Analysis

1246 Results

Report Shorts (Jan. 8, 2026)

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Wyoming Senate: Lummis Not Seeking Re-election

Republican Sen. Cynthia Lummis announced she will not seek re-election to a second term in Wyoming.  Lummis is the fifth Republican, and ninth senator overall, to be leaving the chamber. That’s nearly double the per-cycle average of five Senate open seats, going back to at least 1930. She joins GOP colleagues Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, Thom Tillis of…

North Carolina Senate: Tar Heel Target

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Report Shorts (Dec. 18, 2025)

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12 Initial Takeaways from Tuesday’s Elections

While it may take a few days, or even weeks, to properly digest the 2025 elections, the results are clear: Democrats won decisively. In races from New Jersey and Virginia to Georgia and California, there really wasn’t any ambiguity about who won and who lost.  Even though votes are still being counted and final margins aren’t yet known,…

Is Graham Platner Solving the Wrong Problem for Maine Democrats?

Ever since Graham Platner launched his campaign two months ago, the oysterman and political newcomer has dominated the conversation around Maine’s Senate race. But while Platner looks like the type of candidate who can help Democrats change the party’s national image, he might not be the right Democrat to defeat GOP Sen. Susan Collins, given the longtime incumbent’s…

Why Cornyn is Still at Risk of Losing in Texas

Republicans aligned with the party establishment are excited that Texas Sen. John Cornyn has closed the gap with primary challenger Ken Paxton in his high-profile reelection race. But the four-term incumbent is still extremely vulnerable. The GOP primary, now a three-way race between Cornyn, Paxton and Rep. Wesley Hunt, offers an example of how data can be presented…

2026 Senate Overview: Republicans Holding On

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2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): Alabama – Kansas

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2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

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