Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Pennsylvania
President

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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No Rating

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +1.7
D: 49.7%, R: 48%

2026 Election

No persons found for this state, office, and election year.

Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
10
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
19
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Trump, Harris Face Off in Philadelphia with the White House on the Line

September 11, 2024
by Nathan Gonzales

2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Pennsylvania

May 23, 2024
by Bradley Wascher

Initial 2024 Presidential Battleground State Ratings

April 26, 2023
by Nathan Gonzales

How Biden Rebuilt the Blue Wall

December 3, 2020
by Ryan Matsumoto

Presidential Snapshot in Time (October 2, 2020)

October 2, 2020
by Bradley Wascher

TV Ads Shape Presidential Battleground

July 20, 2020
by Steve Passwaiter

Electoral College Outlook: Biden Has the Edge

July 17, 2020
by Nathan Gonzales

Presidential Snapshot in Time: July 10, 2020

July 10, 2020
by Bradley Wascher

Presidential Snapshot in Time (June 26, 2020)

June 26, 2020
by Bradley Wascher

Presidential Snapshot in Time (June 12, 2020)

June 12, 2020
by Bradley Wascher

Ratings

2024
April 26, 2023
Toss-up
April 26, 2023
Toss-up
2020
July 17, 2020
Lean Democrat
March 8, 2019
Tilt Democrat
March 8, 2019
Tilt Democrat
2016
March 6, 2015
Lean Democrat
2012
November 2, 2012
Lean Democrat
September 21, 2012
Solid Democrat
September 21, 2012
Solid Democrat
March 9, 2012
Lean Democrat
February 24, 2012
Solid Democrat
February 24, 2012
Solid Democrat
January 27, 2012
Lean Democrat
December 16, 2011
Lean Democrat
December 16, 2011
Toss-up
December 16, 2011
Toss-up
December 2, 2011
Toss-up
December 2, 2011
Toss-up

Baselines

About
2025+1.7D 49.7, R 48.0
2024
+1.7
2022
+4.1
2020
+3.6
2018
+6.5
2016
+4.0
2014
+6.0