Analysis

1246 Results

Illinois Senate: Durbin’s Retirement Sets Up Crowded Democratic Primary

Dick Durbin, the Senate Democratic whip and a five-term incumbent, made it official today that he will not seek re-election next year. Durbin’s decision, which had been telegraphed for the past several weeks, will likely kick off a crowded and expensive primary to replace him. Durbin is the fifth senator to announce their departure from the chamber, joining…

2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): Open-minded about Outcomes

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2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): Alabama – Kansas

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2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

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2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming

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Report Shorts (March 20, 2025)

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New Hampshire Senate: Shaheen Retirement Creates Open Seat

New Hampshire Democrat Jeanne Shaheen will not run for a fourth term, complicating her party’s already difficult path back to the Senate majority next year. While New Hampshire was already on the Senate battleground, Shaheen’s decision could set off a prolonged and difficult primary between several prominent Democrats and entice stronger GOP recruits into the race than if…

Report Shorts (March 7, 2025)

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Michigan Senate: Open for Candidates

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Minnesota Senate: Smith Decision Creates Open Seat

DFL Sen. Tina Smith announced Thursday that she won’t seek re-election in 2026, creating an open seat that could become more competitive next year.  While Republicans are expressing initial confidence in the takeover opportunity, the GOP’s track record in Minnesota is not good. Republicans have won only one Senate race in Minnesota since Rod Grams won with 49…

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