Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Ratings

Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania has 19 electoral college votes and 17 congressional districts.

Office
Incumbent
Rating
Governor
DShapiroSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
Senate I
RDave McCormickNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate III
DJohn FettermanNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
PA-01
RFitzpatrickLean Republican
Lean Republican
PA-02
DBoyleSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
PA-03
DEvansOPENSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
PA-04
DDeanSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
PA-05
DScanlonSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
PA-06
DHoulahanSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
PA-07
RMackenzieToss-up
Toss-up
PA-08
RBresnahanToss-up
Toss-up
PA-09
RMeuserSolid Republican
Solid Republican
PA-10
RPerryToss-up
Toss-up
PA-11
RSmuckerSolid Republican
Solid Republican
PA-12
DLeeSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
PA-13
RJoyceSolid Republican
Solid Republican
PA-14
RReschenthalerSolid Republican
Solid Republican
PA-15
RThompsonSolid Republican
Solid Republican
PA-16
RM. KellySolid Republican
Solid Republican
PA-17
DDeluzioSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat

Past Elections

Subscribe

To view past election results you'll need to have access to an active subscription.

Sign UpLogin

Podcasts

Listen
No podcasts found for this election year.

Share

Twitter (X) Facebook Email

Baselines

About
2025+1.7D 49.7, R 48.0
2024
+1.7
2022
+4.1
2020
+3.6
2018
+6.5
2016
+4.0
2014
+6.0

Calendar

See All
MAR
10
2026
PA
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
19
2026
PA
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

See All

Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (May 21, 2026)

May 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Kentucky, Pennsylvania, Alabama, Oregon Primary Results

May 20, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin