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Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Category Archive: Stuart Rothenberg
Perfect Storm for Democratic Pickups
November 16, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What Really Happened in the House
November 14, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Jumping to Conclusions on the 2012 Elections
November 6, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Economy Is Crumbling So Let’s Talk Abortion and Rape
October 31, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Race for the White House Enters Final Stretch
October 26, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Reverting to the Norm: The Race Narrows
October 26, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Senate Fight: Still Too Early to Count Chickens
October 24, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Looking for House Upsets? Take a Look at These
October 19, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
List of House Goners Not What We Expected
October 17, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Race that Never Stops Surprising
October 12, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why’d Mitt Romney Take So Long to Move to the Middle?
October 12, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Can a Race Be Tight and Yet Not Competitive?
October 10, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Race for the White House: Can Romney Mount a Comeback?
October 5, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Friday’s Numbers: Does Anybody Still Care?
October 5, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democratic Surge in House Races? Not So Fast
October 4, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Race for the White House Shifts Toward the President
September 28, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
In Politics, Expect the Unexpected
September 21, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
‘State Waves’ and the Fight for the Senate
September 17, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Both Parties Roll the Dice on Medicare Issue
September 12, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Convention: The Iowa Straw Poll and the National Political Conventions
September 5, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What a 2004 Poll Tells Us About 2012
August 30, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Connecticut Senate: Move to Lean Democrat
August 29, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Convention: In Politics, Timing Can Be Everything
August 27, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Missouri Senate: Move to Pure Toss-up
August 21, 2012
by
Nathan Gonzales
First NRCC IE Ads Show Surprising Diversity
August 16, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Handicapping the Presidential Race: Watch the Samples and Weighting
August 14, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2012 Senate Overview (August 10, 2012) Arizona – Michigan
August 10, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2012 Senate Overview (August 10, 2012) Minnesota-Ohio
August 10, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2012 Senate Overview (August 10, 2012) Pennsylvania – Wyoming
August 10, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
On a Run of Strong Congressional Candidates
August 7, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Polls or Fundamentals in N.Y. 1st District Race?
August 3, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Cruz Versus Dewhurst: More Than a Primary
July 31, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Voter Overload and the Presidential Endgame
July 27, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
In Fight for the House, the Trajectory Is Clear
July 23, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
How Can Anyone Govern After This Campaign?
July 18, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Conventions: From Meaningful to Meaningless
July 16, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ratings Change: Connecticut Senate Gets Less Safe
July 13, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ratings Change: Maine Senate Moves Toward Democrats, Sort of
July 13, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
House Battleground: Four Months To Go
June 29, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Big Legal Win for President, Big Political Win for Republicans
June 28, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Senate Majority Still Up for Grabs in November
June 22, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Barack Obama the Underdog Against ‘Change’ Slogan
June 21, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Reflections on 20 Years as Accidental Columnist
June 14, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Can Any of These House Underdogs Survive?
June 8, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What’s Different About the New ‘New Right’?
June 7, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Are We Headed for Another Electoral Mess?
June 1, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Just How Competitive Is the Ohio Senate Race?
May 25, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Texas Senate: Can Dewhurst Hit 50 Percent in Primary?
May 24, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
How Citizens United Is Affecting Campaigns
May 23, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Senate Control Remains a 50/50 Matter
May 18, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2012 Senate Overview (May 18, 2012) Arizona – Michigan
May 18, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2012 Senate Overview (May 18, 2012) Minnesota – Ohio
May 18, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2012 Senate Overview (May 18, 2012) Pennsylvania – Wyoming
May 18, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Is Pennsylvania In Play for November? Maybe.
May 16, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Sticks and Stones May Break My Bones …
May 11, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Guarded Prospects for Southern Democrats, Northeast Republicans
May 9, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
On Second Thought, Maybe N.C. Was a Mistake
May 1, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Truth About Mitt Romney’s Running Mate Choice
April 27, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
One Way to Look at the Presidential Polls
April 25, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Don’t Believe the Anti-Incumbent Narrative
April 20, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Can Mitt Romney Return to ‘Referendum’ Message?
