Analysis

1246 Results

Questioning My Boldest Projection for 2020

Through all of the twists and turns of this election, I’ve been confident about one thing: record-breaking turnout. Obviously, with the spread of a pandemic, I’ve started to question my projection a bit. I first wrote about the potential for a record-setting turnout in December 2018, and for the most of the cycle it looked like a pretty…

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Senate is (Still) In Play

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2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Alabama – Kansas

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2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Kentucky – New Mexico

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2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): North Carolina – Wyoming

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Montana Senate: Brawl in Big Sky Country

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Candidate Conversation – Sarah Riggs Amico (D)

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Coronavirus and the Elections: 7 Key Questions

Unfortunately, it sounds like we’re just at the beginning of what could be a multi-week or multi-month coronavirus crisis, so handicapping the pandemic’s impact on the elections is premature. But there are at least a handful of questions that will lead us to understanding the fallout, once the situation and answers come into focus. How will coronavirus affect…

Rating Change: Montana Senate Shifts Toward Democrats

It’s only been 16 months since Democrats won a Senate race in Montana, and less than six years since Big Sky Country sent two Democratic senators to Capitol Hill. Democrats are looking to recreate the magic again in November, now that they have Gov. Steve Bullock, their top recruit, in the race.  Defeating GOP Sen. Steve Daines won’t…

Georgia Senate: How to Blow a Lead

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