Analysis

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The Center Can’t Hold if There Isn’t One Left

It wasn’t that long ago that any talks leading to a possible major bipartisan deal would include names like former Sens. John Breaux (D-La.) and Sen. Evan Bayh (D-Ind.), former Rep. John Spratt (D-S.C.), Sens. Dick Lugar (R-Ind.) and Olympia Snowe (R-Maine) and, yes, Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio). But Breaux, a three-term Senator, retired in 2004, and Bayh,…

Missouri Senate: Math Problem

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Debt Ceiling Stalemate Not About Numbers

There is an old joke, attributed to both Winston Churchill and George Bernard Shaw. It goes something like this: Churchill: Madam, would you sleep with me for 5 million pounds? Woman: My goodness, Mr. Churchill … Well, I suppose … we would have to discuss terms, of course … Churchill: Would you sleep with me for 5 pounds?…

PPP (D) Polls Flood Early Senate Landscape

In recent years, Democrats have consistently criticized Rasmussen Reports for flooding the public space with polls and driving the narrative of races to favor Republican candidates. But six months into the 2012 cycle, public polling in Senate races has been dominated by one Democratic firm. Public Policy Polling, an automated interview polling company based in North Carolina, has…

The Politics of the Debt Ceiling Are Too Tempting

With President Barack Obama’s job approval sliding, the stock market showing its nerves, the public increasingly pessimistic about a jobs rebound and signs of a slowing economy everywhere, the president looks to be increasingly in trouble. Trying to take advantage of what they see as an opportunity, Congressional Republicans seem eager to play a game of chicken with…

No Rival and Plenty of Cash? Don’t Rest Easy

With millions of dollars in the bank and no challenger, the path to re-election looks like a freshly paved freeway for some Senate incumbents. But using recent history as a road map, those factors can be poor predictors of electoral success and certainly don't guarantee another term. With just days to go before the June filing deadline for…

Connecticut Senate: Wrestling for the Nomination

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Why You Need to Ignore Most Current Polling

My eye caught a small item in Roll Call on Tuesday announcing that “Blackwell Leads GOP Senate Hopefuls in Ohio Poll,” a reference to the 2012 Ohio Senate contest. Polls are news, of course, so this newspaper and its competitors dutifully report them, eager to post a new item on their websites and to make sure that you…

Only Hypocrisy Is Truly Bipartisan

It’s no wonder many Americans hold politicians in low regard. Our political “leaders” often say one thing when they are in power and something diametrically opposed when they are not. They often appear to be reading from a script, changing roles depending on whether they just won or lost a special election or whether they are in power.…

Nevada Senate: Hell(er) of a Race

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