April 18, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Taking A Different Look At The Gender Gap
April 10, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
House Battleground Comes Into Focus
April 6, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Mitt Romney’s Weakness Is Also Strength — or Is It?
April 3, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
In GOP Presidential Race, Fat Lady Finally Sings
March 30, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
If Lugar Loses, Will Indiana Really Be in Play?
March 28, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What Could Be Next in the Race for President?
March 23, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Who Else for Vice President but Marco Rubio?
March 21, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Redistricting’s Bottom Line
March 20, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Wins, Delegates and the Long GOP Fight Ahead
March 16, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Face Ideological House Primaries
March 14, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
For Mitt Romney, a Good Night but Not a Knockout
March 9, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Nebraska and Hawaii: Studying Senate Handicapping
March 7, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Republican Roller Coaster Ride Continues
March 2, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Claire McCaskill’s Mountain: A Tough Climb to Victory
February 29, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Senate Control Hangs in the Balance
February 24, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Presidential Race Map: Obama vs. Santorum
February 24, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
When Do Political Rules No Longer Apply?
February 22, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Nevada, Massachusetts Key to Senate Control
February 17, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Just How Much Does Gingrich Hate Romney?
February 15, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Hoopla Surrounding Romney’s Electability
February 10, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Newt’s Southern Strategy: Not Impossible, Just Very Unlikely
February 9, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
In Florida: Anger, Confusion, Musical Chairs
February 8, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Don’t Bet on Gingrich Showing Up in Tampa
February 4, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
In Presidential Polling, Context Always Matters
February 1, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Heading to Florida after a Big Win for Newt
January 27, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
What Are the Chances of a Republican White Knight?
January 27, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Will GOP Risk Goldwater II With Newt Gingrich in 2012?
January 25, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Toxic Congress: Dose of Electoral Uncertainty
January 24, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Virginia Redistricting: Making the “Ins” Further “In”
January 20, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
A Rough Estimate of the Current House Field
January 20, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Mitt McCain — The GOP’s Strange Replay of 2008
January 18, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2012 House Overview (January 13, 2012)
January 13, 2012
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Time for Rothenberg Annual Year-End Awards
December 21, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Newt’s Surge: How High, How Long?
December 16, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Can Mitt Romney Conquer Newt Gingrich, His Own Ceiling?
December 16, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Another Year of Prognostication Ups and Downs
December 14, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Do Democrats Face More Trouble From Occupy Wall Street?
December 9, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Fight for Senate Hinges on Six White House Battlegrounds
December 7, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
New Texas Map Yet Another Win for Democrats
December 2, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
For Republicans, It’s a Matter of Head or Heart
November 30, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2012 Senate Overview (November 18, 2011)
November 18, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
A Strange Way to Pick Presidential Candidates
November 18, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Next in Line (Apparently) for GOP: Newt Gingrich
November 16, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
House Overview: What’s In Play?
November 15, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Is This the Ugliest Redistricting Cycle Ever?
November 11, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
For Bob McDonnell, VP Talk Won’t Go Away
November 9, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Do the PPP Polls Mean Anything?
November 4, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Would Cain Be Leading the Race if He Were White?
November 4, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
So You Want to Be a Political Handicapper, Part II
November 2, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Think You Can Be a Political Handicapper?
October 28, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Stu’s Dangerous Dozen: Unsafe House Incumbents
October 26, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Obama’s Electoral College Outlook Depends on His Opponent
October 22, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
For Some GOPers, It’s Still Anyone but Mitt Romney
October 21, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Is There So Much Mud in South Carolina?
October 19, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
This Is Not Your Father’s Democratic Party
October 12, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2012 House Overview (October 7, 2011)
October 7, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Electoral Vote Advantage Goes to Mitt Romney
October 7, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Another Boomlet for an Unknown Republican
October 4, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Barack Obama, Predictions and the Red Sox
September 27, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Connecticut 5: Can Anyone Deny Donovan a Seat in Congress?
September 26, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Should Obama Run Against Congress?
September 21, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Will GOP Choose John Kerry or Howard Dean?
