Analysis

4240 Results

2012 Senate Overview (August 10, 2012) Arizona – Michigan

Want the full story? Sign up now to read the full story and get access to all posts for paying subscribers only. Sign Up Login

2012 Senate Overview (August 10, 2012) Minnesota-Ohio

Want the full story? Sign up now to read the full story and get access to all posts for paying subscribers only. Sign Up Login

2012 Senate Overview (August 10, 2012) Pennsylvania – Wyoming

Want the full story? Sign up now to read the full story and get access to all posts for paying subscribers only. Sign Up Login

Aurora(s) and the Fight for the House

Aurora, Colo., is a household name because of the recent tragic movie theater shootings. But come November, the city and some of the other Auroras around the country will help decide which party controls the House of Representatives next year. There are actually close to two dozen Auroras of various shapes and sizes across the […]

Democrats Rejoice, But Tough Race Ahead for McCaskill

Claire McCaskill (D) remains the Senate’s most endangered incumbent, but the Missouri Democrat’s prospects appear to have improved slightly on Tuesday after learning she’ll face Rep. Todd Akin (R) in the fall. Akin’s come-from-behind win seemed unlikely only months ago, though Republicans never had a particularly strong field that remained highly fluid until the end. […]

Fireworks, But No Surprises in Michigan, Missouri and Washington House Primaries

Two more House incumbents lost on Tuesday, but it wasn’t a surprise since they faced fellow Members in primaries in Missouri and Michigan, and one of them had to lose. In Michigan, Rep. Gary Peters prevailed over freshman Rep. Hansen Clarke in the Democratic primary in the 14th District, and is virtually guaranteed election this […]

On a Run of Strong Congressional Candidates

I’m not sure whether it’s the summer heat, a side effect of the aging process or simply dumb luck, but I’ve met a string of unusually good Congressional candidates recently. Not all of them will win — in part because some of them are running against each other — but they are all worth monitoring […]

Polls or Fundamentals in N.Y. 1st District Race?

I have been watching New York’s 1st district since I came to Washington, D.C., in 1980. The suburban district on the east end of Long Island has often had competitive races and has flipped from one party to the other a number of times during the past 30 years. I saw incumbent Bill Carney (R) […]

Tennessee Primaries: Not So Rocky Incumbents

It wasn’t rocky in Rocky Top for incumbents on Thursday evening, as three members easily brushed aside challenges in Tennessee’s primaries. Freshman Rep. Chuck Fleischmann (R), who won an open seat primary in 2010 by just 1,415 votes, had seen his grasp on his Chattanooga-based 3rd District put in danger thanks to his narrow win […]

Texas Primaries: Cruz’in to Victory

Former state Solicitor General Ted Cruz won an upset victory over Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst in the Texas GOP Senate runoff Tuesday, signaling a major shift not only in the Lone Star State but for the makeup of the incoming Senate as well. Though he began as a near-political unknown, Cruz harnessed tea party and […]