Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Ratings

Montana

Montana has 4 electoral college votes and 2 congressional districts.

Office
Incumbent
Rating
Governor
RGreg GianforteNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate I
RSheehyNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate II
RDainesOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
MT-01
RZinkeOPENLikely Republican
Likely Republican
MT-02
RDowningSolid Republican
Solid Republican

Past Elections

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Baselines

About
2025+15.5D 41.1, R 56.6
2024
+15.5
2022
+11.7
2020
+11.9
2018
+6.6
2016
+8.7
2014
+1.3

Calendar

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MAR
9
2026
MT
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
2
2026
MT
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Montana Senate: New Poll Confirms GOP Edge

June 30, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Senate Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Senate Report Shorts (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Primary Results in Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota

June 4, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin