Weeks before the 1996 general election, operatives at the Republican National Committee and National Republican Congressional Committee urged GOP campaigns to adopt a last-minute, new strategy. As New York Times reporter Adam Clymer wrote, they urged “their party’s Congressional candidates to cut loose from Bob Dole and press voters to maintain a Republican majority and […]
Any conversation about DC statehood will inevitably include Republicans predicting a permanent influx of Democrats on Capitol Hill. But history reveals that two additional Democratic senators would rarely have made a difference in control of the Senate over the last half century. In late June, the House of Representatives passed a DC statehood bill for […]
In 2014, Republicans took over nine Democratic Senate seats — the largest gain in two decades — and with them control of the chamber for the first time since 2006. Six years, two Senate elections, and one presidential upset later, the Republican Senate majority teeters on an edge, as the same class of seats that […]
Predicting election outcomes can be a fraught business. You don’t have to look further than the 2016 presidential race to see that. But for some races, one candidate has such an advantage — due to the constituency’s partisan lean, candidate quality, or other factors — that their path to office is nearly assured. Those are […]