Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Ratings

Tennessee

Tennessee has 11 electoral college votes and 9 congressional districts.

Office
Incumbent
Rating
Governor
RLeeOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
Senate I
RBlackburnNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate II
RHagertySolid Republican
Solid Republican
TN-01
RHarshbargerSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TN-02
RBurchettSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TN-03
RFleischmannSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TN-04
RDesJarlaisSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TN-05
ROglesSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TN-06
RJ. RoseOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TN-07
RVan EppsSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TN-08
RKustoffSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TN-09
DCohenOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican

Past Elections

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Baselines

About
2025+26.5D 35.8, R 62.3
2024
+26.5
2022
+25.1
2020
+25.1
2018
+25.8
2016
+29.5
2014
+29.5

Calendar

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MAR
10
2026
TN
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
6
2026
TN
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Virginia Caps Off Wild Week of Redistricting Ratings Changes

May 8, 2026
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Tennessee Redistricting: Republicans Seek 9-0 after SCOTUS goes 6-3

May 8, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Overview (March 12, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin