Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Tennessee
Senate

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
R +26.5
D: 35.8%, R: 62.3%
On May 7, 2026 Tennessee passed a new congressional map designed to give Republicans a net gain of one seat this fall.
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Class II

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
10
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
6
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 22, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Oct. 9, 2025)

October 9, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming

April 17, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 9, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming

January 9, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
January 9, 2025
Not Up This Cycle
January 9, 2025
Solid Republican
2024
January 6, 2023
Solid Republican
2022
January 8, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2020
December 15, 2020
Solid Republican
January 4, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
January 4, 2019
Solid Republican
2018
April 20, 2018
Lean Republican
January 5, 2018
Likely Republican
October 13, 2017
Solid Republican
January 13, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
January 9, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
January 25, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
January 25, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
January 28, 2011
Solid Republican
2010
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+26.5D 35.8, R 62.3
2024
+26.5
2022
+25.1
2020
+25.1
2018
+25.8
2016
+29.5
2014
+29.5