September 16, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats Jump the Shark in New York Special
September 13, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Republicans Solidify Ohio with New Map
September 13, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Can Small RNC Rule Change Affect GOP Race?
September 12, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Political Unity Peaked After Attacks
September 10, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Is Spending Creating a Consensus on Defense?
September 7, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Wisconsin Senate: Thompson’s Return May Be Coming Too Late
August 16, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Nothingness of the Iowa Straw Poll
August 12, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Debt Ceiling Fight Is So Yesterday’s News
August 9, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
GOP Hoping to Hang On in Wisconsin Recalls
August 5, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Will Debt Dance Be a Disaster for Incumbents?
August 3, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
In Debt Debacle, Someone Will Have to Blink
July 29, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
These Are the Dog Days for Rating Senate Races
July 27, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Is the House Now in Play for the 2012 Elections?
July 20, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Debt Ceiling Stalemate Not About Numbers
July 15, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
GOP Primary Features Two Two-Person Races
July 13, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ask a Bad Question, You’ll Get a Bad Answer
July 8, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Are Obama’s Polls Worse Than Meet the Eye?
July 6, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Republicans Try to Even the Score with New North Carolina Lines
July 1, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Politics of the Debt Ceiling Are Too Tempting
June 29, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Who Lost the New Hampshire GOP Debate? Me
June 24, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Rick Perry: Republican Savior or GOP Disaster?
June 22, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2012 House Overview (June 20, 2011)
June 21, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Will Governors Hurt GOP’s White House Prospects?
June 17, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Is History on House Members’ Side in 2012?
June 10, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
30 Years Later, Nolan Considers Comeback Bid
June 8, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why You Need to Ignore Most Current Polling
June 3, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Only Hypocrisy Is Truly Bipartisan
June 1, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
GOP Might Want to Rethink the Ryan Boomlet
May 27, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Shrinking Republican Field Benefits Pawlenty
May 25, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Republicans Face No-Win Situation in New York 26
May 20, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Huntsman: More or Less Than Meets the Eye?
May 18, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Debt Limit Vote: You Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet
May 13, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Don’t Start Planning Obama Inauguration Yet
May 11, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Does Daniels Really Fit GOP’s Bill? Maybe So
May 9, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Shape of Redistricting, Part I: Iowa, Louisiana, Arkansas
April 26, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Obama, GOP Not Serious About Deficit Deal
April 20, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Uneven Senate Landscape of 2012 (and 2014)
April 15, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The New Norm: Last-Minute Political Deals
April 13, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2012 Senate Overview (April 8, 2011)
April 8, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
LeMieux Nabs Jon Lerner to Advise Senate Bid
April 8, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Trump in 2012? Not Every Stupid Idea Is Funny
April 6, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Odds Are Against Lugar in Bid for Seventh Term
April 4, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
GOP Struggles to Figure Out Voter File Future
March 30, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Are GOP Freshmen Ready to Rumble in 2012?
March 21, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Tim Kaine Might Not Be the Perfect Answer
March 17, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
An Early Look at 2012 ‘Elite Eight’ Battleground
March 11, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
The Great Disappearing Act of Nancy Pelosi
March 9, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Wisconsin: Degenerating Quickly Into the Muck
March 4, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Hawaii Senate: Open Seat Remains Safe for Now
March 3, 2011
by
Nathan Gonzales
Tim Pawlenty’s Michele Bachmann Problem
March 2, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Personal Take on Brain Injuries and Senate Bids
February 18, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Change on the Horizon for House Democrats
February 16, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Webb Underscores Democrats’ 2012 Challenge
February 11, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Ratings Changes in Two New Senate Open Seats
February 10, 2011
by
Nathan Gonzales
Another Loss From America’s Best Generation
February 9, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Why Romney Is a Very Frail GOP Frontrunner
February 7, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Are We Headed for Four Wave Elections in a Row?
February 3, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
2012 Senate Overview (January 28, 2011)
January 28, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
So Far, Boehner Is an Able Adversary for Obama
January 26, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
Redistricting Winner Is Still to Be Determined
January 20, 2011
by
Stuart Rothenberg
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