On Monday, Democrats Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff released a joint memo “sounding the alarm” that their campaigns were at risk of failure if they didn’t raise more money. The memo warned that the two candidates, whose victories would hand control of the Senate to the Democrats, were being swamped by a “tsunami” of Republican money. That same…
We’re putting a pause on our first Senate and House ratings for the 2022 cycle, but it’s not for the reason you might be thinking. After whiffing on the House projection this year as President Donald Trump overperformed expectations, I floated the idea of forgoing race ratings in elections whenever he appears on the ballot. Trump won’t be…
After President Donald Trump boosted down-ballot Republicans in 2020, the GOP might be excited about his reported plans to avenge his loss by immediately beginning a race for the presidency in 2024. But while he delivered the White House once before and has shown a unique ability to consistently outperform the polls, his candidacy could jeopardize GOP gains…
On his way to becoming the first person to defeat an incumbent president since Bill Clinton in 1992, Joe Biden also replicated another one of the Arkansas governor’s feats: winning Georgia, something no Democratic presidential candidate has done in 28 years. Along with Biden’s narrow win — confirmed by hand recount this week — Democrats also picked up…