Analysis

484 Results

The Race for the White House Enters Final Stretch

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Reverting to the Norm: The Race Narrows

With less than two weeks to go until the elections, the presidential race continues to revert to the norm, a development that can only worry the president and his top strategists. States that historically have been competitive in presidential elections or tilted to the GOP are moving in that direction, even though just a month […]

The Race that Never Stops Surprising

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Why’d Mitt Romney Take So Long to Move to the Middle?

The surprise about Mitt Romney’s recent move to the middle isn’t that it occurred but that it took so long. It has been standard political fare for presidential hopefuls to play to the party faithful during the fight for the nomination and then move to the middle in the general election to woo swing voters, […]

Race for the White House: Can Romney Mount a Comeback?

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Friday’s Numbers: Does Anybody Still Care?

A few months ago, I expected this Friday to be a crucial day in the presidential race. After all, it would be the day when September's unemployment and new jobs numbers would be released, right in the heart of the contest. But now, it's far from clear that those numbers will mean anything. The voters […]

Don’t Neglect the Twitter Effect on Debates

Amid all the pregame coverage of the first presidential debate, don’t neglect the Twitter effect. The winner and loser could be decided and the post-game narrative and media coverage could be set before the candidates even leave the stage. Of course, Twitter launched before the 2008 campaign, but certainly wasn’t as widely used or relied […]

Race for the White House Shifts Toward the President

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Presidential Ratings Change: Advantage Obama

We are moving six states in our presidential race ratings: Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin from Toss-up to Lean Obama, and Michigan, New Mexico and Pennsylvania to Solid Obama.  Deteriorating state poll numbers for Mitt Romney suggest that these states have moved a few points toward the president, and while Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin are still […]

In Politics, Expect the Unexpected

I was on a panel at an event in the nation's capital Sept. 10. The subject was the elections, and another panelist and I discussed the race for the White House and the fight for control of Congress. Toward the end of the event, someone in the audience asked about foreign policy. Does it matter […]