Analysis

4239 Results

Electoral Considerations of the 21 McCarthy Holdouts

At the start of the new Congress, House GOP leader Kevin McCarthy limped to the speakership in a post-midnight vote that followed four days of stalemate and a final half-hour of chaos on the floor of the House of Representatives. McCarthy always had the support of an overwhelming majority of the GOP conference. But a […]

Breaking Down the Demographics of the 118th Congress

Slowly but surely, the U.S. Congress has begun to better reflect the nation. But even as the House and the Senate have gradually become more diverse, the rate at which that happens has appeared to decline. The number of women and nonwhite members in the 118th Congress has only marginally increased compared to the 117th, […]

Vote Above Replacement: 2022 Governor Elections

For the first time since 1986, the president’s party netted gubernatorial seats in a midterm election, as Democrats gained three new governorships in 2022 and Republicans flipped only one. Although it wasn’t much of a surprise that Massachusetts and Maryland moved into the Democrats’ column, Arizona (another Democratic flip) and Nevada (the Republican pickup) were […]

2024 Senate Overview: Majority on the Line, Again

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2024 Senate Overview (January 6, 2023) Arizona – Maine

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2024 Senate Overview (January 6, 2023): Maryland – Ohio

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2024 Senate Overview (January 6, 2023): Pennsylvania – Wyoming

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Report Shorts (January 6, 2023)

New York’s 3rd District. GOP Rep. George Santos hasn’t settled into office yet, and he’s already been met with significant questions about fabricating his personal background and professional resume. The end result could be a short tenure and future open seat.  Even some of Santos’ future colleagues are already openly critical of him. “There are […]

Michigan Senate: The Race to Succeed Stabenow Is On

After serving in the Senate for the past 22 years, Debbie Stabenow announced this morning that she won’t seek re-election in 2024. The race to succeed the Democratic senator is guaranteed to draw serious attention and resources from both parties. The Democratic Party has a deep bench in the Great Lakes State. Michigan Democrats swept […]

Virginia 4 Special: McClellan Poised for History

The first House race of the 2024 cycle is well underway — and for all intents and purposes may already be over. On Tuesday, Democrats in Virginia’s 4th District chose state Sen. Jennifer McClellan as their nominee in the Feb. 21 special election to replace the late Rep. Donald McEachin. She defeated state Sen. Joe […]