

February 20, 2020

Indiana 5: Ready to Run

February 7, 2020

Fate of ‘National Security Democrats’ Provides Key to House Majority

February 5, 2020

Was Hillary Clinton a Terrible Candidate?

February 3, 2020

Is Trump really the MVP of the GOP?

January 23, 2020

The Steyer Boomlet

January 21, 2020

California 50: GOP Benefits from Hunter’s Absence

January 16, 2020

Kansas Senate: Pompeo Decision Makes Seat More Vulnerable

January 8, 2020

2020 Senate and House Outlook Looks a Lot Like It Did at the Start of 2019

January 7, 2020

Impeachment’s No ‘Game Changer’ and Other Pet Peeves

December 17, 2019

New Jersey 2: Van Drew Decision Changes GOP Prospects

December 16, 2019

Sharing The Ticket: How Much Room Is There For Women Running Mates?

December 2, 2019

New York 2: Open Seat Shifts to More Vulnerable Category

November 11, 2019

Democratic Win in Kentucky Proves Candidates Still Matter

November 6, 2019

7 Things I Think I Think After the 2019 Elections

November 6, 2019

Job Opening: Analyst – Reporter for Inside Elections

October 30, 2019

California 25: Legitimate Opportunity or Mirage?

October 28, 2019

Louisiana Governor: Key Takeaways from the Primary Election

October 14, 2019

Mostly Smoke, and Little Fire, From Republicans to Democrats on Impeachment

October 11, 2019

New York 27: Less Vulnerable With Collins Departure

September 30, 2019

Luke Skywalker and the Politics of Impeachment

September 26, 2019

9 Things I Think I Think After the North Carolina Redo Election

September 11, 2019

Texas 17: Add Another Republican to List of Retirements

September 4, 2019

Trump Vulnerability in a Primary is More Fiction than Fact

September 4, 2019

North Carolina 9: Parties and Candidates Spending Big in Redo Election

September 3, 2019

North Carolina 9: McCready Has Narrow Lead in New Bipartisan Poll

August 30, 2019

Isakson’s Decision Adds Competitive Seat to 2020 Senate Battleground

August 28, 2019

Wisconsin 7: Duffy’s Seat Remains Solid Republican for Now

August 26, 2019

Trump Missing an Opportunity on Guns

August 26, 2019

How Third-Party Votes Sunk Clinton, What They Mean for Trump

August 15, 2019

Rating Update: Marchant Seat Already Considered Competitive

August 5, 2019

Rating Change: Hurd Retirement Moves Texas District to Democratic Category

August 2, 2019

How Much Do Recent Retirements Change House Battleground?

July 26, 2019

When Trump Attacks, the Base Turns Out — For Both Parties

July 25, 2019

Trump Admits He was a Liability in 2018

July 24, 2019

Kentucky Senate: Seriously, Are We Doing This Again?

July 18, 2019

What We Can Learn from the 2004 Presidential Race

July 12, 2019

Fallout from Amash’s Decision in Michigan and Beyond

July 10, 2019

How Many Ways is Michigan in Play in 2020?

July 3, 2019

If at First You Don’t Succeed, Try, Try and Run Somewhere Else

July 2, 2019

Campaign Ad Spending 2020: What’s Your Number?

June 26, 2019

Rothenberg: The 2020 Presidential Race is Still Tilting Democratic

June 21, 2019

Alabama Senate: Republicans Aim To Avoid Moore Headaches

June 20, 2019

Indiana 5: Brooks Retirement Creates Democratic Opportunity

June 14, 2019

Upcoming Debates an Important Next Stage in Presidential Campaign

June 14, 2019

8 Races That Will Likely Determine Control of the Senate

June 12, 2019

Montana At-Large: Does Open Seat Help or Hurt Democrats’ Pickup Opportunity?

June 11, 2019

Why a GOP Super PAC is Bothering to Attack Steve Bullock’s Bid for President

June 7, 2019

Some House Members Are Contemplating Retirement, According to History

May 30, 2019

Oval Office Obsessions From a Crew With Little Experience, Much Ambition

May 24, 2019

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Pennsylvania Special, Kentucky Governor, and the Trail Blazers

May 23, 2019